*** Official Political Wagering Thread ***

[Daly]

The “sunwager” skins graded all the state activity today.

[dwai]

IT'S IN THEIR BEST INTEREST TO KEEP THIS GOING AS LONG AS POSSIBLE AND KEEP RAPING YOU ON FEES WHILE YOU NEVER GET YOUR MONEY FOR YOUR "WINNING" ELECTION BETS.

PREDICTIT IS GOD

[PLOL]

IT'S IN THEIR BEST INTEREST TO KEEP THIS GOING AS LONG AS POSSIBLE AND KEEP RAPING YOU ON FEES WHILE YOU NEVER GET YOUR MONEY FOR YOUR "WINNING" ELECTION BETS.

PREDICTIT IS GOD

There's no holding fees. They'd actually rather pay out and have that money roll over in to new markets to start collecting more fees.

I also got paid on my local bookie today.

[dwai]

IT'S IN THEIR BEST INTEREST TO KEEP THIS GOING AS LONG AS POSSIBLE AND KEEP RAPING YOU ON FEES WHILE YOU NEVER GET YOUR MONEY FOR YOUR "WINNING" ELECTION BETS.

PREDICTIT IS GOD

There's no holding fees. They'd actually rather pay out and have that money roll over in to new markets to start collecting more fees.

I also got paid on my local bookie today.

POST PICTURE OF YOU SMOKING A CIGAR OUTRIGHT WITH THE CASH OR LIES

[Daly]

Buckeye skin just paid


It’s “over” in sportsbook town now too

[PLOL]

Buckeye skin just paid


It’s “over” in sportsbook town now too

Is Betfair still pending? I have a small post-election wager with somebody that is contingent on when Betfair pays.

[Sanlmar]

Bovada has a pardon market.

The election itself accounted for a quarter of Bovada’s 2020 revenue.

This article from the The New Yorker’s “Wheeling & Dealing Dept” is priceless. The Trump line is just a teaser.

What are the Odds That Trump Pardons Himself?
Better than two to one, according to an oddsmaker who accepts bets on Presidential pardons.
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2...ardons-himself

My bodog vendetta is forever so I have to pass

[PLOL]

PredictIt is paying out right now. Betfair also paid out today. Are there any holdouts?

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1338711712825024513

[PLOL]

Bovada has a pardon market.

The election itself accounted for a quarter of Bovada’s 2020 revenue.

This article from the The New Yorker’s “Wheeling & Dealing Dept” is priceless. The Trump line is just a teaser.

What are the Odds That Trump Pardons Himself?
Better than two to one, according to an oddsmaker who accepts bets on Presidential pardons.
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2...ardons-himself

My bodog vendetta is forever so I have to pass

https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...his-first-term

[Sanlmar]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1338644570721095680

Per article

Bovada had
Manafort -400

Ghislaine Maxwell +300

Bannon

Initial lines must have been real soft. They admit to having little clue.


There is still gonna be chaos and mayhem to wager

[Rick Sanchez]

LOOOOLLLL



Desperately clinging to hope until the very end.

God bless you sidedish and all the other bagholders who gave me their hard-earned money.

[PLOL]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1338644570721095680

Per article

Bovada had
Manafort -400

Ghislaine Maxwell +300

Bannon

Initial lines must have been real soft. They admit to having little clue.


There is still gonna be chaos and mayhem to wager

Manafort's about -200 on PredictIt. No lines on the others.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...his-first-term

[Rick Sanchez]

[Walter Sobchak]

I win my bet with sidedish.

Druff, I will PM you how to send me my escrow back along with sidedish's $250.

Nice doing business with ya dish.

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

emailed ACR this morning cause nothing had been settled, but just checked and the money is there...

never intended on having that much bet on the election so thank you PLOP for opening my eyes to the wonderful world of PI...

i look forward to taking advantage of more irrationality during the next election cycle...

[Dan Druff]

LOOOOLLLL



Desperately clinging to hope until the very end.

God bless you sidedish and all the other bagholders who gave me their hard-earned money.

Yeah I hit this one and several other ones like it. Shout out to PLOL for bringing my attention to a few I missed.

Nice to have ones like this to basically pay for all the fees I'm forking over for the actual betting.

[Daly]

emailed ACR this morning cause nothing had been settled, but just checked and the money is there...

never intended on having that much bet on the election so thank you PLOP for opening my eyes to the wonderful world of PI...

i look forward to taking advantage of more irrationality during the next election cycle...

Lot of money to be made in “information events”.

Politics falls into this category for sure and it’s the largest and most deep market.

Sports Drafts are similar.

Sports awards.

Dumb shit like TV shows and contests. Bud Bowl, Baby Bowl, masked singer. Super bowl halftime shows.


If you work hard, do homework and correctly follow what breadcrumbs to follow its easy to make money. I sure was shocked about 10:30 on election night, but in the end the homework and trusting the right people let to a bunch of money.

[PLOL]

Moving some money into some of the more FUN markets like NYC Mayor. Yang at 30 cents+? That seems like a screaming sell (and I personally love the guy). PredictIt users have a hard-on for Yang and pump him in any market he gets listed (Dem nominee, Commerce secretary, NYC mayor). I'm actually going to work on buying NO shares of everybody listed in that market. There's no obvious front-runners in the race and some new people are definitely going to pop up over the next several months.

Also, shoutout to PredictIt's own "Onestop".



Edit: Can wait for Yang's announcement to fully max out NO shares. Maybe he'll spike to like 38-40 lol

Edit: I'm also buying up some of the Biden-tapped cabinet nominees who are shoe-ins to get through confirmation (which should be most of them so far with the exception of Neera Tanden). Picking up Mayor Pete at 85c.

[dwai]

ONESTOP IS GOD

[JeffDime]

Good Value...this guys got pipes. Only got to wait 4 years. Hawley 40-1.