A lot of movement in the cabinet markets recently. I scooped up some more NO shares for Pompeo and Ben Carson this morning at 84c. Great value!
A lot of movement in the cabinet markets recently. I scooped up some more NO shares for Pompeo and Ben Carson this morning at 84c. Great value!
Here's an interesting market that I haven't messed with yet. I'm tempted to fire on all the Nos down to Dec22, which is effectively like betting "Yes Dec22 or later" at 16c. Emily Murphy is a Trump stooge who won't even answer what condition she is waiting for to do her job. She just might go the distance.
If I do it won't be for max bet, as this is actually gambling and not free money. It's better to bet on outcomes that have already happened!
Final check-in on OSA's stellar prediction. Now at 2 cents. Yikes. Thankfully OSA's reputation is pretty well known to where I don't think anybody is dumb enough to listen to his picks.
Just a heads up, you may want to short SWBI. OSA has a large long position on it. Could be a good opposite pick.
just curious, anybody had any sportsbook pay them out yet?
still waiting on mine...not expecting anything until it's officially official, but just wanted to see if anybody else is in the same boat...
WOW, I really wasn't expecting this. Nov 23 or earlier was the least likely in my opinion and was also the concensus on PI. But here we are. I'm glad I never bet on this.
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1331013908971261953
I can no longer find the market for this though. Does PI close and pay these out so fast? Is there any way to look at closed markets?
Picked up some NO shares at 38 cents in the market "Will Trump file to run before the end of 2021". I think it's pretty overpriced in the 60s. I think it's pretty likely that Trump either announces he'll run for president in 2024 or says he's "looking in to it very strongly". But I think it's unlikely that he actually goes through with filing with the FEC, which is what needs to happen for these shares to resolve YES. Trump always wants to build up suspense and string the media along for as long as possible with "will he/won't he talk". It's what he used to always do with his presidential runs. Why would he kill that suspense by filing right away?
I don't know if he will ultimately run for president, but I see filing to run in 2021 as a pretty big dog. Now please don't compete with me on price too hard because I'm still building a position. If the price crashes, I will dump the shares. I think this is a market that will see a lot of pumps every time Trump goes on TV saying he's very seriously considering a 2024 run because of the disaster job Biden is doing. Buy NO shares on the pumps and then dump them when the market crashes. Rinse. Repeat. Profit.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...he-end-of-2021
Welp... Bovada paid out today.
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1331340230620745728
Recount in Iowa has become a mess, and now it's about 50-50 as to which candidate will win IA-02. Glad I bailed out of that one at near-peak value.
NY-22 remains very close, but is more likely to stay R.
Oh, and the Michigan market for Trump/Biden opened up (as of last night, at least), and now you can get in and buy shares at 91c Trump NO. Free money if you have cash sitting around on the site, and you don't plan to use it for something else.
One of the many sacrifices I make for your freedom.
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1331646083903184905
We have hit the stage where Biden bettors are now upset and looking for compensation because they have missed the runup in BTC
Mybookie is paying out bets... on both sides.
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1331805130048614402
This is brilliant. They have already doubled or better most of the BTc deposits so they doubled up money on both candidates and where Biden was 1:2 they really cleaned up.
about 1 out of 9 will be able to roll over the freeplay.
Talk about walking away happy for almost everyone..... but in truth it’s the book that really cleaned up.
How is this possible? Seriously, I'm not a big bettor. Are these people pouring money into Trump winning right now on November 26th?
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