Page 19 of 21 FirstFirst ... 915161718192021 LastLast
Results 361 to 380 of 404

Thread: *** Official Political Wagering Thread ***

  1. #361
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    NC finally settled...

    slowly but surely the money is coming in...
    Interesting. For the life of me, I can't understand how they can settle NC and MN but can't settle this:
    https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...r-vote-in-2020
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Just non-stop unrelenting LGBT propaganda being shoved down our throats.

  2. #362
    Very sane and normal. Will go to 15 cents after our future former president RTs it.




    https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ntial-election
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Just non-stop unrelenting LGBT propaganda being shoved down our throats.

  3. #363
    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Very sane and normal. Will go to 15 cents after our future former president RTs it.




    https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ntial-election
    fuck me seeing it at 9 and i maxed out at 5...goddamn it...

  4. #364
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Very sane and normal. Will go to 15 cents after our future former president RTs it.




    https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ntial-election
    fuck me seeing it at 9 and i maxed out at 5...goddamn it...
    It actually went to 18 lmao. MAGA stupidity has no limit.

    Name:  Screen Shot 2020-11-17 at 9.09.21 AM.png
Views: 94
Size:  51.8 KB

     
    Comments
      
      GambleBotsChafedPenis: I Actually Shed A Tear Rep
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Just non-stop unrelenting LGBT propaganda being shoved down our throats.

  5. #365
    jesus christ...you are now hurting my soul PLOP...

    i thought i was fucking stealing at 5...

  6. #366
    In all seriousness, I just made a Predictit account minutes ago. I'm surprised how fast and easy it was to do that and load several thousand.

    I am tilted by the caps on some of these markets. I don't quite understand how it works, but there are certain things I wanted to bet on that it won't let me.

    Name:  predictit.png
Views: 99
Size:  78.5 KB

    Just dabbling a bit for now. Pushing buttons. In at 89/86/84 respectively

  7. #367
    I missed the post about linked margins, so now I will try to wrap my brain around how that math works and seek opportunities there.

    EDIT: Okay cool I think I figured it out, and managed to effectively get Biden PA > 75k MOV for 85c. Thanks PLOP!
    Last edited by Rick Sanchez; 11-17-2020 at 11:16 AM.

  8. #368
    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Btw, I believe this is currently the BEST value (free money) market for new people. I don't believe they've hit the 5k trader cap yet. It is the cheapest way to bet on Biden winning.

    https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ent-5150452653
    Hell yes. I got a worse price than was available when you wrote this, but still managed to get GOP NO for 79c which is still insane value imo

  9. #369
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
    Reputation
    723
    Join Date
    Aug 2012
    Location
    Bowling Alley
    Posts
    5,507
    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Very sane and normal. Will go to 15 cents after our future former president RTs it.




    https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ntial-election
    If there's a tiny silver lining in the fact that half of America is being groomed as Trumptard sheep, it's the fact that people who still live in reality will run circles around them. You can't function in modern society if you live in a counterfactual bubble.
    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

    PRESIDENT-ELECT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR.

  10. #370
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
    Reputation
    723
    Join Date
    Aug 2012
    Location
    Bowling Alley
    Posts
    5,507
    Quote Originally Posted by Rick Sanchez View Post
    In all seriousness, I just made a Predictit account minutes ago. I'm surprised how fast and easy it was to do that and load several thousand.

    I am tilted by the caps on some of these markets. I don't quite understand how it works, but there are certain things I wanted to bet on that it won't let me.

    Name:  predictit.png
Views: 99
Size:  78.5 KB

    Just dabbling a bit for now. Pushing buttons. In at 89/86/84 respectively
    What are some easy ways to get money up on that site? Don't they rape you on a cash out?
    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

    PRESIDENT-ELECT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR.

  11. #371
    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Rick Sanchez View Post
    In all seriousness, I just made a Predictit account minutes ago. I'm surprised how fast and easy it was to do that and load several thousand.

    I am tilted by the caps on some of these markets. I don't quite understand how it works, but there are certain things I wanted to bet on that it won't let me.

    Name:  predictit.png
Views: 99
Size:  78.5 KB

    Just dabbling a bit for now. Pushing buttons. In at 89/86/84 respectively
    What are some easy ways to get money up on that site? Don't they rape you on a cash out?
    Deposit with a CC that gives you 2%+ cash back. It's a legal site and they take credit cards. Also take the $20 new user bonus.

    As Thomas pointed out, many markets have hit their 5k trader cap, but there's still plenty of equivalency markets. If you're buying a market at 89 and cashing out right after, probably not worth it because you're paying 5% at cashout. But it's worth it if you're going to run that money through multiple markets before cashing out. And it's still worth it when you can buy free money markets in the high 70s still. Be patient and wait for certain brackets to surge. If it takes several days to get filled, that's OK.
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Just non-stop unrelenting LGBT propaganda being shoved down our throats.

  12. #372
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
    Reputation
    723
    Join Date
    Aug 2012
    Location
    Bowling Alley
    Posts
    5,507
    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post

    What are some easy ways to get money up on that site? Don't they rape you on a cash out?
    Deposit with a CC that gives you 2%+ cash back. It's a legal site and they take credit cards. Also take the $20 new user bonus.

    As Thomas pointed out, many markets have hit their 5k trader cap, but there's still plenty of equivalency markets. If you're buying a market at 89 and cashing out right after, probably not worth it because you're paying 5% at cashout. But it's worth it if you're going to run that money through multiple markets before cashing out. And it's still worth it when you can buy free money markets in the high 70s still. Be patient and wait for certain brackets to surge. If it takes several days to get filled, that's OK.
    If it takes a few days to get filled is it possible to over-commit and not have the funds to fill orders?
    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

    PRESIDENT-ELECT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR.

  13. #373
    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Deposit with a CC that gives you 2%+ cash back. It's a legal site and they take credit cards. Also take the $20 new user bonus.

    As Thomas pointed out, many markets have hit their 5k trader cap, but there's still plenty of equivalency markets. If you're buying a market at 89 and cashing out right after, probably not worth it because you're paying 5% at cashout. But it's worth it if you're going to run that money through multiple markets before cashing out. And it's still worth it when you can buy free money markets in the high 70s still. Be patient and wait for certain brackets to surge. If it takes several days to get filled, that's OK.
    If it takes a few days to get filled is it possible to over-commit and not have the funds to fill orders?
    No. You can have more in bids than you can afford to cover across multiple markets. The system is okay with you doing that.

    Let's say you have $75 in your account. You can put in bids to buy 100 shares at 75 cents in 10 different markets, even though it would cost $750 to cover all those bids if they all went through. However, as soon as somebody matches your offer in one of the markets, your bids in the other 9 markets will be cancelled automatically because now you can't afford to cover any of them. You can never have a negative balance.

     
    Comments
      
      Walter Sobchak: the man
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Just non-stop unrelenting LGBT propaganda being shoved down our throats.

  14. #374
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
    Reputation
    723
    Join Date
    Aug 2012
    Location
    Bowling Alley
    Posts
    5,507
    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post

    If it takes a few days to get filled is it possible to over-commit and not have the funds to fill orders?
    No. You can have more in bids than you can afford to cover across multiple markets. The system is okay with you doing that.

    Let's say you have $75 in your account. You can put in bids to buy 100 shares at 75 cents in 10 different markets, even though it would cost $750 to cover all those bids if they all went through. However, as soon as somebody matches your offer in one of the markets, your bids in the other 9 markets will be cancelled automatically because now you can't afford to cover any of them. You can never have a negative balance.
    Awesome thanks!
    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

    PRESIDENT-ELECT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR.

  15. #375
    Today is the deadline for requesting a recount in Wisconsin, and I woke up to see that it's still trading at 13c.

    Name:  Screenshot 2020-11-18 084545.png
Views: 67
Size:  84.6 KB

    So I maxed out on No, just as news came out that Trump will be requesting recounts in two individual counties.

    However, this market is for a statewide recount so I think this should be fine?

  16. #376
    Quote Originally Posted by Rick Sanchez View Post
    Today is the deadline for requesting a recount in Wisconsin, and I woke up to see that it's still trading at 13c.

    Name:  Screenshot 2020-11-18 084545.png
Views: 67
Size:  84.6 KB

    So I maxed out on No, just as news came out that Trump will be requesting recounts in two individual counties.

    However, this market is for a statewide recount so I think this should be fine?

    Yes. You missed the ride though. First news broke that there will be a recount and NO shares plummeted. Then there was breaking news that there will NOT be a statewide recount just a few counties and it skyrocketed again. Luckily I was there and picked up shares once the 2nd tweet hit.
    It is in my bones which sucks so can make it hard to move sometimes. Trying to spend as much time with friends and family.


    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post

    idk how old your kid is but i know teenagers carry more viral load than anyone

  17. #377
    Quote Originally Posted by Rick Sanchez View Post
    Today is the deadline for requesting a recount in Wisconsin, and I woke up to see that it's still trading at 13c.

    Name:  Screenshot 2020-11-18 084545.png
Views: 67
Size:  84.6 KB

    So I maxed out on No, just as news came out that Trump will be requesting recounts in two individual counties.

    However, this market is for a statewide recount so I think this should be fine?
    Fun.
    Name:  Screen Shot 2020-11-18 at 11.47.52 AM.png
Views: 59
Size:  39.2 KB
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Just non-stop unrelenting LGBT propaganda being shoved down our throats.

  18. #378
    I just bailed, selling @ 92c for a modest profit. I realized I'm essentially betting on the Trump campaign to behave rationally. There's just too much free money on PI to be taking risks like that.

     
    Comments
      
      PLOL: not a bad bail, at these prices it's okay to exit. it's not a "free money" market

  19. #379
    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Onestep informed me that he was buying YES shares in the "Will Wisconsin have a recount" market based on some article he found from February (lol). In response, and after careful contemplation, I will be taking the NO side in this market. We need to teach this political gambling fish another lesson.

    https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6968
    *ahem* this was when it was trading at 50/50.

    Now gather round for Onestep story time.

    It all starts with a careful research project by our friend Onestep.

    Name:  Screen Shot 2020-11-17 at 3.29.56 PM.png
Views: 57
Size:  30.7 KB

    Name:  Screen Shot 2020-11-17 at 3.29.01 PM.png
Views: 60
Size:  135.2 KB

    Name:  Screen Shot 2020-11-18 at 11.52.08 AM.png
Views: 57
Size:  39.5 KB


    Since Onestep has done the anti-research for us, it allows me to take the opposite position and make some money!

    Name:  Screen Shot 2020-11-17 at 3.30.15 PM.png
Views: 58
Size:  48.8 KB


    I'll give Onestep credit, he was smart enough to not take the $1k bet against me. Kudos.

    Name:  Screen Shot 2020-11-18 at 11.52.16 AM.png
Views: 58
Size:  48.6 KB


    But he does insist on being stubborn and digging in.

    Name:  Screen Shot 2020-11-17 at 3.27.41 PM.png
Views: 57
Size:  84.6 KB

    Name:  Screen Shot 2020-11-17 at 3.26.37 PM.png
Views: 57
Size:  15.0 KB


    Lol indeed. I just hope we all learned a valuable lesson here. Also, I am starting a service where I give out anti-Onestep picks. Unfortunately, because this info is so valuable I cannot continue to give it away for free. I will be charging something very reasonable like $10/mo and I'll be sending out weekly emails. DM to be added to the list.

     
    Comments
      
      Onestep: as long as I get 50% I'm down
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Just non-stop unrelenting LGBT propaganda being shoved down our throats.

  20. #380
    Quote Originally Posted by Onestep View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Your PA vote margin at 47c is looking pretty good. It's not free money, there's actually a chance it goes up to the next bracket, but I like your chances.

    Might wanna recheck that. Biden 90-105k will be 40c in a few days. Get in early guys.
    Let's check in to see how Onestep's other pick is going. Is it at 40 cents yet?

    Name:  Screen Shot 2020-11-18 at 1.00.46 PM.png
Views: 179
Size:  268.3 KB


    Oh.... yikes. Down to 13.

    https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...n-Pennsylvania

     
    Comments
      
      Onestep: It was at 31 not even 2 days ago but ok
    Last edited by PLOL; 11-18-2020 at 11:48 AM.
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Just non-stop unrelenting LGBT propaganda being shoved down our throats.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***
    By Daly in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 26123
    Last Post: Today, 02:47 PM
  2. Replies: 33
    Last Post: 11-18-2020, 07:34 PM
  3. *** OFFICIAL *** Remy political song parodies thread
    By Dan Druff in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 11
    Last Post: 08-30-2020, 03:26 AM
  4. Replies: 17
    Last Post: 01-13-2019, 11:01 AM
  5. Replies: 4
    Last Post: 08-30-2015, 02:34 PM

Tags for this Thread