Interesting. For the life of me, I can't understand how they can settle NC and MN but can't settle this:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...r-vote-in-2020
Interesting. For the life of me, I can't understand how they can settle NC and MN but can't settle this:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...r-vote-in-2020
Very sane and normal. Will go to 15 cents after our future former president RTs it.
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1328706940843696130
https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ntial-election
jesus christ...you are now hurting my soul PLOP...
i thought i was fucking stealing at 5...
In all seriousness, I just made a Predictit account minutes ago. I'm surprised how fast and easy it was to do that and load several thousand.
I am tilted by the caps on some of these markets. I don't quite understand how it works, but there are certain things I wanted to bet on that it won't let me.
Just dabbling a bit for now. Pushing buttons. In at 89/86/84 respectively
I missed the post about linked margins, so now I will try to wrap my brain around how that math works and seek opportunities there.
EDIT: Okay cool I think I figured it out, and managed to effectively get Biden PA > 75k MOV for 85c. Thanks PLOP!
Last edited by Rick Sanchez; 11-17-2020 at 11:16 AM.
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
Deposit with a CC that gives you 2%+ cash back. It's a legal site and they take credit cards. Also take the $20 new user bonus.
As Thomas pointed out, many markets have hit their 5k trader cap, but there's still plenty of equivalency markets. If you're buying a market at 89 and cashing out right after, probably not worth it because you're paying 5% at cashout. But it's worth it if you're going to run that money through multiple markets before cashing out. And it's still worth it when you can buy free money markets in the high 70s still. Be patient and wait for certain brackets to surge. If it takes several days to get filled, that's OK.
No. You can have more in bids than you can afford to cover across multiple markets. The system is okay with you doing that.
Let's say you have $75 in your account. You can put in bids to buy 100 shares at 75 cents in 10 different markets, even though it would cost $750 to cover all those bids if they all went through. However, as soon as somebody matches your offer in one of the markets, your bids in the other 9 markets will be cancelled automatically because now you can't afford to cover any of them. You can never have a negative balance.
Today is the deadline for requesting a recount in Wisconsin, and I woke up to see that it's still trading at 13c.
So I maxed out on No, just as news came out that Trump will be requesting recounts in two individual counties.
However, this market is for a statewide recount so I think this should be fine?
Yes. You missed the ride though. First news broke that there will be a recount and NO shares plummeted. Then there was breaking news that there will NOT be a statewide recount just a few counties and it skyrocketed again. Luckily I was there and picked up shares once the 2nd tweet hit.
I just bailed, selling @ 92c for a modest profit. I realized I'm essentially betting on the Trump campaign to behave rationally. There's just too much free money on PI to be taking risks like that.
*ahem* this was when it was trading at 50/50.
Now gather round for OSA story time.
It all starts with a careful research project by our friend OSA.
Since OSA has done the anti-research for us, it allows me to take the opposite position and make some money!
I'll give OSA credit, he was smart enough to not take the $1k bet against me. Kudos.
But he does insist on being stubborn and digging in.
Lol indeed. I just hope we all learned a valuable lesson here. Also, I am starting a service where I give out anti-OSA picks. Unfortunately, because this info is so valuable I cannot continue to give it away for free. I will be charging something very reasonable like $10/mo and I'll be sending out weekly emails. DM to be added to the list.
Let's check in to see how OSA's other pick is going. Is it at 40 cents yet?
Oh.... yikes. Down to 13.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...n-Pennsylvania
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