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Thread: *** Official Political Wagering Thread ***

  1. #221
    Platinum mickeycrimm's Avatar
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    British gambler bets 5 Million dollars on Trump to win the electoral vote.

    https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=...U3NxviAEJomRFY

  2. #222
    Gold abrown83's Avatar
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    Here's another fun data point to watch

    Pinellas County, FL

    Name:  Screen Shot 2020-11-03 at 12.29.04 PM.png
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    Those are the 2016 results ...obviously

    Here's the 2020 data in real-time (they keep updating it)

    https://www.votepinellas.com/

    Currently as of 1:30PM EST when I am posting this it is basically a mirror of 2016, but you can watch throughout the afternoon to see how in-person voting changes things.

  3. #223
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    British gambler bets 5 Million dollars on Trump to win the electoral vote.

    https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=...U3NxviAEJomRFY

    I am very suspicious that this is indeed “fake news”. This story could definitely turn out some voters for Trump that feel defeat is inevitable. The timing of it and the source just seems off to me. Interested to see how this is covered following the results.


    The New York Post is saying sources told “The Sun” from this bookmaker in the Caribbean. So the post is getting this second hand.

  4. #224
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Odds starting to move for Trump in NC

    Up to -140 in some spots. Probably the most meaningful movement of the day
    Brother I told you this already

    If you can't trust a striipper from Club Onyx who the hell can you trust?

    I'm doing my part here fellas plz do yours


    PA Ohio WV NC I got ppl right in the tick of things. My girls will get the info before any news outlet.

     
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      abrown83: Strippers have the best info

  5. #225
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Odds starting to move for Trump in NC

    Up to -140 in some spots. Probably the most meaningful movement of the day
    Brother I told you this already

    If you can't trust a striipper from Club Onyx who the hell can you trust?

    I'm doing my part here fellas plz do yours


    PA Ohio WV NC I got ppl right in the tick of things. My girls will get the info before any news outlet.


    aight im with you badguy...lets make some fucking money...

     
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      badguy23: Lets gooooo!!!!!!

  6. #226
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    daines (R-MT) is up to -270 on ACR...

  7. #227
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    now daines up to -285...still can get him at -200 on predicit...

  8. #228
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    You could make some good money trading Arizona if you could read the market. We had a round trip over the last 5 hours. Went from Biden 55/45 to trump 55/45 back To Biden 55/45.

  9. #229
    Gold abrown83's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    You could make some good money trading Arizona if you could read the market. We had a round trip over the last 5 hours. Went from Biden 55/45 to trump 55/45 back To Biden 55/45.
    Biden would now have to win Independents by double digits in AZ to win.

    FL is going to be close.

    PA sounds like might not be going great for Trump

  10. #230
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    Quote Originally Posted by abrown83 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    You could make some good money trading Arizona if you could read the market. We had a round trip over the last 5 hours. Went from Biden 55/45 to trump 55/45 back To Biden 55/45.
    Biden would now have to win Independents by double digits in AZ to win.

    FL is going to be close.

    PA sounds like might not be going great for Trump
    im STUNNED that ACR is laying -207 out there for trump in FL...

    little less surprised but still made me tilt my head that theyre laying -195 out there for biden in PA...

  11. #231
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by abrown83 View Post

    Biden would now have to win Independents by double digits in AZ to win.

    FL is going to be close.

    PA sounds like might not be going great for Trump
    im STUNNED that ACR is laying -207 out there for trump in FL...

    little less surprised but still made me tilt my head that theyre laying -195 out there for biden in PA...
    You need to ask yourself a question.

    Is ACR laying -207 because it’s a mistake?

    (HINT: It’s not)

  12. #232
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by abrown83 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    You could make some good money trading Arizona if you could read the market. We had a round trip over the last 5 hours. Went from Biden 55/45 to trump 55/45 back To Biden 55/45.
    Biden would now have to win Independents by double digits in AZ to win.

    FL is going to be close.

    PA sounds like might not be going great for Trump
    Biden has Allegheny County wrapped we already knew that

    I got 2 chicks I know from Cheerleaders heading out to Westmorland County then Washington County to get the skinny

    I think Trump may be in big trouble in PA

    I was pretty shocked today though... When I was out at how many Trump signs were around where I grew up.

    I mean I didn't see one Biden sign.

    I'm in Allegheny County.

    I personally think Trump will do better around Pittsburgh this time. He wont win around here but he will do better

    He's gonna choke in Westmorland County or something.
    Last edited by badguy23; 11-03-2020 at 12:42 PM.

  13. #233
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    im STUNNED that ACR is laying -207 out there for trump in FL...

    little less surprised but still made me tilt my head that theyre laying -195 out there for biden in PA...
    You need to ask yourself a question.

    Is ACR laying -207 because it’s a mistake?

    (HINT: It’s not)
    oh i know it's not...i was just surprised that trump was that big of a favorite...

  14. #234
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    FLA down to -203 for trump at ACR...

    ARZ has been getting more expensive throughout the morning for trump...going from +105, now sitting at -105...

  15. #235
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    FLA down to -203 for trump at ACR...

    ARZ has been getting more expensive throughout the morning for trump...going from +105, now sitting at -105...
    You can’t really say Florida is “down” to -203 when it was -150 this morning though

  16. #236
    Gold abrown83's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    FLA down to -203 for trump at ACR...

    ARZ has been getting more expensive throughout the morning for trump...going from +105, now sitting at -105...
    You can’t really say Florida is “down” to -203 when it was -150 this morning though
    Isn't this just more a reflection of where the public is at and ACR trying to keep the money 50/50?

  17. #237
    Platinum Krypt's Avatar
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    are you ppl saying shoving dems to win PA @ -190 is a wise financial decision that can’t lose?

  18. #238
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    FLA down to -203 for trump at ACR...

    ARZ has been getting more expensive throughout the morning for trump...going from +105, now sitting at -105...
    You can’t really say Florida is “down” to -203 when it was -150 this morning though
    agreed...just trying to follow the market movements of the books in real time in case there is an opportunity relative to what you can get on predictit...

    FLA now -195...

    but there definitely seem to be some spots where you can take advantage of predictit...right now you can get around $85 in value on the montana senate race...also the maine senate race is mispriced on predictit relative to the books...books have the Dem as a -200 favorite...she's close to -300 on predictit...

  19. #239
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    Quote Originally Posted by abrown83 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    You can’t really say Florida is “down” to -203 when it was -150 this morning though
    Isn't this just more a reflection of where the public is at and ACR trying to keep the money 50/50?
    im sure they dont want to set a line where a sharp will come in and pound them either...

  20. #240
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Krypt View Post
    are you ppl saying shoving dems to win PA @ -190 is a wise financial decision that can’t lose?

    Id say shove on this.

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