I made a typo in the post where I wrote the playable number was $92.50. That number should read $992.50. I think the breakeven number is probably in the neighborhood of $992.
With a shared revenue game we might have an overall payback of 87%. So what is the 1K meter worth as far as payback goes?
Starts at 976.4. It take $12 in action to move the meter one penny. That's $1200 per one dollar meter movement. Percentage wise it's a .00083333% meter.
Average hit would be halfway between $976.4 and 1000 so $988.20. That would be meter movement of $11.80.
11.8 X 1200 means it takes $14,160 in action to move the meter to $988.20
Dividing 988.20 by 14,160 means the 1K meter represents 7% of the payback.
Subtracting that 7% from the assigned value of the game, 87% means an 80% return between meter hits. That means a 20% drop/cost between meter hits.
If you were to enter the game at $992 the average hit would be $996. That's $4 meter movement. At $1200 in action per dollar movement it's a $4800 wager.
4800 X 20% = $960. It would pay $988 so just an average $28 profit. The breakeven would be somewhere between $991 and $992.
With an entry point of $993 the average cost would be reduced to $840 with an average pay of $996.50. So $126.50 in equity.
With an entry point of $994 the cost would be just $720 or $274 in equity.
This is all based on the game having an 87% overall return. The game may carry a little higher payback. If so then these playable numbers would show a much bigger profit.
But the game may be as low as 85%. If that's the case the breakeven number would be up around $992.50.