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Thread: Blatant Gambling Scammer Christopher Mitchell (YouTube/Baccarat/Roulette/Sportsbetting)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    So I have a few questions I'm pondering regarding the flat betting strategy...

    First off, WHY did he admit to a $1370 loss on "Day 13"? CM never admits to losses unless there are witnesses he's afraid will report otherwise. The only two we've seen have been:

    1) The $36k loss debacle in Biloxi, witnessed by multiple people

    2) The loss at Sycuan (San Diego area) where CM discovered that Kevin had some guy secretly recording him

    In both cases, CM knew he couldn't claim to have won, so those were his two "loss" videos. But now we have a third. I wonder what happened. Did he think he saw someone watching him or recording him?

    I doubt he just threw the loss in there to look real, because his flat betting strategy is "new", and he's trying to establish that it wins. It wouldn't make sense to say it lost near the very beginning. (As someone noted, Day 13 is misleading, because it was actually like day 3 or 4 of the flat betting strategy.)


    Also, the entire flat betting thing is bizarre because it ruins the entire premise of CM's scam. The Martingale thing "works" as a scam because most people walk away with a small-to-moderate win, while a lesser number of people get hit with devastating losses. Overall moneywise it's a disaster, but the number of net winners after one day probably outnumber the net losers.

    This is great for both repeat business and honest testimonials, which is what CM wants.

    Flat betting accomplishes neither. His clients will lose more than 50% of the time. The devastating losses won't be nearly as common, but the net wins will be much less common.


    My theory? CM is near busto. He can't afford to Martingale anymore. That requires a bankroll. He doesn't have one. He doesn't want to bring clients out to do Martingale, only to suffer the embarrassment that a "millionaire" like him can't afford to Martingale along with them at the $100 base bet level.

    So now he's moved to a flat betting strategy which he CAN afford to do (at least for the moment).

    Here are the signs he's low on cash:


    - Desperate attempts to raise cash quickly, such as the lol Skype coaching and prepaid sessions

    - Showing increasingly less evidence of any kind of real money he's using to gamble

    - The odd claim of "a $2,000 bankroll" for each session, where he even has been leaving a small excess (like $630) in the car in order to prevent himself from blowing it! What happened to betting big to win big?

    - The aforementioned flat betting strategy and abandoning of Martingale
    Druff I agree with your observations. My thoughts on Day 13 is he had parked in the Cosmo Garage and he’s walking towards the high limit room & the next think you know he is a sad little puppy in the car in the garage. I think it’s clear he took a loss but it was most likely greater than what he admitted on the video. Either that or the $2,000 loss represents such a substantial part of his roll that the loss really got to him. Buying in to the Cosmo Baccarat high limit table on a normal Saturday Night for $2,000 is like buying into 20/40 Limit for $400 bucks.

    I would be very surprised if the table minimum was not $200 for what looked like a packed Saturday Night. He could have even walked to the Bellagio (His “Second Home”) by habit. I’m speculating, but whatever he lost he didn’t have the chips, cash or the heart to put a positive spin on it. I think it’s highly likely on a Saturday Night that he was spotted in the heart of the strip dusting whatever he had on him. If he is worried about being spotted, it’s pretty dumb to go to the Cosmo with such a narrow and packed gaming floor on the biggest night of the week. I think the video was made because of a combination of being seen, getting smoked on the tables and just being beaten down. He had no choice but he was also clearly feeling the pain like in the two prior losing videos you site Druff.

    I agree that he probably left some cash in the car as a control measure, which is a sign of someone who is getting beat up at the tables to a point where they are trying to do these little mind tricks on themselves so they don’t go totally bust or chase with their entire rolls. CM being the opportunist he is, used the loss and the way he was feeling to spin it into “look I am so honest of a guy I am admitting a loss” and “my haters are lying scam-artists”.

    The flat betting is interesting on a few levels. It is an admission of the failure of the Martingale and especially for his version of it with the $100-$300 base bet. CM is not the kind of guy who would give up if he still had the funds to do it no matter how many times he’s had his dick kicked in at the table. That is why I believe it is bankroll driven like basically all of you that have posted recently do. He has stayed away from the prop money ever since that photo that showed the clear contrast from the giveaway a few weeks back in the money counter.

    I can tell you right now the flat betting is going to come with “pattern recognition” just like Brunson FX and Jason SCAMple. For a guy who takes every short cut possible he’s not going to find much use for the flat betting once he realizes the house edge and guessing right enough to beat it are going to end in more losing sessions than winning ones. Flat betting doesn’t fit his scam. The Marty was marketable while it lasted because as you always say Druff, you will win small more often & then get smashed. He hasn’t posted a video in a couple days, which may point to the wounds from the last loss being greater than advertised.

    My guess when come comes back Stacy and him will have been “analyzing” scorecards and will have come up with some kind of Flat-Marty Hybrid.

    Just a quick note btw. You are punished in the search algorithm when YouTube gives you a strike. My videos would come up over 50% with the same search terms on YouTube and they moved me down to just under 30%. So well done Christopher.
    Last edited by JeffDime; 07-01-2020 at 07:14 AM. Reason: Fucking Typos

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    So I have a few questions I'm pondering regarding the flat betting strategy...

    First off, WHY did he admit to a $1370 loss on "Day 13"? CM never admits to losses unless there are witnesses he's afraid will report otherwise. The only two we've seen have been:

    1) The $36k loss debacle in Biloxi, witnessed by multiple people

    2) The loss at Sycuan (San Diego area) where CM discovered that Kevin had some guy secretly recording him

    In both cases, CM knew he couldn't claim to have won, so those were his two "loss" videos. But now we have a third. I wonder what happened. Did he think he saw someone watching him or recording him?

    Todd, my dude, you are all over the map. We did a podcast with Rick Lee remember? I know your mind was more focused that night on a Bill Perkins tweet that proved to be nothing. However, while I was helping direct the interview, I stopped you & Rick Lee from going forward so that Rick could tell you how he lost another 10K a week later & CM lost another 30K a week after biloxi in las vegas. Then you have my witness who talked with Lucy that she lost nearly 15K 3 weeks ago with CM. So if she was piggy backing his bets, that would be another near 15K loss CM suffered. Then, I have another witness who said they watched CM lose almost another 10K this past weekend at Bellagio.
    .
    To keep guessing at whats happening is redundant. Bottomline, with the constant changes in his videos now wittled down to 2K buy ins says it all. That on top of the not posting videos every day in casinos like he said 1000x "im in casino every day making average of 5K a day"....... his bankroll is near gone and I doubt Stacy is going to let him lose her entire retirement she cashed out and the cunt was court ordered to pay half to her ex hisband and didnt. Stacy is also 4 months behind on child support, so the piece of trash will be met with serious resistance to see her daughter when they move back to ohio in September.

    If yall need more facts just watch my videos as a refresher course

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dustin Mc View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    So I have a few questions I'm pondering regarding the flat betting strategy...

    First off, WHY did he admit to a $1370 loss on "Day 13"? CM never admits to losses unless there are witnesses he's afraid will report otherwise. The only two we've seen have been:

    1) The $36k loss debacle in Biloxi, witnessed by multiple people

    2) The loss at Sycuan (San Diego area) where CM discovered that Kevin had some guy secretly recording him

    In both cases, CM knew he couldn't claim to have won, so those were his two "loss" videos. But now we have a third. I wonder what happened. Did he think he saw someone watching him or recording him?

    Todd, my dude, you are all over the map. We did a podcast with Rick Lee remember? I know your mind was more focused that night on a Bill Perkins tweet that proved to be nothing. However, while I was helping direct the interview, I stopped you & Rick Lee from going forward so that Rick could tell you how he lost another 10K a week later & CM lost another 30K a week after biloxi in las vegas. Then you have my witness who talked with Lucy that she lost nearly 15K 3 weeks ago with CM. So if she was piggy backing his bets, that would be another near 15K loss CM suffered. Then, I have another witness who said they watched CM lose almost another 10K this past weekend at Bellagio.
    .
    To keep guessing at whats happening is redundant. Bottomline, with the constant changes in his videos now wittled down to 2K buy ins says it all. That on top of the not posting videos every day in casinos like he said 1000x "im in casino every day making average of 5K a day"....... his bankroll is near gone and I doubt Stacy is going to let him lose her entire retirement she cashed out and the cunt was court ordered to pay half to her ex hisband and didnt. Stacy is also 4 months behind on child support, so the piece of trash will be met with serious resistance to see her daughter when they move back to ohio in September.

    If yall need more facts just watch my videos as a refresher course
    100 % agree

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    You just can’t keep a good man down. I must of lost my invitation in the mail.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dustin Mc View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    So I have a few questions I'm pondering regarding the flat betting strategy...

    First off, WHY did he admit to a $1370 loss on "Day 13"? CM never admits to losses unless there are witnesses he's afraid will report otherwise. The only two we've seen have been:

    1) The $36k loss debacle in Biloxi, witnessed by multiple people

    2) The loss at Sycuan (San Diego area) where CM discovered that Kevin had some guy secretly recording him

    In both cases, CM knew he couldn't claim to have won, so those were his two "loss" videos. But now we have a third. I wonder what happened. Did he think he saw someone watching him or recording him?

    Todd, my dude, you are all over the map. We did a podcast with Rick Lee remember? I know your mind was more focused that night on a Bill Perkins tweet that proved to be nothing. However, while I was helping direct the interview, I stopped you & Rick Lee from going forward so that Rick could tell you how he lost another 10K a week later & CM lost another 30K a week after biloxi in las vegas. Then you have my witness who talked with Lucy that she lost nearly 15K 3 weeks ago with CM. So if she was piggy backing his bets, that would be another near 15K loss CM suffered. Then, I have another witness who said they watched CM lose almost another 10K this past weekend at Bellagio.
    .
    To keep guessing at whats happening is redundant. Bottomline, with the constant changes in his videos now wittled down to 2K buy ins says it all. That on top of the not posting videos every day in casinos like he said 1000x "im in casino every day making average of 5K a day"....... his bankroll is near gone and I doubt Stacy is going to let him lose her entire retirement she cashed out and the cunt was court ordered to pay half to her ex hisband and didnt. Stacy is also 4 months behind on child support, so the piece of trash will be met with serious resistance to see her daughter when they move back to ohio in September.

    If yall need more facts just watch my videos as a refresher course
    Snap this guy off Druff. It was only a matter of time before he went after you.

     
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      Dustin Mc: OH PUSSY ASS, I CORRECTED TODD, SO DO YOUR PARENTS A FAVOR AND GKY

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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    You just can’t keep a good man down. I must of lost my invitation in the mail.

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    5000 SUBSCRIBERS, THANK YOU EVERYONE WHO SUBSCRIBED TO HIM AFTER HE BOUGHT 1000 OF YOU

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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    You just can’t keep a good man down. I must of lost my invitation in the mail.

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    Hey Jeff, look its that same dingy yellow shirt seen in 25% of his videos past 9 months

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dustin Mc View Post


    Todd, my dude, you are all over the map. We did a podcast with Rick Lee remember? I know your mind was more focused that night on a Bill Perkins tweet that proved to be nothing. However, while I was helping direct the interview, I stopped you & Rick Lee from going forward so that Rick could tell you how he lost another 10K a week later & CM lost another 30K a week after biloxi in las vegas. Then you have my witness who talked with Lucy that she lost nearly 15K 3 weeks ago with CM. So if she was piggy backing his bets, that would be another near 15K loss CM suffered. Then, I have another witness who said they watched CM lose almost another 10K this past weekend at Bellagio.
    .
    To keep guessing at whats happening is redundant. Bottomline, with the constant changes in his videos now wittled down to 2K buy ins says it all. That on top of the not posting videos every day in casinos like he said 1000x "im in casino every day making average of 5K a day"....... his bankroll is near gone and I doubt Stacy is going to let him lose her entire retirement she cashed out and the cunt was court ordered to pay half to her ex hisband and didnt. Stacy is also 4 months behind on child support, so the piece of trash will be met with serious resistance to see her daughter when they move back to ohio in September.

    If yall need more facts just watch my videos as a refresher course
    KD this is just unnecessary. Druff certainly doesn’t need anyone to defend him but he has been super supportive since Day 1. He has so much on his plate and he has found time to cover this on his show and come an add his very unique perspective to this thread. There is just is no harm in analyzing the videos. I think we all understand that you have boots on the ground and that is terrific, but everyone else who posts here doesn’t have that luxury. I understand when people take a swipe at you to defend yourself and come back at them. Druff has been nothing but supportive. That’s just my feeling on this and I’ll leave it at that.

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    Smile

    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dustin Mc View Post


    Todd, my dude, you are all over the map. We did a podcast with Rick Lee remember? I know your mind was more focused that night on a Bill Perkins tweet that proved to be nothing. However, while I was helping direct the interview, I stopped you & Rick Lee from going forward so that Rick could tell you how he lost another 10K a week later & CM lost another 30K a week after biloxi in las vegas. Then you have my witness who talked with Lucy that she lost nearly 15K 3 weeks ago with CM. So if she was piggy backing his bets, that would be another near 15K loss CM suffered. Then, I have another witness who said they watched CM lose almost another 10K this past weekend at Bellagio.
    .
    To keep guessing at whats happening is redundant. Bottomline, with the constant changes in his videos now wittled down to 2K buy ins says it all. That on top of the not posting videos every day in casinos like he said 1000x "im in casino every day making average of 5K a day"....... his bankroll is near gone and I doubt Stacy is going to let him lose her entire retirement she cashed out and the cunt was court ordered to pay half to her ex hisband and didnt. Stacy is also 4 months behind on child support, so the piece of trash will be met with serious resistance to see her daughter when they move back to ohio in September.

    If yall need more facts just watch my videos as a refresher course
    KD this is just unnecessary. Druff certainly doesn’t need anyone to defend him but he has been super supportive since Day 1. He has so much on his plate and he has found time to cover this on his show and come an add his very unique perspective to this thread. There is just is no harm in analyzing the videos. I think we all understand that you have boots on the ground and that is terrific, but everyone else who posts here doesn’t have that luxury. I understand when people take a swipe at you to defend yourself and come back at them. Druff has been nothing but supportive. That’s just my feeling on this and I’ll leave it at that.
    I think people around here are finally getting a feel for what KD is really about. I knew right away what type of person we were dealing with.

     
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      Dustin Mc: I think people around here are wondering why you haven't offed yourself yet
      
      Salty_Aus: Come at me bro & you're going home in a coffin.

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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dustin Mc View Post


    Todd, my dude, you are all over the map. We did a podcast with Rick Lee remember? I know your mind was more focused that night on a Bill Perkins tweet that proved to be nothing. However, while I was helping direct the interview, I stopped you & Rick Lee from going forward so that Rick could tell you how he lost another 10K a week later & CM lost another 30K a week after biloxi in las vegas. Then you have my witness who talked with Lucy that she lost nearly 15K 3 weeks ago with CM. So if she was piggy backing his bets, that would be another near 15K loss CM suffered. Then, I have another witness who said they watched CM lose almost another 10K this past weekend at Bellagio.
    .
    To keep guessing at whats happening is redundant. Bottomline, with the constant changes in his videos now wittled down to 2K buy ins says it all. That on top of the not posting videos every day in casinos like he said 1000x "im in casino every day making average of 5K a day"....... his bankroll is near gone and I doubt Stacy is going to let him lose her entire retirement she cashed out and the cunt was court ordered to pay half to her ex hisband and didnt. Stacy is also 4 months behind on child support, so the piece of trash will be met with serious resistance to see her daughter when they move back to ohio in September.

    If yall need more facts just watch my videos as a refresher course
    KD this is just unnecessary. Druff certainly doesn’t need anyone to defend him but he has been super supportive since Day 1. He has so much on his plate and he has found time to cover this on his show and come an add his very unique perspective to this thread. There is just is no harm in analyzing the videos. I think we all understand that you have boots on the ground and that is terrific, but everyone else who posts here doesn’t have that luxury. I understand when people take a swipe at you to defend yourself and come back at them. Druff has been nothing but supportive. That’s just my feeling on this and I’ll leave it at that.
    If druff doesnt need defending why are you jumping in to defend him when theres no need to be? I corrected him, in ways I correct people its that simple. He did a podcast about it, hes said hes watched my videos, yet was only about 60% correct in his post. Todd is a big boy and I'm quite sure he didn't take offense to it.

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    FIRST ENTRY, HE'S LIVESTREAMING

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    One SuperChat "tip" tonight on his live July 1 video: $5 from Adam Scheuplein.

    Tonight's winner of the special extra $100 midweek payout: Adam Scheuplein.

    Thank's Stacy.

     
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      JeffDime: What a coincidence right?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Forum Wars View Post
    One SuperChat "tip" tonight on his live July 1 video: $5 from Adam Scheuplein.

    Tonight's winner of the special extra $100 midweek payout: Adam Scheuplein.

    Thank's Stacy.

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    You can literally hear Stacy saying this as you read it. Chrissy you are fucking shameless. What church do you give 25K a year to?

     
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      Forum Wars: Right Jeff --- especially since it was the 2nd guess overall (and the first correct one wins it).

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dustin Mc View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    So I have a few questions I'm pondering regarding the flat betting strategy...

    First off, WHY did he admit to a $1370 loss on "Day 13"? CM never admits to losses unless there are witnesses he's afraid will report otherwise. The only two we've seen have been:

    1) The $36k loss debacle in Biloxi, witnessed by multiple people

    2) The loss at Sycuan (San Diego area) where CM discovered that Kevin had some guy secretly recording him

    In both cases, CM knew he couldn't claim to have won, so those were his two "loss" videos. But now we have a third. I wonder what happened. Did he think he saw someone watching him or recording him?

    Todd, my dude, you are all over the map. We did a podcast with Rick Lee remember? I know your mind was more focused that night on a Bill Perkins tweet that proved to be nothing. However, while I was helping direct the interview, I stopped you & Rick Lee from going forward so that Rick could tell you how he lost another 10K a week later & CM lost another 30K a week after biloxi in las vegas. Then you have my witness who talked with Lucy that she lost nearly 15K 3 weeks ago with CM. So if she was piggy backing his bets, that would be another near 15K loss CM suffered. Then, I have another witness who said they watched CM lose almost another 10K this past weekend at Bellagio.
    .
    To keep guessing at whats happening is redundant. Bottomline, with the constant changes in his videos now wittled down to 2K buy ins says it all. That on top of the not posting videos every day in casinos like he said 1000x "im in casino every day making average of 5K a day"....... his bankroll is near gone and I doubt Stacy is going to let him lose her entire retirement she cashed out and the cunt was court ordered to pay half to her ex hisband and didnt. Stacy is also 4 months behind on child support, so the piece of trash will be met with serious resistance to see her daughter when they move back to ohio in September.

    If yall need more facts just watch my videos as a refresher course
    Lmao STILL jealous of Bill Perkins. Hilarious.

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    Eerie, truly. Minds in play it appears:


     
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      The Shrink: These people are ridiculous.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Forum Wars View Post
    Eerie, truly. Minds in play it appears:

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    What is actually wrong with this Dempsey clown?


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    I don't understand Dempsey. His son is going to grow up believing that casino games can be beat with bullshit strategies.

    Dempsey stands up for CM. He emphasized in many videos that CM is not a scam because he "He gives the buyer something in return for their cash". He states that it is only a scam if "He did not give something in return". Definition of a SCAM: A DISHONEST SCHEME; A FRAUD. A scam can be so much more than just the exchange of money for something of value (perceived value or actual value).

    Here is an example. If I go to purchase a car, and I am told by the salesmen that they do not have the car I want in stock, however they can get me one delivered to the dealership. He tells me its a really nice model year 2018 car, in great condition, beautiful paint, custom rims. I sign all the paperwork, I own the car, the car is AS-IS. I go back to the dealership in a few days to pick up my car and they hand me a small box. I open the box and inside the box is a HOTWHEELS CAR.
    In this case I was given something of value in return for my money. How would this not be a scam? Would it hold up in Court? Maybe/Maybe not. But no doubt its a SCAM. Not seeing the vehicle in person is on par with people not investigating CM's strategies before paying him money. Remember, a scam doesn't necessarily have to be illegal. So just because you are given something in exchange for money doesn't mean its not a SCAM. The exchange of money is just one element. Most good scams have many elements.

    Mr. Dempsey, you really do seem like a nice guy. CM definitely has you fooled, as well as your thinking on gambling strategies in general, especially the martingale. You will not find a single long term winning advantage player/respected mathematician that will tell you these systems work. Structure your bets all you want, you can not overcome the house edge with these Bullshit strategies. You want to believe so bad that these type of strategies work.

    On last nights live stream, a follower asked the following:
    "Why does bouncing around tables increase your odds of winning"
    CM says, "Im definitely going to have to answer this question, I can not tell you how many times I get asked this in a day", but he fails to give a response and goes on to the next question.

    Then Dempsey says:"​If you sit at any table long enough the probabilities will catch up to you. If you bounce tables, it has to hit you at that exact moment. That’s why players table hop."

    CM replies: "BRIAN DEMPSEY SAID THAT PERFECTLY"

    Dempsey, I do not know even where to begin with this nonsense. How do the probabilities not apply if you go to another table? Do the cards know that you are new to the table? The cards do not know how long you have been there. The cards do not know what "patterns" are forming on the board. The cards do not know how many consecutive times banker or player has hit in a row. The cards do not know the size of your bet. The cards are not biased towards certain payers. The cards have no memory. The cards do not know if the game they are being used in is Baccarat or Blackjack. ACE plus ten in Baccarat is the second worst total (only next to 2 tens), in blackjack its the best possible hand, plus a 50% bonus. The cards are given their particular sequence by a RANDOM SHUFFLE. The probabilities do not change ONE IOTA by any of this. Some may believe by my postings that I am a "math guy"...
    NOPE, I failed to pass pre-algebra in high school. That is as far as I got with math. Don't try to reinvent the wheel, its already been done for you. If you want to make money in Casinos research legitimate proven ways. Your best best is to sign up to well respected forums, buy several books on the game of choice you want to beat, and listen to the weekly "Gambling With An Edge" podcast with Richard Munchkin and Bob Dancer. These are two of the best in their fields. They have both earned their income from gambling. They interview guest weekly primarily real advantage players that beat the casino. Try to network as well, it goes a long way.

    Your long term house edge is the same. As I stated earlier, these strategies have been disproved Centuries ago, every dollar that is placed in that betting circle is subject to the house edge, PERIOD.

    As Dan Druff stated in one of his podcast, when he was a young man he independently discovered the Martingale prior to realizing it was a system that had already been discovered. My story is similar, AT 13 YEARS OLD, I as well independently discovered the martingale. At the time I called it double after loss. With a little research I realized this was a strategy called the martingale and had been disproved hundreds of years ago. So yes, I believed in the Martingale for a few days at 13 years old. I think we all at one point in are lives "Discovered" the Martingale mine was at 13 years old, over 20 years ago (in my 30's now). CM and Dempsey in their 40's or older, are late bloomers to the gambling world and still believe the hype. Dempsey, research these strategies and I am sure will come to the same conclusions. If your going to spend your time with bogus strategies, you might as well take the time to learn legitimate winning methods.

    CM was caught off guard when his follower asked him about the casinos opening yesterday. He wasn't even aware they opened. Why? Because he is running out of money and cant gamble. The 5000 subscriber podcast was just a "link" to throw something out there and buy time so he doesn't go a week without posting.


    On a side note, CM really believes that LEE BRADBURY and KD are the same person, SMH. I am sure Lee Bradbury stopped posting here for legal reasons, but it would be nice to know what happened at their court date. If anyone wants to share info, but does not want to post on here, I am willing to listen through Private messages

     
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      The Shrink: Truth
      
      JeffDime: Great shit PV.
    Last edited by PositiveVariance; 07-02-2020 at 01:27 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by PositiveVariance View Post
    Then Dempsey says:"​If you sit at any table long enough the probabilities will catch up to you. If you bounce tables, it has to hit you at that exact moment. That’s why players table hop."

    CM replies: "BRIAN DEMPSEY SAID THAT PERFECTLY"

    Dempsey, I do not know even where to begin with this nonsense. How do the probabilities not apply if you go to another table? Do the cards know that you are new to the table? The cards do not know how long you have been there. The cards do not know what "patterns" are forming on the board. The cards do not know how many consecutive times banker or player has hit in a row. The cards do not know the size of your bet. The cards are not biased towards certain payers. The cards have no memory. The cards do not know if the game they are being used in is Baccarat or Blackjack. ACE plus ten in Baccarat is the second worst total (only next to 2 tens), in blackjack its the best possible hand, plus a 50% bonus. The cards are given their particular sequence by a RANDOM SHUFFLE. The probabilities do not change ONE IOTA by any of this.
    You summed up my own thoughts really well. For the life of me I can't understand why they all believe this pattern recognition bullshit. When I first saw a video with CM talking about "choppy" vs. "streaky" shoes I thought it was joke. He might as well have a video on the best strategy for choosing the hair color of a lucky Troll Doll to bring to the casino. It has absolutely no impact on whether you will win or lose. But yes, they seem to think that jumping tables makes you immune from the law of large numbers.

    And that kid. How does Dempsey not see how inappropriate it is to have your child participate in an online gambling scam beef video. It's so weird.

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    Quote Originally Posted by The Shrink View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post

    Shrink, you’re absolutely right it is very strange. Forgive me as I do my best as a layman to give you my feelings about it what’s going on in that guy’s head.

    The child is his shield and I think he knows it. He is responding to comments and videos that I have made with his you son right beside him. It’s human nature and I will admit it has an effect on me to not call his father a total fool with his son right there. It is completely inappropriate for him to manipulate the blowback using his child but that is why I have been more cordial to him. Thinking about it now it upsets me what he is doing. Maybe in retrospect I would say I can’t respond with your son right there as this is an adult conversation. I plan to do that going forward. If I was a betting man (and yes I am) I think he knows fully well what he is doing. Does this make him a bad guy? I don’t know I am conflicted. He seems like a decent but not so bright a human being.

    As far as him being a Jock Sniffer to Baccarat scammers I honestly believe he thinks that “strategies & systems” work. He has a notebook and basically claims to be a low stakes baccarat player who uses the martingale system but with very low base bets. Online he will do $1 base bets. I think he has been profitable for a year or so and has just faded the variance of Martingale biting him in the ass. He is a a low stakes guy as he was kicked out of Jason Sample’s Facebook group for voicing concerns that $50/month was not worth it.

    My final hypothesis- He believes in these systems. He wants there to be systems & strategies that work so badly that he is blinded to what a wretched human being Christopher Mitchell is. He’s probably told his wife, friends, family etc that he has a baccarat system that supplements his income. By some twisted logic that ends up putting him on the wrong side and aligns him with some pretty rotten people. He just wants to believe so badly. He is probably a believer in conspiracy theories. I’m sure you know the type Shrink.

    But hey that’s just my opinion....I could be wrong.

    Editorial- Maybe I don’t want to be the one to tell the kid there’s no Santa Claus.

    Additional Note- To further show how the child is weaponized in one video Dempsey brings up that KD used a clip of Kyle’s porn face in a video. As the use of crude humor in a video does anything to further his argument? He is just mentioning this because his kid is there and KD is “not being nice” to CM. I will admit I enjoy using profanity and don’t see it as a stigma for being “lower class” anymore like it may have been a generation or two ago. Of course there are plenty of occasions where it is not appropriate but making a YouTube video about CM isn’t one of them. Parents should not allow their young children to curse at home or school but adults can have at it.
    Yeah, I think your general hypothesis is correct - his confirmation bias is leading him to search for legitimacy in these systems while completely ignoring obvious facts that demonstrate that they don't work. It's despicable to use his kid as a prop in these videos. Hopefully as he gets into his teens his dad will have moved on to something else otherwise that kid will have a gambling problem. His dad is poisoning his brain with this shit.
    This was my feelings about Dempsey a few weeks ago and it still stands today. I agree with PV’s post. CM and Dempsey are just so simple minded they think if they jump tables before the martingale bomb goes off that is a sound strategy. It’s just low level thinking.

    As for the Pattern Recognition bullshit. This is what Brunson FX and Jason Sample have used. What it does is it makes the marks feel like they are figuring out some sort of puzzle and a simple one at that. It’s obviously horseshit and that’s why the casino furnishes the scorecards and puts everything on the board so people can feel like they are betting with an advantage when they are simply not. With that being said, there are people who claim to be baccarat APs who basically do a form of pattern recognition. Seems to all stem from superstitions in Chinese and other Asian cultures.

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