Originally Posted by
Dan Druff
Okay, so I'm watching his video about his Vegas life in 2020 (the $74k loss one). Actually far more interesting than his usual spiel of, "I'm so rich, my system is so great, you are so poor because you're not buying my system and getting rich, etc".
I'm about 10 minutes in, and he's already dropped various tidbits which actually might be true or mostly true.
Of course, it's a bit frustrating watching him misuse the term "bankroll", as that tends to mean "money you can afford to lose gambling", not "money you have on you at the moment". It seems he means the latter, which would explain why his "biggest bankroll" was listed at $50k, and his "biggest monthly loss" was listed as $74k, which would make no sense.
Anyway, where I think there's some truth involving the reason he was carrying around the $50k. He said at the 7:37 minute mark that he would carry around $50k to the casino because he never had money like that before. I believe him! With all the talk of "rich people" and "poor people" from CM, this was an example of a poor person who temporarily got rich, and carried around the cash to feel like a rich person. In fact, he basically admits that was the reason.
Now, let's go back to early in this thread. Remember when I had my debate with Kevin Davis, when I said I believed that the money he was flashing was real, and Kevin kept insisting it was Chinese prop money? Remember how I eventually came around to agree with Kevin, but said I still wasn't certain?
Well, I think we were both right. I believe Chrissy started flashing the $50k on camera at first because it WAS REAL, and the dummy really thought he had a winning system he could teach anyone, for additional income. So he was flashing that $50k for the same reason he walked around with it in the casino!
However, we all know about the carnage in February, where he lost that $74k, yet he was still flashing $50k for months after that. When challenged to prove it was real, he kept swearing he would, but always danced around actually proving it in the videos where he claimed he'd do so, and then would delete those videos when the skeptics would tear them apart.
So what happened? I think that he initially flashed a real $50k, chunked it off in February, and then bought Chinese prop money to continue the facade.
I also think Chrissy really was winning in late 2019 and in January 2020, just through dumb luck. That's likely how he ran up a lot of the money, at which point he decided to combine his "winning system" (lol) with his previous internet sales tactics, and felt he could make even more money by teaching others how to succeed like he did.
Then came February, the variance caught up, and he went broke, or close to it.
He's been chasing that January 2020 money ever since. In the meantime, he's supporting himself by "teaching" suckers.
But what's the end game? I think I now know.
I believe Chrissy is actually dumb enough to think that he really will become a millionaire using his system, if he can just get a bankroll established again.
It always confused me why Chrissy would actually play at fairly high stakes with his "customers", if he knew he had a losing system. I figured that he was either delusional (that he thought his systems really worked, and he was just unlucky) or a degenerate who couldn't control himself. Or both.
However, it's deeper than that. I think he really believes that he has the key to riches, and just needs the bankroll to withstand the swings. This would even explain why he doesn't feel he's a scammer. He thinks he's teaching people how to win. Sure, he's lying about his "success", winrate, and money made from his system, but who cares? He's teaching them winning information, right?
Chrissy is either too dumb or too stubborn to realize that his system is simple, stupid, and has been tried countless times by gamblers, even before he was born. They have no mathematical basis and have been disproved tons of times. He hasn't found anything new, exciting, or +EV. He's just teaching people how to play worse and how to lose money faster, and is legitimately ruining their lives by giving them a false sense of confidence.
But to Chrissy, those riches he's always dreamed of are just around the corner, or so he thinks. And when there's any self-doubt, he thinks back to October 2019-January 2020, when it all came so easily. If it happened once, that had to be the norm, right? And he was able to blame his subsequent losses on all kinds of things -- unusual bad luck, lack of self-discipline, his system needing a few tweaks, etc.
I also think Stacy is sold on the delusion, at least for now. He even mentioned once that she helped come up with one of his systems, which I believe. I can only imagine those two dummies brainstorming their simplistic "gambling systems" which will take Vegas by storm.
This also means Chrissy will never give up on this, or at least not as long as he believes his system really works, and how it made him (temporarily) "rich" in January.
Here's the truth, Chrissy:
I am a 20-year professional gambler with a documented history of success. I'm not a "broke jealous hater". Your system is crap. It doesn't work. It won't work for you, and it won't work for your customers. It just hurts people -- yourself, Stacy, and your son included. Time to give up. You had a lucky run a year ago, but it's over. Your story is one that almost every problem gambler can tell -- the occasional hot streak you're always chasing to happen again. All of your strategies have been tried by wannabe-pro-gamblers for decades, and they've all failed, because you simply can't beat long term mathematics. It's how all the casinos were built.
You have some talent at sales, I'll give you that. As The Shrink pointed out, you could sell timeshares, or pretty much anything, and probably rack up some pretty good numbers and nice commissions. Sure, this is a real job with a real boss and real hours, but that's a way you could make money, get your thrills out of bullshitting people, and it's all legal. At least you'll make decent money that way. Chasing your professional baccarat dream -- and scamming people to keep in action -- will only lead to misery for a lot of human beings, including you.
Quit this silly scam and get on with your life.