Druff did a segment on Chrissy for PFA radio Saturday night. Anyone going through this thread can click on the link below or go to the radio archive section in the forum (Any many other ways btw). The entire show is terrific but if you want to listen to the Chrissy segment first it starts at 3:34:33 and goes for about half an hour.
https://pokerfraudalert.com/radio/ra...2-21-00-01.mp3
Christopher Mitchell went full retard.
Christopher Mitchell’s true life story that inspired the movie ‘simplǝ Jack’
Christopher’s stories makes his eyes rain.
Last edited by donkey; 12-14-2020 at 05:34 PM.
I’d like to know how this guy thinks he’s going to have a Baccarat boot camp now. Assuming he had 40 people committed to showing up (which of course he likely did not)...you put those 40 people into a suite together and you’ll have the Nevada COVID crew hauling people away. The Governor yesterday extended all the indoor capacity restrictions till January 15th
But of course we know our boy Chrissy thinks COVID is a hoax (well...other than his one sympathetic statement the other day about him feeling for the families of its victims). So it wouldn’t shock me if he somehow gets caught with a group of non-masked fan boys gathered in his suite learning how to be super-spreaders.
Paying Chrissy to go to Baccarat Boot Camp is like paying Lorena Bobbit to help with your Erectile Dysfunction.
Holy cow!!! For once he actually makes some sense when it comes to betting strategy...and one that won’t wipe out anyone’s bankroll too quickly.
I play a very similar progression to this in Blackjack and it works for me there...But I’d imagine in Baccarat it would even be safer since you’re not doubling your bet at any point. You are however going to get screwed if the shoe is mostly chop or if streaks don’t occasionally get above two. No you’re not coming away a winner 99% of the time with this strategy...but I would think even CM isn’t dumb enough to make that claim here.
Once again though he’s focusing on the “low roller.” Does this mean he’s trying to be more appealing or is it that he himself has become a low roller? His recent gambling sessions seem to indicate the latter.
Folks! Folks! Calling all low roller suckers! Martingale! Side Bet! Flat Bet! Step right up! Chrissy the Clown has the best strategy for you to lose your hard earned cash. Come on down! Your scamming days are dwindling down you fucking Bozo.
It's so hilarious the ass clown Kyle has gone from 100 minimum bet to 25?!?!?! WTF?!!?! What a tool!! So, what's the state of Vegas. May be out there in 3 weeks....(gladly leaving before the Kyle/Bob/and what's his name 3 way cumfest). Just asking. Would love to see that ass clown recording somewhere because we all know he is non-existent in a HL room lately.....
FYI, there is no such thing as a winning betting system. If your bets are placed where 100% of them are -EV (as Chrissy's are), then your expectation is to lose, no matter how you structure your bets.
Chrissy simply cannot grasp this concept.
Pressing bets has a big flaw in that it wipes out winnings faster.
Chrissy's instruction is to start out betting 25, and keep betting 25 if you lose, but bet 50 following a win. His rationale is that you already won your initial $25, so a subsequent $50 bet is betting half with "house money", and therefore you're not risking as much.
That's where his mistake lies. There is no such thing as house money. All money won is yours, and it's worth the same as if you earned it at your job. All money lost is no longer yours, and it's the same as if you never had it.
So looking at his system, when you bet $25 initially, and then kick your next bet to $50, if you lose, then you're down $25, when you should be even, had you kept your bets at $25. That's a huge difference. This will happen often enough to where it eats your additional profit by betting $50 while on a winning streak.
Now, I will say that bet-pressing is a good strategy if your only goal is to gamble in a low-risk, high-reward scenario (which is still -EV, however). Chrissy's system would still suck for such a goal, because it's not aggressive enough. An aggressive bet-pressing strategy involves rapidly escalating your bets as you win, with the goal of bailing out and quitting once you go on a big lucky run. This will kill you in the long run, and you'll lose almost every session trying to chase this, but if that's your goal, then bet-pressing is the way to achieve it. This type of strategy is used for bonus rollover clearing online (where you have to wager something like 40x your bonus to be able to withdraw it), and also for tournament type situations where the goal is to end up with the most money after a lot of hands. Otherwise, it isn't recommended.
It's pretty much the opposite of the Martingale. If you start low enough, the Martingale will result in small wins most of the time, and devastating losses occasionally. With aggressive bet pressing, you'll lose a moderate amount most of the time, and once in awhile win big (but not enough to be +EV in the long run).
By contrast, blackjack card counting is also a betting system, but it vastly differs in that it has you placing large bets during hands where you're +EV, and small bets when you're -EV, thus allowing you to show an expected profit, even when losing the majority of hands.
And yeah, it's obvious that Chrissy is hurting right now. He's focusing on "low rollers" because he's become one himself -- and not by choice.
He's also not likely getting many suckers buying his crappy system for $500, so now he's forced himself to lower the price, and to aim the entire thing at low rollers, hoping that these people have wanted to buy the system previously, but simply couldn't afford it.
It's not too different from what the Vegas strip hotels are doing during the pandemic. They've drastically lowered prices, knowing that their usual clientele (older, and middle class or above) isn't all that interested in going to casinos right now. They hoped to attract the younger, less affluent crowd, which wanted to go to the Vegas strip in the past, but couldn't afford it. Well, that's the crowd they got, hence the immense spike in crime on the strip. Middle-class families and retirees have been replaced by LA street gangs. Not a good trade!
Anyway, Chrissy is circling the drain here. I really wonder what he's going to do when the scam runs out of suckers. It looked like he almost quit at that one point a few months ago, presumably when he was informed by various strip properties that he can't bring "clients" there anymore. Then he reinvented himself to sell $500 coaching via his Facebook group, and the scam continued.
Also, Stacy is pretty awful. She gets more of a pass than she deserves.
Not only is she knowingly going along with Chrissy's scams, and appearing in many videos to back up his lies, but she also ditched her 11-year-old daughter to run off with Chrissy to Vegas.
I know she lost custody, but she was still allowed to regularly see the girl. She chose not to do so, and instead left the state. What kind of cold piece of shit mom would do such a thing? She basically chose Chrissy and his piece of shit scams over her own daughter.
As a result, her daughter is now growing into her teenage years (she just turned 13) without a mom. I'm sure her dad loves her and is trying his best, but it's very unhealthy for a teenage girl to grow up without a mom present. I hope the girl ends up okay. Maybe she's better off this way, as she's no longer exposed to Chrissy and all of his bullshit.
Keep in mind that Stacy didn't even need to do this.
It's not like she was broke and had no options. She's an RN who had a good job, and presumably made decent money. She could have stayed in Ohio, met a normal dude with a normal job (as opposed to a career scammer), and worked her way back into 50% custody through the court system.
She threw everything away -- her daughter and her career -- to support Chrissy's delusional scams. Talk about bad decision making.
KD in his video yesterday brought up the fact that we haven’t seen Stacy much of late...which I admit I hadn’t necessarily noticed. Something may be changing there. The last time we did see her was when they were at Luxor....and i did notice how both times he filmed there he wen in the “second bedroom” (which is just a standard king room adjacent to the suite) and had the connecting door shut. There may be something to the fact that they seem to be getting two bedroom suites as of late. In theory they shouldn’t need that.Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Stacy also hasn’t updated her channel in quite a while (not that she had much of a following to do updates for regardless).
Stacy is now fucked for life, or for atleast the next 17 years or so, because she doubled down and had a kid with this narcissist.
CM will always be able to hang the child over her, and the moment she tries to get away, he'll do anything he can, including frivolous police reports and court filings to make sure she stays under his thumb.
He's already showed his willingness to commit frivolous acts to get his way, and has no problems with lying under oath.
What is it about guys that play negative EV games of chance and true identities...didn't "The King of Bac" already "Screw up da facts" about Kevin William Davis Lee Bradbury?
Sigh
What is it about guys that play negative EV games of chance and true identities...didn't "The King of Bac" already "Screw up da facts" about Kevin William Davis Lee Bradbury?
Sigh
Brand new channel, and the first video already has 4k views in 12 hours. Who ever is behind this they used edited clips taken from a previous Brian Dempsey video he uploaded a few months back.
They took clips from this video:
I recall KD saying in one of his recent videos Jason Sample and his minion's were threatening him. My guess is they are behind it. Who would actually support Chrissy Mitchell?
Last edited by PositiveVariance; 12-17-2020 at 12:00 AM.
Wonder who is behind that account.
Doesn't look like CM's style. In fact, I bet CM will be too dumb to believe it, and he will keep doubling down on believing that KD is Lee Bradbury.
Just got around to listening to radio and the part where you played these clips. Wow. So painful.
Now THAT is real narcissism. The grandiose idea of him being some kind of celebrity is so pathetic and delusional. The story about the woman's husband who died and the CM video being left on pause is preposterous but exactly the type of story a narcissist would make up. This guy is so oblivious and can only see the world through his pitiful egocentric viewpoint that he can't even come up with a plausible story about being recognized in Vegas. I guarantee you that he took an incident that was far less noteworthy (for example, maybe a woman approached him in a casino and told him that her husband back home watches his videos) and made up details to create this outlandish tale to make it more interesting and to be something that might happen to a real celebrity.
He's completely obsessed with being worshiped for his status. And you know what people telling the truth DO NOT say every 15 seconds? "This is a true story, I swear to god."
At this point I am not going to comment or make a video regarding the KD exposed videos. I think people should read this comment log and make their own judgment as to the motive here.
All I will say is whatever you want to say about KD or any of Chrissy’s critics, including myself, it doesn’t mitigate who CM is and what he’s done. Smearing others doesn’t change a dam thing about Christopher Mitchell. Bill, if you do come by this thread, I have always appreciated your support. You did a great thing here and got a lot of info we wouldn’t have otherwise as to the motivations behind the videos.
I think we will have to see going forward what Chrissy says about KD in his future videos. If he still calls him "Lee Bradbury", then we know that this account probably has nothing to do with him.
It's possible that it's another KD-hater trying to make it look like they're Christopher or doing it on behalf of him. The writing style doesn't match Chrissy's. Perhaps it's Stacy, but the writing style also doesn't match that of "Red Pill", which I believe to be her.
It is possible it's one of Chrissy's buddies. But if that's true, then Chrissy will probably start saying KD is really KD, and not Lee Bradbury. So we will have to see.
There are 3 videos so far on that account, all being under 2 minutes, and all posted yesterday. One of the videos claims that KD has previously shown paintball-related things in his videos, and then shows that KD has a few e-mails related to paintball. If that's true, then it probably is the same guy, but I don't recall KD talking about paintball. Does anyone remember any paintball stuff in KD's videos?
This could never be Dempsey. He was included in that video as a red herring. He would never threaten me, I’m sure of that.
Last edited by JeffDime; 12-17-2020 at 08:54 PM.
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