Bro? Don't ever call me or anyone bro again.Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Ouch! That hurts bro. You mean we aren’t internet pals anymore? Fucking loser.
Bro... lol
You're like 40 or 50 and running around calling guys BRO?
Not only are you a stupid whale and an asshole but you're also a dork on top of it.
Ok so if there's going to be a bet about the percentage of the black vote Trump gets, how would the winner be determined if not by exit polls?
You can’t be this stupid. Well, you could be a big bird dupe.
You still believe exit polls? CNN exit polls at that.
Lol.
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
Sick burn.Bro? Don't ever call me or anyone bro again.
Bro... lol
You're like 40 or 50 and running around calling guys BRO?
Not only are you a stupid whale and an asshole but you're also a dork on top of it.
Didn’t you recently say that you were ignoring me?
But you can’t. Not since I took all that sick cash from your wife’s savings account.
Now go fetch your wife’s slippers and cook her dinner.
I’m not worried about a bet. Just making the rational observation based upon the polling from the last election that it’s not reliable.Ok so if there's going to be a bet about the percentage of the black vote Trump gets, how would the winner be determined if not by exit polls?
It's reliable. Hillary at 85% means 1/6 times Trump wins.I’m not worried about a bet. Just making the rational observation based upon the polling from the last election that it’s not reliable.
How does a forum full of poker players not understand this. It's no different than calling with a set vs. a flush draw. You're right to do it and will still lose 40% of the time.
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
yeah but last time the flush got there, so let's stick it in with a draw againIt's reliable. Hillary at 85% means 1/6 times Trump wins.
How does a forum full of poker players not understand this. It's no different than calling with a set vs. a flush draw. You're right to do it and will still lose 40% of the time.
It's reliable. Hillary at 85% means 1/6 times Trump wins.
How does a forum full of poker players not understand this. It's no different than calling with a set vs. a flush draw. You're right to do it and will still lose 40% of the time.
https://www.businessinsider.com/poll...hy-2016-11?amp
You're a dummy.
You're a dummy.
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
Care to offer a substantive elaboration?
Care to offer a substantive elaboration?
I already did. Percentages means just that. Percentages. Not certainties.
Care to offer a substantive elaboration?
If Hillary were 99.9% to win, Trump would still win 1 out of 1,000 times. That doesn't mean the polls are wrong or unreliable. The results were actually within the margin of error of the polls in most states.
The article you linked is innumerate, and is going for drama about how it's impossible to poll anymore. Hogwash. This is a hard concept for many people to grasp, I get it. But this is a forum full of poker players who should understand the concept of making the right play even if you get a bad result. You get your money in good and sometimes you still lose.
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
false, they were wrong because trump wins 100 out of 100 elections against HillaryI already did. Percentages means just that. Percentages. Not certainties.
If Hillary were 99.9% to win, Trump would still win 1 out of 1,000 times. That doesn't mean the polls are wrong or unreliable. The results were actually within the margin of error of the polls in most states.
The article you linked is innumerate, and is going for drama about how it's impossible to poll anymore. Hogwash. This is a hard concept for many people to grasp, I get it. But this is a forum full of poker players who should understand the concept of making the right play even if you get a bad result. You get your money in good and sometimes you still lose.
I didn’t say I think he was going to win 25%. I laid out a plausible scenario where he could win the popular vote. He probably wins popular vote getting 15% as well but it would be a lot closer.
I think people have a tendency to look at the future through the lens of today and not what might happen.
What if Trump issued an Executive Order granting clemency for all non violent cannabis offenders?
Tie that with an Executive Order requiring body cameras on officers and you make a significant dent.
In regards to polling, Biden is up by more than Clinton was at this point in the race. The polls were saying Clinton would win by 4, but she ended up only winning by 2. If the polls have the same error and Biden only wins by 6 instead of 8, he'll still win in a landslide.
Furthermore, there's fewer undecideds this year than there was in 2016. You'd much rather be down 37-43 than be down 44-50, even though the margin's the same and you'll just see them reported as "+6".
News flash: Trump won the Presidency in 2016
The polls are actually garbage at the moment because they are push polling.
Look at CNN’s poll, has Biden up 14 points. The sample says the electorate will be 26% Blacks, even though they make up 13% of the population.
Polls are total garbage at the moment and just like 2016 when they were push polling and then the last couple days they all swung a lot closer.
Just so you know, Clinton was up in every poll in October by 8-11 points after the Access Hollywood tape. You really need to get your facts straight. Different times, but if the economy is on the upswing in November Trump will coast. Trump's 44 base is firm, Biden has no base. With all that said if the economy is still in the shitter Trump is going to lose and we have a dementia ridden President but oh well, I will still print money. I rely on myself.
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