**OFFICIAL Donald J. Trump vs. Joseph (Joe) R. Biden Thread - 2020 Presidential Election**

[SPIT this]

Sure, I'm open to that too. So you have Trump +3%. If Biden wins by less than 3% or loses, you win. $250. Escrow to Druff by August 31st. Deal?

If trump wins or loses by less than 3% I win. If Biden wins by 8% +1 you win. Anything in between is a push. $250 w druff. Let’s post by 9/30. No need to tie the money up. But the bet is booked As of today. Election must go off w trump and Biden on the ticket and alive on Election Day. Agreed?

Ok no, this is getting silly. I thought you wanted the o/u at 3%. I'm not letting you buy 3% when I only win at 8%+. Forget it.

But I am glad you admit it's more likely that Biden will win by 8% than Trump winning by any margin. Even the most ardent Trumpers are hoping for a small popular vote loss that results in an electoral win.

[SPIT this]

I wish I had your confidence spit. You’ve nailed most of this thus far, so I’m heartened you’re this confident

What’s 8% roughly? 375ev’s?

Yes, approximately. It should look something like this. With IA/OH lean D, and TX lean R.

[big dick]

I didn’t read your original proposition very carefully the first time. I assumed I would win if Biden didn’t win the popular vote by 8%. It will be unlikely trump wins the popular vote unless the riots run through the summer. So you would basically be on a freeroll. If you give me/trump 3% I will do it. Otherwise I don’t see any +ev.

"I didn’t read your original proposition very carefully the first time"

You must be 1 hell of a lawyer





Whale

.

[Dan Druff]

This might be a good time to buy low on Trump on Predictit, even if you think he will ultimately lose.

As I said before, there are various factors likely coming which can prop him back up:

1) General backlash against the riots and the "defund the police" crap, which has been rapidly irritating the swing voter types

2) V-shaped recovery which is likely coming in some form

3) Biden making a fool of himself and everyone fully realizing they'd be voting for a senile person


This might not be enough to push Trump over the top, but I think his numbers will look a LOT better going forward. That plus the fact that Presidential challengers tend to do better in the polls around the middle of an election year, only to slip as time passes and more negative things about them are exposed.

[Walter Sobchak]

This might be a good time to buy low on Trump on Predictit, even if you think he will ultimately lose.

As I said before, there are various factors likely coming which can prop him back up:

1) General backlash against the riots and the "defund the police" crap, which has been rapidly irritating the swing voter types

2) V-shaped recovery which is likely coming in some form

3) Biden making a fool of himself and everyone fully realizing they'd be voting for a senile person


This might not be enough to push Trump over the top, but I think his numbers will look a LOT better going forward. That plus the fact that Presidential challengers tend to do better in the polls around the middle of an election year, only to slip as time passes and more negative things about them are exposed.

Item 1 will work against Trump not Biden. Chaos always hits the incumbent.

Item 2 isn't going to happen. The markets are back, but the markets aren't the economy. Recovery for the middle and working class won't pick up much steam until next year.

Item 3 Biden couldn't make more of a fool of himself than Trump.

Biden has been in politics for 40 years and has run for president before. There are no more skeletons in the closet, that's why Trump and his people are already making them up.

Trump can still win due to voter suppression in key states, the Electoral College and the Russians. It won't be because he will actually increase his support.

[dwai]

This might be a good time to buy low on Trump on Predictit, even if you think he will ultimately lose.

As I said before, there are various factors likely coming which can prop him back up:

1) General backlash against the riots and the "defund the police" crap, which has been rapidly irritating the swing voter types

2) V-shaped recovery which is likely coming in some form

3) Biden making a fool of himself and everyone fully realizing they'd be voting for a senile person


This might not be enough to push Trump over the top, but I think his numbers will look a LOT better going forward. That plus the fact that Presidential challengers tend to do better in the polls around the middle of an election year, only to slip as time passes and more negative things about them are exposed.

Item 1 will work against Trump not Biden. Chaos always hits the incumbent.

Item 2 isn't going to happen. The markets are back, but the markets aren't the economy. Recovery for the middle and working class won't pick up much steam until next year.

Item 3 Biden couldn't make more of a fool of himself than Trump.

Biden has been in politics for 40 years and has run for president before. There are no more skeletons in the closet, that's why Trump and his people are already making them up.

Trump can still win due to voter suppression in key states, the Electoral College and the Russians. It won't be because he will actually increase his support.

[Walter Sobchak]

Item 1 will work against Trump not Biden. Chaos always hits the incumbent.

Item 2 isn't going to happen. The markets are back, but the markets aren't the economy. Recovery for the middle and working class won't pick up much steam until next year.

Item 3 Biden couldn't make more of a fool of himself than Trump.

Biden has been in politics for 40 years and has run for president before. There are no more skeletons in the closet, that's why Trump and his people are already making them up.

Trump can still win due to voter suppression in key states, the Electoral College and the Russians. It won't be because he will actually increase his support.

It's fun watching you tilt. I bet you're just a giant panda bear in real life. You're ok with me but stop using the n-word will ya.

[dwai]

It's fun watching you tilt. I bet you're just a giant panda bear in real life. You're ok with me but stop using the n-word will ya.

I don't think I've used it in awhile

[Sam Snead]

This should be bumped. It's been my version of the bible. How glorious is all this going to be after Biden wins in a landslide? MAGA morons get ready to enjoy your McPence sandwich.

How Godly is Tommy Lee to know that we are halfway to removing confederate statues and replacing them with BLM Leaders? A George Floyd statue replacing Robert the loser Lee? Would love to see it.

[mulva]

"The CNN poll out today is another skewed anti-Trump poll of only 25% Republican. It’s a poll of 1,259 adults – not even registered voters"


lol, so cnn is rigging polls now.

[SPIT this]

Unskew the polls!

[thesidedish]

Trump goes from +110 to even on sportsbook today while he gets a few pennies cheaper on predictit hmmmmmmm MORONS!!!!

[SPIT this]

Trump goes from +110 to even on sportsbook today while he gets a few pennies cheaper on predictit hmmmmmmm MORONS!!!!

So what's the problem? Go make money off the disparity.

[mulva]

makes sense polls are fake now....... plenty of money and potential influence to be made off of them.

there's been polls/ratings about trump since the 1st day he took office..almost to the point where there was one every week.

[SPIT this]

About 28% of voters identify as Republican. So 25% doesn't sound far off.

[BCR]

Dish if you’re thinking trump slide, him winning the popular vote is priced at .17 . Value if you think he’ll win bigger and I know you like long shots.

[SPIT this]

I looked at that CNN poll. 25% identified as Republicans, 32% as Democrats. That's pretty close to what affiliations tend to be:

https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/p...filiation.aspx

I know, Gallup is fake too.

[duped_samaritan]

This might be a good time to buy low on Trump on Predictit, even if you think he will ultimately lose.

As I said before, there are various factors likely coming which can prop him back up:

1) General backlash against the riots and the "defund the police" crap, which has been rapidly irritating the swing voter types

2) V-shaped recovery which is likely coming in some form

3) Biden making a fool of himself and everyone fully realizing they'd be voting for a senile person

4) Putin.

[thesidedish]

Trump goes from +110 to even on sportsbook today while he gets a few pennies cheaper on predictit hmmmmmmm MORONS!!!!

So what's the problem? Go make money off the disparity.

that's the point of my post moron!!!!

[thesidedish]

Dish if you’re thinking trump slide, him winning the popular vote is priced at .17 . Value if you think he’ll win bigger and I know you like long shots.

got my eyes on Trump to win by 100-149 EVs for .06