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Thread: **OFFICIAL Donald J. Trump vs. Joseph (Joe) R. Biden Thread - 2020 Presidential Election**

  1. #7501
    Gold Salty_Aus's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Hate to say it, but I think Trump is donk fucking down because of the Michigan thing. He may lose GA, too.

    I think he will hold PA.

    Even Pennsylvania is now a flip and 2 hours ago I thought it was a Republican win.

    Doesn't look good for the orange one.

  2. #7502
    Speedster Out of Clemson adamantium's Avatar
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    lol at even talking about if all votes should be counted wtf is happening to the US
    Slava Ukraini!

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    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Hate to say it, but I think Trump is donk fucking down because of the Michigan thing. He may lose GA, too.

    I think he will hold PA.


    Sounds like something somebody said 3 hours ago!
    You get yet another prognosticator rep when my rep refills

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

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  4. #7504
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by adamantium View Post
    lol at even talking about if all votes should be counted wtf is happening to the US
    The US has been having the same fight in different forms since 1787.

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

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  5. #7505
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Hate to say it, but I think Trump is donk fucking down because of the Michigan thing. He may lose GA, too.

    I think he will hold PA.

    Your best post in all my years on pfa

  6. #7506
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Predicit really is a joke.

    I deposited $850 to at least fire on Biden and make some free $ from those in denial.

    It says "Maximum number of traders on this contract"

    Well thanks a fucking lot for telling me after I deposited. Then I tried Michigan, same thing.

    They're going to charge me 5% to withdraw it back, which is criminal. F them right in the ass.

     
    Comments
      
      adamantium: right in the ass
      
      tony bagadonuts: straight into that ass

  7. #7507
    Diamond blake's Avatar
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    just waking up, i honestly don't know what's happening. am i still posting in this site or hiding?

  8. #7508
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Predicit really is a joke.

    I deposited $850 to at least fire on Biden and make some free $ from those in denial.

    It says "Maximum number of traders on this contract"

    Well thanks a fucking lot for telling me after I deposited. Then I tried Michigan, same thing.

    They're going to charge me 5% to withdraw it back, which is criminal. F them right in the ass.
    This is why PredictIt has no predictive value. It has neither the volume nor the liquidity nor the "freedom" (due to artificial constraints) to be an efficient market with predictive value.

    Try to get them to let you withdraw without the fee, otherwise leave the money there and bet on something else you like sometime in the future.

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

    PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL

  9. #7509
    Speedster Out of Clemson adamantium's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by blake View Post
    just waking up, i honestly don't know what's happening. am i still posting in this site or hiding?
    you should probably start quoting about 1500 posts

     
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      blake: on it
    Slava Ukraini!

  10. #7510
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by blake View Post
    just waking up, i honestly don't know what's happening. am i still posting in this site or hiding?
    No certainty yet, but any honest person will tell you you're likely to be still posting.

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

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  11. #7511
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    Assuming AZ and NV goes to Biden and NC to Trump, the 538 simulations are predicting a Biden win 88% of the time, a Trump win 3%, and a tie 9% of the time.

    You can mess around with the map here:
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...WV:1,NC:1,AK:1

    Feels off, am I missing something?

  12. #7512
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Predicit really is a joke.

    I deposited $850 to at least fire on Biden and make some free $ from those in denial.

    It says "Maximum number of traders on this contract"

    Well thanks a fucking lot for telling me after I deposited. Then I tried Michigan, same thing.

    They're going to charge me 5% to withdraw it back, which is criminal. F them right in the ass.
    This is why PredictIt has no predictive value. It has neither the volume nor the liquidity nor the "freedom" (due to artificial constraints) to be an efficient market with predictive value.

    Try to get them to let you withdraw without the fee, otherwise leave the money there and bet on something else you like sometime in the future.

    To be fair they ended up being right a hell of a lot more than wrong. Same with the betting markets.

    They really only botched PA (which still might me biden)

    Maybe can nitpick how close WI ended up, same for Ga

    Everything else was nailed

  13. #7513
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    Michigan down to 26k, Biden increases lead in WI to 21K

    Come on Joe Go Go Go

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

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  14. #7514
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Everyone waking up to a different landscape than 4 hours ago..... Biden -300

  15. #7515
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Everyone waking up to a different landscape than 4 hours ago..... Biden -300
    Just in time for sidedish to outsmart everyone and get some more down on Trump at +250 or so. Wake up from your champagne stupor and open another credit card man!

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  16. #7516
    Diamond dwai's Avatar
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    can we get a Biden derangement syndrome gif please

  17. #7517
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by dwai View Post
    can we get a Biden derangement syndrome gif please
    How many times per day will you post it, if Druff doesn't restrict you? LOL

     
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      dwai: it'll be my signature

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

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  18. #7518
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    guys what are you all talking about?

    i click on the news and trump says "we did win the election."

    and that dems are now trying to steal it?



    just "lol trump being trump", team retard? no big deal?

    god i loathe all of you

  19. #7519

  20. #7520
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    Quote Originally Posted by blake View Post
    guys what are you all talking about?

    i click on the news and trump says "we did win the election."

    and that dems are now trying to steal it?



    just "lol trump being trump", team retard? no big deal?

    god i loathe all of you
    All just a big misunderstanding

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