2 to 4% in Ohio? WTF? You know the state better than me since you live there. But this looks like 8+ for Trump. In the "Blue Wave" in 2018, the Governor won easily, correct? I put Blue Wave in quotes because the Senate gained R seats in 2018, and generally the House usually reverses after a Presidential election. The reversal was much worse under Obama but the media forgets that.
As far as MI goes, I stand by what I have said all along, Trump has a great shot. Detroit no longer controls the state, partly because there are less than 700,000 people in the city now. The rural voters are gaining much more influence.
Trafalgar is convinced Trump will get 270-289 EVs. I know the liberal media and bettors dismiss his group because they are all in on Biden. But he was spot on in 2016. People say it was a fluke, we shall see in 11 days. As it stands now, Trump is going to sweep the south, probably carry Arizona. There was a reason why Obama was in Philadelphia this week and not in NC, FL or AZ. This reminds me when Jay Z and Hillary did a concert in PA the week before the election.
The fact Trump raised $26M the day after the debate means he is closing.
The one thing is this, if Trump wins this go around, polling in effectively ruined and destroyed forever.