Trump surging on PredictIt on news of Taliban endorsement. Considered a pivotal endorsement and it's a big get for Team Trump.
I was 70/30 Biden last week, but after doing a deeper dive on the polls and "social desirability", I'm back to a coin flip.
It's easy to look past the fact that he was in worse shape in the key swing states at this point in 2016 and that considerably less people believed that their neighbors were voting Trump then too than now in the same surveys. Social desirability has been the only reliable way to measure shy voters.
Listen to Robert Cahaly explain his take on the 2020 election in detail. People will trash him and his firm, but the dude called even the 306 electoral vote (outside of faithless electors) spread correctly. He's convinced from his data that Trump is a lock in Florida, will easily win Pennsylvania, likely win Minnesota and is a slight favorite in Wisconsin.
https://t.co/AaqOnW2GXl?amp=1
this is EASILY one of the greatest speeches ever given by a politician, and it was before his son passed away from brain cancer.
The fact that Joe is still standing after what he has gone through is real strength.
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
1 poast works the same way as 4.
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
its interesting that people think the person running the united states state department would organize a vast criminal conspiracy via email.
like seriously thats wild to me.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
If you don't want to think about this election and just want an easy zero-risk decent return, you can buy No Republican shares in Minnesota for 75 cents. Even after rake this is a 30% return.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5597
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