wow blake way to go,I bet you're a real hit at parties
wow blake way to go,I bet you're a real hit at parties
Sure, $250 sounds good.
If Donald Trump wins the popular vote by 1+ vote, you win $250. If Biden wins by 8% + 1 vote, I win $250. If Biden wins by less than 8%, it's a wash and we both get our $250 back. If either candidate dies prior to the election, the bet is void and we both get our money back. We must send $250 to Druff no later than August 31st. We also agree that Druff will mediate any disputes we may have, and his decision will be final.
If you agree, we can make this binding. We can't back out/change our mind, but we don't have to physically send the money until August 31st.
it sounds a little bit like tellafriend is doubting trump wins at all imo
Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. We didn't pass it to our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them to do the same.
Ronald Reagan
gamblebotschafedpenis, i have some data why u would be nuts to lay biden -200 PA
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1270464035616587782
you need to check those numbers. i think the Philly suburbs went hard blue
Berks: R+5,768
Bucks: D+1,807
Chester: D+11,501
Delaware: D+17,310
Lehigh: R+1,306
Montgomery: D+18,813
Northampton: R+3,699
Philadelphia: R+15,92
also keep in mind the democrats did better in the philly suburbs than anytime in history, including flipping a county council from Republican to democrats for the first time since the civil war
also pa is all mail in vote which republicans seem to think hurts them
I didn’t read your original proposition very carefully the first time. I assumed I would win if Biden didn’t win the popular vote by 8%. It will be unlikely trump wins the popular vote unless the riots run through the summer. So you would basically be on a freeroll. If you give me/trump 3% I will do it. Otherwise I don’t see any +ev.
I wish I had your confidence spit. You’ve nailed most of this thus far, so I’m heartened you’re this confident
What’s 8% roughly? 375ev’s?
Last edited by BCR; 06-09-2020 at 04:46 PM.
spit this' confidence is somehow making me confident
If trump wins or loses by less than 3% I win. If Biden wins by 8% +1 you win. Anything in between is a push. $250 w druff. Let’s post by 9/30. No need to tie the money up. But the bet is booked As of today. Election must go off w trump and Biden on the ticket and alive on Election Day. Agreed?
I don't think Biden will win by 8%. I just think it's /more/ likely than Trump winning by any pop vote margin. If I had to guess right now, I'd guess 5%. Heck, I'm betting on Trump in Georgia, which is down to 52% now. If Biden wins by 8%, he'll win Georgia, so if anything it's a further hedge against that.
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