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Thread: So coronavirus is definitely going to kill a few of us.

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    Diamond TheXFactor's Avatar
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    The coronavirus panic is dumb - Elon Musk

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    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Feelin' Stronger Every Day tony bagadonuts's Avatar
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    I thought Tine was being a dramatic Nancy when he started this thread.

    Now I commute to Kirkland WA, basically ground zero in the US, five times a week and to go to a medical facility right next to Evergreen Hospital, where the first death occurred last Friday, twice a week for INR testing.

    Frankly I don't give a shit if I get the virus. I'll get sick and recover. But I can't be giving that shit to my son who's dealing with health problems, or my folks who are both over 70, or my mother in law who is over 70 with COPD.

    It's one thing for this to be on the other side of the world, it's quite another when it's literally right next door.

     
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      BCR: Thought about you all week as the story broke up there. Glad everyone is well.
      
      MumblesBadly: Looks like this donkdown alert had legs after all.

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Another 173 worldwide deaths before we hit African Hippo death level

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    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tony bagadonuts View Post
    I thought Tine was being a dramatic Nancy when he started this thread.

    Now I commute to Kirkland WA, basically ground zero in the US, five times a week and to go to a medical facility right next to Evergreen Hospital, where the first death occurred last Friday, twice a week for INR testing.

    Frankly I don't give a shit if I get the virus. I'll get sick and recover. But I can't be giving that shit to my son who's dealing with health problems, or my folks who are both over 70, or my mother in law who is over 70 with COPD.

    It's one thing for this to be on the other side of the world, it's quite another when it's literally right next door.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    cool cool.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Cannot go into homes huh. Since where did they do that anyway?

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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post



    cool cool.
    What odds will you give me for under 1,000 deaths in the USA, sonatine?

    Escrow with Druff.

    $50 max type bet, not cattle stations.

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    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Salty_Aus View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post



    cool cool.
    What odds will you give me for under 1,000 deaths in the USA, sonatine?

    Escrow with Druff.

    $50 max type bet, not cattle stations.

    am i taking the over here?
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Salty_Aus View Post

    What odds will you give me for under 1,000 deaths in the USA, sonatine?

    Escrow with Druff.

    $50 max type bet, not cattle stations.

    am i taking the over here?
    Obviously, and 1,000 is a super conservative number so I want big odds.

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    Diamond TheXFactor's Avatar
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    If O.J. Simpson gets the coronavirus, will he die? -105

    Casinos start posting odds of famous people that might die if infected with coronavirus.

    Once that happens then Las Vegas will start taking this seriously.


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    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Salty_Aus View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post


    am i taking the over here?
    Obviously, and 1,000 is a super conservative number so I want big odds.

    its not worth it. like the keystrokes necessary to escrow $50 to druff isnt worth the $3 in returns id see at any sane odds.

     
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      Tellafriend: correct
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Salty_Aus View Post

    Obviously, and 1,000 is a super conservative number so I want big odds.

    its not worth it. like the keystrokes necessary to escrow $50 to druff isnt worth the $3 in returns id see at any sane odds.
    20-1

    My $20 to your $400.

    Send Druff your bitcoin address when you win. I trust you no need to escrow, send if you lose BTC.

    Free money. 1,000 is SUPER low.

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    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    jokes on you ill probably be one of the first to die.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    jokes on you ill probably be one of the first to die.
    Is kinda morbid anyway forget it.

    I'm not convinced you're guaranteed 2,000 or 3,000 dead.

    China seems to have a lock down on new infections.

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    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Salty_Aus View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    jokes on you ill probably be one of the first to die.
    Is kinda morbid anyway forget it.

    I'm not convinced you're guaranteed 2,000 or 3,000 dead.

    China seems to have a lock down on new infections.
    ok cool thats a relief also

    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Salty_Aus View Post

    Is kinda morbid anyway forget it.

    I'm not convinced you're guaranteed 2,000 or 3,000 dead.

    China seems to have a lock down on new infections.
    ok cool thats a relief also

    The Chinese were very unprepared and it ran riot for months. But I reckon they did a stellar job once they realised.
    Kinda cruel but they had to be tough.

    I don't think you're super well prepared but miles ahead of what the Chinese were.

    You aint going to get the same super spreader going unchecked... I hope.

    5,000 dead worst case scenario.

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    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    I’m watching the warmer weather countries. They seem to be burying less people and it’s not getting out of hand. The lack of transparency in the most afflicted areas makes it hard to track. Europe is hard to gauge. Today’s Germany numbers are kind of positive, but they have no deaths, so I don’t know if they’re being proactive and idk if that’s a result of testing in doctors offices and it’s the weekend. I noticed the trend last weekend. France seems to, at least, have better numbers today. Everyone is releasing their cases in a different manner. Some all at once. Others drip out.

    This thing has so many political and economic ramifications that there is a huge incentive to exaggerate and downplay depending on which side of the fence you’re sitting.

    That makes it hard to know anything for sure.


    There is going to be a learning curve on this one. It’s why I think there’s a better chance of Coachella being cancelled than WSOP. I think both are likely to be cancelled.

    Florida and Texas are low regulation states. Florida is home to pill mills and every scam grey market thing. California is the opposite. It’s why I think Coachella is very likely to be cancelled. Them standing up to the pressure feels unlikely and I’ve already seen articles about the event organizers looking for loopholes to get out of paying artists under act of God language, which to me means it would already be cancelled if they felt sure they wouldn’t eat a $100 million. They’re waiting for the state to take it out of their hands.

    They’ll have to make a call on Coachella and i think we are in the panic phase. Being a month further out, it’s possible by the time they have to make a call on WSOP we have moved collectively into the it’s not as bad phase. More people have adopted the YOLO view. I think you could have less shit canceled at a time cases are growing at some point because life goes on.

    How it develops during warm weather is going to be huge. It could be a much bigger fall story than spring story if we don’t have a vaccine.

    I think we have a boatload of people with it. I think many countries do and are diagnosing people already really sick. How deadly it is remains a big question mark imo. Somewhere like South Korea with over 7k cases and very few critically ill on a given day tells a positive story.

    I don’t think it’s 20-1 we stay under a 1000 deaths. I think if it reacts like a normal virus when it gets warm is the big question atm. We don’t have enough of a sample size from transparent countries with cases to judge how deadly it is yet imo
    Last edited by BCR; 03-07-2020 at 09:55 AM.

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