Originally Posted by blake
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1196141121660952576
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1196141121660952576
Can somebody do me a personal favor and photoshop Amy Klobuchar onto this
538 forecast is out:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...mary-forecast/
Chance of winning half of pledged delegates:
Biden - 42%
Sanders 22%
Nobody (brokered convention) - 13%
Warren - 12%
Pete - 9%
All others - 2%
Chance of winning Iowa:
Biden - 35%
Sanders - 26%
Pete - 22%
Warren - 14%
Chance of winning New Hampshire:
Sanders - 32%
Biden - 29%
Pete - 19%
Warren - 16%
Though the simulator clearly needs some work as it only gives Biden a 58% chance in South Carolina, and gives Pete a 9% chance there. Which is clearly... not true.
538's final forecast for the 2016 election...Hillary WON!!!
All these great pollsters need to eat shit because they can't predict nothing.
Instead of using pollsters, they should use the Psychic Friends Network.
29% chance of winning... isn't a small chance. It's within a very normal standard deviation. Pollsters didn't do all that poorly in 2016. Pollsters don't "predict" anything. That's literally just not what they do or are supposed to do. How do you think that way and you post on a poker forum? lol
Of course people who say 538 "predicted" all 50 states correctly in 2012 are also dumb. They didn't predict anything. They merely assigned probabilities to each event.
And look at that popular vote forecast: Clinton 48.5%, Trump: 44.9%. Actual results: Clinton 48.2%, Trump 46.1%. So yeah, let's dismiss polling because of that lol
saw an interesting comment today... biden's ran for president twice before and not won a single primary. bernie's run once and won 22 primaries.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1215407904813207558
Bet $ 7.00 to win $ 1,750.00
Result: Pending
2020 Democratic Party Presidential Nomination - Odds to Win (All Bets Action)
Tom Steyer
07/16/20 12:00 EDT
+25000
I was a Democrat all my life until that milquetoast Obama arrived. Now I look at the Dems like a bunch of blithering idiots.
Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. We didn't pass it to our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them to do the same.
Ronald Reagan
I think of you every time I pass that red Tulsi video billboard in Manchester NH. It’s amongst all the repurposed mills. It’s been up there since the summer.
I think we know who to thank for that poll. Steyermania. Steyermentum. It's a life Steyle
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1208823023127683073
the rich guys flood the airwaves in the states the other candidates don't have $ to spend on yet LMAO
willing to escrow with druff?You take Sanders, and I'll take Biden. The rest is a wash. $100 to $1k.
Sure, no problem. Just let me know how much you want to do and I'll send.willing to escrow with druff?
my $100 to your $1000, correct?
Lol no buddy. Even money since you think he's a favorite and I think Biden's a favorite. You can pick an amount between $100 and $1k
nice try angle shooterLol no buddy. Even money since you think he's a favorite and I think Biden's a favorite. You can pick an amount between $100 and $1k
How am I an angle shooter? You said it's blatantly obvious he'll win the nomination, and you don't even want to back it up. lolnice try angle shooter
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