NH is tight also. Biden is looking very good in NV and obvious lock in SC.
NH is tight also. Biden is looking very good in NV and obvious lock in SC.
Bernie’s recent climb in Iowa and NH, along with Warren’s big fade in the polls, has prompted me to switch back to supporting Bernie, and now at double what I was doing during the summer. (Sorry, Elizabeth. I gotta go with who can legit beat the Republicans-lite within the Democratic Party.)Originally Posted by duped_samaritan
NH is tight also. Biden is looking very good in NV and obvious lock in SC.
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Biden's odds on primary are now +175.
I bet him at +500
Yup
Yup. Shut off your brain and take the money.
It’s like the Republicans have an empty net but the Democrats decide to send out a team of paraplegics
Bernie Sanders has raised the most money of any Democratic candidate.
He also has the most support than any other Democratic candidate running for President.
The polls are mostly bullshit.
They usually poll a hundred or a couple of hundred, registered or likely voters. Very rarely do they poll over a thousand voters.
Biden will lose every primary and caucus until South Carolina and he may lose there too.
Bernie could actually win this thing.
I think it's still worth betting at +175
It probably is, but I am angry at myself for not continuing to fire when I personally moved the line, and it changed from +500 to +450, and simultaneously +450 to +400 on other books.I think it's still worth betting at +175
The line definitely moved because of me, because it was at like 3am, and I was firing $500 over and over on the +500, and suddenly it became +450. Then I checked the other books and they were suddenly 50 points lower, as well.
My thinking at the time was that I'd just wait a day or so and it would restore to +500, but it didn't. Then I started seeing that Biden was probably losing IA and NH, so I figured I would wait it out until he lost those, then fire right after when everyone would be temporarily doubtful about his chances.
But now it's collapsed down to +175, so even if he does lose IA and NH, it's not getting back anywhere near +450. I still think that's the best plan to wait for those to happen (or at least Iowa), before firing on him further.
Good plan. ‘Cause there’s a good chance that Biden’s line will move to offer better odds until at least just prior to the South Carolina primary, which is likely his best chance before Super Tuesday to halt to coming Sanders steamroll.It probably is, but I am angry at myself for not continuing to fire when I personally moved the line, and it changed from +500 to +450, and simultaneously +450 to +400 on other books.
The line definitely moved because of me, because it was at like 3am, and I was firing $500 over and over on the +500, and suddenly it became +450. Then I checked the other books and they were suddenly 50 points lower, as well.
My thinking at the time was that I'd just wait a day or so and it would restore to +500, but it didn't. Then I started seeing that Biden was probably losing IA and NH, so I figured I would wait it out until he lost those, then fire right after when everyone would be temporarily doubtful about his chances.
But now it's collapsed down to +175, so even if he does lose IA and NH, it's not getting back anywhere near +450. I still think that's the best plan to wait for those to happen (or at least Iowa), before firing on him further.
Cliffs:
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My condolences on Warren, Mumbles.
"Biden doesn't have it."
- Obama
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
Browsing alt-right media archives from like 2 months ago?
it seems blatantly obvious to me that Sanders will win the nomination outright. At this point, i’m basically trying to conceive of scenarios in which Sanders beats Trump in the general. Not quite sure he’ll be able to pull it off, but Trump did beat Hillary sooo
You take Sanders, and I'll take Biden. The rest is a wash. $100 to $1k.
Last Vice President to be elected President was in 1836, when Martin Van Buren succeeded Andrew Jackson.
Last U.S. Senator to be elected President was Barack Obama.
America hates Vice Presidents and sees them as fuckups.
Just look at Dick Cheney and Joe Biden.
yeah george bush sr tho
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
the debates are going to be huge and sanders will, guaranteed, talk working class common sense while trump does his jim jones at the pulpit act.
i think enough of his cult gets off the train at that point to tip the scales.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1214767147567718400
i don't get why she tanked in the polls
boomers gonna boom
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
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