At the moment I have Biden +830 for Nevada (on Predictit after fees) and Biden +171 for SC.
Will be loading up more.
Don't underestimate the unions and the black people.
At the moment I have Biden +830 for Nevada (on Predictit after fees) and Biden +171 for SC.
Will be loading up more.
Don't underestimate the unions and the black people.
I guess Bernie's views on Medicare and single-payer insurance have changed.
Back in 1987, Billionaires weren't making the fortune they are today. In the past 12 days, Jeff Bezos has cashed out over $4.1 Billion in stock which will be taxed at 20% (capital gains tax).
LET'S GO OLIGARCHS!!!
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1227951551068721154
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1227957260644749318
Our little 5’4 Gladiator standing on a huge pile of money
his decision to hire fuckjerry to contribute to his sosh media blitz is problematic but likely not on a broad scale.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
Biden is leading on donations in Nevada: https://www.opensecrets.org/news/202...nevada-donors/
He is basically pressing donors by telling them, "If I get clobbered here, I'm fucked, so we really need to win this."
Counting him out of Nevada is foolish, given that he was 9 points ahead for most of the time up until a few weeks ago, and there hasn't been any real polling in a month.
Other reasons why his poor showing in Iowa/NH doesn't mean he will flop in Nevada:
- The huge Culinary Union is behind him, it appears, or at least they're anti-Bernie
- The demographics in Nevada -- less than half white -- are very different than IA/NH, which are over 90% white
- Nevada beats to its own drum. Hillary overperformed there in 2016, whereas she underperformed in almost every other swing state (aside from Colorado)
- Even months ago, he was expected to lose IA and NH (though not this badly)
The odds on him have gotten a little less long today on Predictit. I have him at about +830 after fees, but I still want to put more on him for NV.
interesting to say the least, find it trouble for Bernie if he has a big union going against him...
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
Somebody's crushing it on soc media. BIG MEME ENERGY
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
Yeah, what I said yesterday about predictit Bloomberg surge likely being him splashing around is pretty much what everyone thinks at this point. People are jumping into other states waiting for him to pump it. Bernie dropped like .30 in Ohio today with it all going on Bloomberg. Bernie was already overvalued, so there is that, but this is mike being really savvy and getting something that trends on the extraordinarily cheap considering the cap. He can corner this shit with spare change is his couch cushions. I’d buy some Bloomberg for Prez and any place he hasn’t yet pumped and just flip it after he does.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
Latest Morning Consult poll of Dem primary voters:
Sanders Cements Front-Runner Status After New Hampshire Win
Vermont senator expands lead over Biden to 10 points
https://morningconsult.com/2020/02/1...hampshire-win/
P.S. Almost forgot...
Sanlmar, I am now thoroughly regretting defending Warren against claims disparaging her character. Perhaps there was a noble basis for it at some point, but how she has responded to her rapid slide in the polls after bubbling up to the top a few months ago has shown how correct you were about me and how wrong I was to defend her.
He's thoroughly regretting it bro
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