In addition to my PredictIt holdings, I bet Biden to win Iowa at +230, Sanders to win New Hampshire at -200, and Bloomberg to not be the nominee at -800 on a sportsbook. The latter are pretty lockish. Iowa anything could happen, but I think Biden probably has at least a 35% chance of winning. Anything over 30% chance is +EV, and it's a hedge against New Hampshire.
I'm working on a sequel to Weekend at Bernies that involves Sanders passing away, but his supporters put sunglasses on him and prop him up and continue his campaign pretending he's alive.
Biden and Bernie are basically tied.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...forecast/iowa/
I'm gonna predict whoever wins the most delegates doesn't win the popular vote and they both act like they won going into NH.
100% agree with this....Trump and the GOP need to hammer away on economic and fiscal matters come election time. His accomplishments get tossed under the mat and he gets credited for nothing.
The media is focused on things that have no relevance to the average american. What the middle/working class cares about is jobs, lower taxes, health care costs declining, and 401k/IRA growth (markets up).
They need to force it down the voters throats and push through the media bias on social issues and the rise of "white nationalism" and "immigrant oppression".
I think Trump will favor well against each candidate but he needs to have strong turnout in Florida, Arizona, North Carolina, Ohio, and Michigan....its kind of gotta be a perfect storm like 2016.
"I hit that shot because it was a defining moment and when a defining moment comes along, you either define the moment or the moment defines you" Roy "Tin Cup" Mcevoy
If they're really smart, they'll hammer away at the financial and economic matters and at the same time convince people that they aren't actually hammering away at it and it's actually better than most people think, and all the MSM criticism is fake news ,Trump is a victim, Democrats are elitists, etc.
The DNC is changing the Democratic debate rules so Mike Bloomberg can participate in the next debate. It will soon no longer be necessary to have donors to your campaign.
Bloomberg will continue to rise in the polls which will spell certain doom to Buttigieg, Warren, Klobuchar, Yang and Steyer.
The race will soon be down to Biden, Sanders and Bloomberg.
Bernie Sanders has the most volunteers.
The most donors. He has raised the most money than any other Democratic candidate running for President.
Bernie is now ahead by 4 points against Joe Biden heading into Iowa.
Will Bernie Sanders win the Democratic nomination?
Sorry Bernie, the DNC is bringing back Super Delegates to stop you.
DNC members discuss rules change to stop Sanders at convention
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/0...legates-110083
My hot take: Young people will be too hung over from the super bowl to show up to caucus. Bad news for Sanders
this is how biden would blow an election against trump. by saying shit like this in front of microphones and cameras. too many people left of center are going to just stay home election night because they just.. fucking... cant with this guy.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
Joe Biden...He just doesn't give a fuck.
Anybody else watching CNN? Can't believe all the retards who show up at the caucus site still undecided.
Iowans: "We take the selection process very seriously"
Also Iowans: "Uh, yeah I decided this morning"
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