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Thread: *** OFFICIAL 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination Race Thread ***

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    Gold MrTickle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SPIT this View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Poll finally released in NV

    Sanders up by 7 points, 25-18 over Biden.

    The rest clustered from 10-13.

    https://www.reviewjournal.com/news/p...finds-1957583/
    Nevada is notoriously hard to poll. Caucuses in general are hard to poll because turnout is much lower compared to a primary, it's hard to predict 'likely voters'. Iowa is also difficult, but Nevada even more so because turnout is even lower but the unions organize and make sure they're able to get off from work to go vote together (plus peer pressure since it's not a hidden ballot).

    Also, pollsters have to predict 2nd round voting.
    This is just a 1st round poll. 2nd round predictions arent a thing here

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    Gold SPIT this's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I knew Nevada was a caucus, but I forgot it when druff posted that poll. Does it have the same 15% viability threshold? If so, anything crazy can happen. That’s a much better bet in a caucus where joe will benefit from others not having viability. I doubt a favorite or anything, but probably a decent bet. That caucus scenario definitely didn’t help Bernie last time and he’s rarely someone’s second choice other than a few stragglers.
    Yes, same dealio. That's why that Nevada poll isn't too bad for Biden, even though he's -7 to Sanders. Klob, Butt, and Steyer may not be viable in a majority of precincts. Not a lot of people have Bernie as their second option.

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    Feelin' Stronger Every Day tony bagadonuts's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by blake View Post
    this guy is flatout buying a nomination like an absolute god
    If the nomination can be bought then why is Steyer doing so terribly?

    The billions help of course, but he's got something to say and something to offer otherwise he'd be DOA like Tom.

     
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      BCR: You can pull out a lot more stops with 61.8 billion compared to 1.6.

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      MumblesBadly: Stop-and-pitch is constitutional, dammit!

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    Quote Originally Posted by SPIT this View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I knew Nevada was a caucus, but I forgot it when druff posted that poll. Does it have the same 15% viability threshold? If so, anything crazy can happen. That’s a much better bet in a caucus where joe will benefit from others not having viability. I doubt a favorite or anything, but probably a decent bet. That caucus scenario definitely didn’t help Bernie last time and he’s rarely someone’s second choice other than a few stragglers.
    Yes, same dealio. That's why that Nevada poll isn't too bad for Biden, even though he's -7 to Sanders. Klob, Butt, and Steyer may not be viable in a majority of precincts. Not a lot of people have Bernie as their second option.
    Yeah, he’s going to need some back room deals with other Dems if he’s only at 17 come caucus day, as that would mean he isn’t going to be viable anywhere outside the black precincts himself without some help. That is going to be a shitshow

    Bloomberg opened up shop here in the rust belt. My dad told me he drove by his office today and it had signs saying he’s an oligarch.After I got off the phone I realized I didn’t ask him exactly what he meant. I don’t know if he meant like on the building itself or adjoining properties off his site Should be interesting. I’ll have to run by it .

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    Diamond mulva's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tony bagadonuts View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by blake View Post
    this guy is flatout buying a nomination like an absolute god
    If the nomination can be bought then why is Steyer doing so terribly?

    The billions help of course, but he's got something to say and something to offer otherwise he'd be DOA like Tom.

    the 6 minute marks gets really good. he goes on about steyer that he looks both old and young and puts up a pic of jackie chan and calls him the black jackie chan.

    lulz squared

    Quote Originally Posted by bottomset_69 View Post
    Johnny Manziel will be the 1st pick in the draft. I truly believe not only will Johnny Manziel be rookie of the year, quite possibly he will be MVP as his style will shock defensive coordinators. Manziel may only be 6 feet tall, but he has size 15 feet. And he has HUGE hands. I know some NFL scouts so I know what I am talking about.



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    Quote Originally Posted by tony bagadonuts View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by blake View Post
    this guy is flatout buying a nomination like an absolute god
    If the nomination can be bought then why is Steyer doing so terribly?

    The billions help of course, but he's got something to say and something to offer otherwise he'd be DOA like Tom.
    you may have a point but i don’t think Steyer is spending what Bloomberg is.

    I’m in the Philly area and i can’t recall seeing a Steyer commercial, but I’ve seen a million Bloomberg ones.

    what really surprised me was his commercials on the environment. he was hammering home the point that he closed a bunch of coal mines and he’s going to keep on doing it. it surprised me a little cause it was seen as a gaff when Hillary said the “we’re going to put a lot of coal miners out of business” line, but Bloomberg’s like fuck it, this is what I’m running on and i don’t care what West Virginia thinks.

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    Gold SPIT this's Avatar
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    Steyer is only spending in the early states, where as bloomberg is spending nationally. If you lived in NV or SC, you'd be seeing a lot of Steyer commercials.

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    I honestly believe Bernie bros are driving down Bloomberg's line on Predictit while Bloomberg is driving up his own line on actual sportsbooks.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    wut kind of an idiot would pick stacy abrams as their vp?

    ditto for i don't even know who the fuck nina is


    wut a train wreck
    Quote Originally Posted by bottomset_69 View Post
    Johnny Manziel will be the 1st pick in the draft. I truly believe not only will Johnny Manziel be rookie of the year, quite possibly he will be MVP as his style will shock defensive coordinators. Manziel may only be 6 feet tall, but he has size 15 feet. And he has HUGE hands. I know some NFL scouts so I know what I am talking about.



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    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    lol predictit... i just sold $26 worth of bernie for pres shares and i literally moved the line and now i cant sell the rest.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I love all the overreactive political geniuses

    Really Druff.

    Really...

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    Quote Originally Posted by mulva View Post
    wut kind of an idiot would pick stacy abrams as their vp?

    ditto for i don't even know who the fuck nina is


    wut a train wreck
    She’s a better candidate than any of them. She’s a gifted speaker and smart lady. Not exactly photogenic, but Pete should get down on his knees like he’s blowing his husband and beg her, as she’s one of a handful of people in the country that may get him above single digits among black voters. Amy could use her also. Fuck, she’ll get multiple offers.

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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by mulva View Post
    wut kind of an idiot would pick stacy abrams as their vp?

    ditto for i don't even know who the fuck nina is


    wut a train wreck
    She’s a better candidate than any of them. She’s a gifted speaker and smart lady. Not exactly photogenic, but Pete should get down on his knees like he’s blowing his husband and beg her, as she’s one of a handful of people in the country that may get him above single digits among black voters. Amy could use her also. Fuck, she’ll get multiple offers.
    shes a race baiting idiot
    Quote Originally Posted by bottomset_69 View Post
    Johnny Manziel will be the 1st pick in the draft. I truly believe not only will Johnny Manziel be rookie of the year, quite possibly he will be MVP as his style will shock defensive coordinators. Manziel may only be 6 feet tall, but he has size 15 feet. And he has HUGE hands. I know some NFL scouts so I know what I am talking about.



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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by mulva View Post
    wut kind of an idiot would pick stacy abrams as their vp?

    ditto for i don't even know who the fuck nina is


    wut a train wreck
    She’s a better candidate than any of them. She’s a gifted speaker and smart lady. Not exactly photogenic, but Pete should get down on his knees like he’s blowing his husband and beg her, as she’s one of a handful of people in the country that may get him above single digits among black voters. Amy could use her also. Fuck, she’ll get multiple offers.
    He thinks Global Poker is rigged.

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    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mulva View Post
    wut kind of an idiot would pick stacy abrams as their vp?

    ditto for i don't even know who the fuck nina is


    wut a train wreck
    She'd be the governor of a Georgia right now if Kemp hadn't cheated.

    Allowing people running in an election to oversee that same election... sounds legit to me.

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

    PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL

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    Diamond mulva's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by mulva View Post
    wut kind of an idiot would pick stacy abrams as their vp?

    ditto for i don't even know who the fuck nina is


    wut a train wreck
    She'd be the governor of a Georgia right now if Kemp hadn't cheated.

    Allowing people running in an election to oversee that same election... sounds legit to me.
    maybe it was putins lil helper
    Quote Originally Posted by bottomset_69 View Post
    Johnny Manziel will be the 1st pick in the draft. I truly believe not only will Johnny Manziel be rookie of the year, quite possibly he will be MVP as his style will shock defensive coordinators. Manziel may only be 6 feet tall, but he has size 15 feet. And he has HUGE hands. I know some NFL scouts so I know what I am talking about.



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    Quote Originally Posted by mulva View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post

    She'd be the governor of a Georgia right now if Kemp hadn't cheated.

    Allowing people running in an election to oversee that same election... sounds legit to me.
    maybe it was putins lil helper
    It was just Kemp cheating. He didn't need anyone's help.

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

    PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL

  19. #2959
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    bloomberg is considering hillary as a running mate.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  20. #2960
    Feelin' Stronger Every Day tony bagadonuts's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    bloomberg is considering hillary as a running mate.
    I was preparing to send pithy ridicule in your direction, then I clicked on Drudge.

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