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Thread: Supreme court rules "Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act" unconstitutional

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    Gold Gookieheimowitz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Penny slots will someday be replaced by e-sports type gaming. The blue haired ladies are dying off and kids have no patience for slots

    This is all part of the big casinos in Vegas will die scenario. It’s in my book.




    Your favorite US facing online book will become just a memory as legalization ramps up. State legislators will juice the shit out of the state sports wagering offerings.

    Said it before, “this is the golden age of sports wagering”. Crypto and smooth online. It was a good run.

    Your only profitable option will be the “Mob” or small time guys with skins of apps.

    I would advise your local Mob guy to just chill. He will be the price leader in short order.
    I hear ya san, casinos love to juice the shit outta everything 6:5 blackjack and all that other shit...

    but that kinda shit hasn't made it to PA or NJ...could be wrong about NJ, haven't set foot inside any of those shitholes in 2+ years...I haven't seen any 6:5 at parx or valley forge when ive been there...

    now I could be very wrong about this, but I just don't see new books over juicing wagers...if they aren't doing it at table games, they shouldn't be doing it in sports...

    I shouldn't say stuff like that because I worked for a bunch of fucking morons who didn't know how to run a business, but I would think that if east coast casinos started offering shit lines and -115/-120 lines as the norm that they're just not gonna get any business...in this day in age if you don't know a guy, you know a guy who knows a guy or have access to an online book...I would THINK (VERY key word there) that casinos are cognizant of this fact...

    Agree 100% with this. New books will be in line with Nevada books . There would simply be no reason to be higher % juice . They have been waiting a long long time for this and in all reality the books themselves will bring more people into the casino and inevitably people will play -EV games . So there would be no reason to have a higher juice . End of story

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    Quote Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    I hear ya san, casinos love to juice the shit outta everything 6:5 blackjack and all that other shit...

    but that kinda shit hasn't made it to PA or NJ...could be wrong about NJ, haven't set foot inside any of those shitholes in 2+ years...I haven't seen any 6:5 at parx or valley forge when ive been there...

    now I could be very wrong about this, but I just don't see new books over juicing wagers...if they aren't doing it at table games, they shouldn't be doing it in sports...

    I shouldn't say stuff like that because I worked for a bunch of fucking morons who didn't know how to run a business, but I would think that if east coast casinos started offering shit lines and -115/-120 lines as the norm that they're just not gonna get any business...in this day in age if you don't know a guy, you know a guy who knows a guy or have access to an online book...I would THINK (VERY key word there) that casinos are cognizant of this fact...

    Agree 100% with this. New books will be in line with Nevada books . There would simply be no reason to be higher % juice . They have been waiting a long long time for this and in all reality the books themselves will bring more people into the casino and inevitably people will play -EV games . So there would be no reason to have a higher juice . End of story
    while i think im right, NEVER underestimate the stupidity of fucking morons running casinos...

    granted I worked for the top morons in the industry, so other organizations might not be as fucked up...but never put it past a casino corporation to do some really stupid operational shit...

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    Gold Gookieheimowitz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz View Post


    Agree 100% with this. New books will be in line with Nevada books . There would simply be no reason to be higher % juice . They have been waiting a long long time for this and in all reality the books themselves will bring more people into the casino and inevitably people will play -EV games . So there would be no reason to have a higher juice . End of story
    while i think im right, NEVER underestimate the stupidity of fucking morons running casinos...

    granted I worked for the top morons in the industry, so other organizations might not be as fucked up...but never put it past a casino corporation to do some really stupid operational shit...
    I also can agree with that but the bigger question is Bookies everywhere should be celebrating today cause now there is a need for qualified sports book managers . LOL!

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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    mob has to be pissed about these developments especially once online wagering is live...

    cant think of any reason to bet with a bookie once you can do it online...I mean credit would be the only thing, but that just opens up a can you don't want to open up...
    No paper trail for tax reasons or to hide from spouse but yeah they definitely can't be happy about it.

     
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sheesfaced View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    mob has to be pissed about these developments especially once online wagering is live...

    cant think of any reason to bet with a bookie once you can do it online...I mean credit would be the only thing, but that just opens up a can you don't want to open up...
    No paper trail for tax reasons or to hide from spouse but yeah they definitely can't be happy about it.


    Will definitely keep bookies going.

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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sheesfaced View Post

    No paper trail for tax reasons or to hide from spouse but yeah they definitely can't be happy about it.


    Will definitely keep bookies going.
    Bookies will still have better lines/rates. You ain’t getting -110 lines everywhere if this ends up being heavily taxed. If you win on legit sites you pay taxes. Bookies will still thrive

     
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      Daly: All of this - 100%
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post



    Will definitely keep bookies going.
    Bookies will still have better lines/rates. You ain’t getting -110 lines everywhere if this ends up being heavily taxed. If you win on legit sites you pay taxes. Bookies will still thrive
    Not to mention if the states give the leagues the cut they are asking for. LMAO
    HILLARY WON

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Gonna give you guys a pro tip.

    Download the VSIN app. Sports wagering radio out of SouthPoint. They are doing a marathon atm on the decision. Too much gold to parrot here

    Brent Musberger and his brother are the big winners today. This is another great discussion if you choose.
    Totally agree with you on this. I like VSIN and I like the South Point too...they should do VERY well and it was a big risk for Musberger to get involved but looks like it's gonna pan out.

    I do disagree that US facing offshore sports books are going to be a memory though --- IF THE LEGAL FUTURE BOOKS GET TOO GREEDY ---. Of course, the future legal ones will cry about that the "pirates" and how they undercut them causing them to not make money, etc, all while destroying casual bettors at the "new" greedy -115 standard line. Sheesh. Pro gamblers won't give up a Pinnacle -105 line for -115, but casual gamblers will.

    Think about that UltimatePoker.com exec crying about their own "pirates"...

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    Quote Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Gonna give you guys a pro tip.

    Download the VSIN app. Sports wagering radio out of SouthPoint. They are doing a marathon atm on the decision. Too much gold to parrot here

    Brent Musberger and his brother are the big winners today. This is another great discussion if you choose.

    Musberger is a fucking tool! In real life he is a complete horse racing degenerate gambler. Guy blew his career and is now relegated to a podcast / live show at southpoint basically given to him by Jimmy Vaccaro . Fuck Brent Musberger
    Maybe I need to look into this guy more...

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sheesfaced View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    mob has to be pissed about these developments especially once online wagering is live...

    cant think of any reason to bet with a bookie once you can do it online...I mean credit would be the only thing, but that just opens up a can you don't want to open up...
    No paper trail for tax reasons or to hide from spouse but yeah they definitely can't be happy about it.
    I think you guys are completely wrong about this. The law change is going to remove the stigma from sports betting. The municipals are going to advertise the shit out of this. It's going to open up a legion of sports bettors to the "hobby".

    As the market grows and eventually gets more sophisticated the public will figure out what a joke it is paying taxes on winnings. Then they are going to reconcile the fact they are paying the State of NJ .20when they can use a local at .10 or .05. Integrity fee my fucking ass.

    Bookies are thrilled today.

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    I hear ya san, casinos love to juice the shit outta everything 6:5 blackjack and all that other shit...

    but that kinda shit hasn't made it to PA or NJ...could be wrong about NJ, haven't set foot inside any of those shitholes in 2+ years...I haven't seen any 6:5 at parx or valley forge when ive been there...

    now I could be very wrong about this, but I just don't see new books over juicing wagers...if they aren't doing it at table games, they shouldn't be doing it in sports...

    I shouldn't say stuff like that because I worked for a bunch of fucking morons who didn't know how to run a business, but I would think that if east coast casinos started offering shit lines and -115/-120 lines as the norm that they're just not gonna get any business...in this day in age if you don't know a guy, you know a guy who knows a guy or have access to an online book...I would THINK (VERY key word there) that casinos are cognizant of this fact...

    Agree 100% with this.New books will be in line with Nevada books. There would simply be no reason to be higher % juice . They have been waiting a long long time for this and in all reality the books themselves will bring more people into the casino and inevitably people will play -EV games . So there would be no reason to have a higher juice . End of story


    I expect better from you.

    No reason? Lord only knows what tax rate each state will come up with. The juice will reflect that. Put me down for Celts +2 @ -135. Ya, right.

    I don’t recall the numbers but even Nevada tweaked their tax rate downward to help the books with their fairly small margins.

    Pennsylvania online poker shows you just how stupid legislators can get.

    If I had the energy I’d love to go back in the time machine and pull up some posts predicting legalized sports wagering would arrive before legalized online poker.

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Gonna give you guys a pro tip.

    Download the VSIN app. Sports wagering radio out of SouthPoint. They are doing a marathon atm on the decision. Too much gold to parrot here

    Brent Musberger and his brother are the big winners today. This is another great discussion if you choose.

    Musberger is a fucking tool! In real life he is a complete horse racing degenerate gambler. Guy blew his career and is now relegated to a podcast / live show at southpoint basically given to him by Jimmy Vaccaro . Fuck Brent Musberger
    Maybe you’re having a bad day Gookie.

    But wrong again.

    The Musberger brothers started this thing. The brains behind it really were his lawyer brother.

    They got the early lead in this format and should smash it in the coming years.

    Brent has many contacts, of course, and I find the guests and regulars he helps provide to be top top. Is Brent a handicapping genius? Maybe not. However, the station is not a tout service. Instead it is sports filtered through the wagering prism - especially void of hawt takes and ESPN type nonsense.

    Results, trends & value. Love the industry stuff from the sportsbook managers.

    Vacarro is god. Hang on every word of his and I love the SouthPoint book.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-14-2018 at 02:23 PM.

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I have so much to say on this topic but don't have the time so I'll leave it as this for now.

    Your bookie has never been happier.

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I have so much to say on this topic but don't have the time so I'll leave it as this for now.

    Your bookie has never been happier.
    Find the time.

    You see what I see.

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sheesfaced View Post

    No paper trail for tax reasons or to hide from spouse but yeah they definitely can't be happy about it.
    I think you guys are completely wrong about this. The law change is going to remove the stigma from sports betting. The municipals are going to advertise the shit out of this. It's going to open up a legion of sports bettors to the "hobby".

    As the market grows and eventually gets more sophisticated the public will figure out what a joke it is paying taxes on winnings. Then they are going to reconcile the fact they are paying the State of NJ .20when they can use a local at .10 or .05. Integrity fee my fucking ass.

    Bookies are thrilled today.
    Is the integrity fee really going to happen though?

    Now that PASPA has been overturned, can't the states just offer sportsbetting and tell the leagues to fuck off with their fees?

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Forum Wars View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Gonna give you guys a pro tip.

    Download the VSIN app. Sports wagering radio out of SouthPoint. They are doing a marathon atm on the decision. Too much gold to parrot here

    Brent Musberger and his brother are the big winners today. This is another great discussion if you choose.
    Totally agree with you on this. I like VSIN and I like the South Point too...they should do VERY well and it was a big risk for Musberger to get involved but looks like it's gonna pan out.

    I do disagree that US facing offshore sports books are going to be a memory though --- IF THE LEGAL FUTURE BOOKS GET TOO GREEDY ---. Of course, the future legal ones will cry about that the "pirates" and how they undercut them causing them to not make money, etc, all while destroying casual bettors at the "new" greedy -115 standard line. Sheesh. Pro gamblers won't give up a Pinnacle -105 line for -115, but casual gamblers will.

    Think about that UltimatePoker.com exec crying about their own "pirates"...
    Sadly, the offshore books will avoid conflict where sports wagering is legalized. Think of Bovada and Nevada as an example.

    They don’t need the licensed vs unlicensed fight. Perhaps the Micon example is a better one.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Forum Wars View Post

    Totally agree with you on this. I like VSIN and I like the South Point too...they should do VERY well and it was a big risk for Musberger to get involved but looks like it's gonna pan out.

    I do disagree that US facing offshore sports books are going to be a memory though --- IF THE LEGAL FUTURE BOOKS GET TOO GREEDY ---. Of course, the future legal ones will cry about that the "pirates" and how they undercut them causing them to not make money, etc, all while destroying casual bettors at the "new" greedy -115 standard line. Sheesh. Pro gamblers won't give up a Pinnacle -105 line for -115, but casual gamblers will.

    Think about that UltimatePoker.com exec crying about their own "pirates"...
    Sadly, the offshore books will avoid conflict where sports wagering is legalized. Think of Bovada and Nevada as an example.

    They don’t need the licensed vs unlicensed fight. Perhaps the Micon example is a better one.

    Damn. You're probably right...yep Bovada in poker as an example...d'oh! Think it took 'em a while (Bovada) to do the state avoidance thing, but, it probably works for them...like "some kinda I won't offer my illegal service if you expressly keep me out" deal that keeps everyone happy or at least stable.

    A smart syndicate could have members with addresses in states that allow offshore and others in states that don't (cuz they offer legal bets) and there could be a nice arbitrage market if states have shakey lines and/or decent vig if they were going after arb opportunities...

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    I think you guys are completely wrong about this. The law change is going to remove the stigma from sports betting. The municipals are going to advertise the shit out of this. It's going to open up a legion of sports bettors to the "hobby".

    As the market grows and eventually gets more sophisticated the public will figure out what a joke it is paying taxes on winnings. Then they are going to reconcile the fact they are paying the State of NJ .20when they can use a local at .10 or .05. Integrity fee my fucking ass.

    Bookies are thrilled today.
    Is the integrity fee really going to happen though?

    Now that PASPA has been overturned, can't the states just offer sportsbetting and tell the leagues to fuck off with their fees?
    I got it the other way around. Now that the states will be involved it will be a story of the only way we can guarantee the "integrity" of the game is if we have money to make sure everything is on the up and up.

    It's all bullshit but as it won't cost the states anything they will pay.

  19. #39
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Forum Wars View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Sadly, the offshore books will avoid conflict where sports wagering is legalized. Think of Bovada and Nevada as an example.

    They don’t need the licensed vs unlicensed fight. Perhaps the Micon example is a better one.

    Damn. You're probably right...yep Bovada in poker as an example...d'oh! Think it took 'em a while (Bovada) to do the state avoidance thing, but, it probably works for them...like "some kinda I won't offer my illegal service if you expressly keep me out" deal that keeps everyone happy or at least stable.

    A smart syndicate could have members with addresses in states that allow offshore and others in states that don't (cuz they offer legal bets) and there could be a nice arbitrage market if states have shakey lines and/or decent vig if they were going after arb opportunities...
    Lol... dis nigga just said "states with decent vig"

     
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    cant imagine the new books are going to charge a 15/20 cent line...they cant be stupid enough to think that's gonna fly with online and local bookies as options...

    philly and jersey casinos could probably "charge" blackjack players with 6:5 blackjack, but I haven't seen it...granted the last time I was in a jersey casino was 2 years ago and haven't been to valley forge/parx to play in the pits in over a year...

    my one caveat is that people who run casinos are absolute fucktards (and I worked for the supreme fucktards) so they may just fuck this up with 15/20 cent lines...

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