Originally Posted by
Sanlmar
C'mon Gut - lottery ticket.
Druff was big on using the term variance to plug the hole that was lack of understanding. I always thought it was an interesting insight into his world view.
It was like that Stevie Wonder song "Superstition"..... when you believe in things you don't understand. Instead, when things happen that you don't understand.
We've been through the luckbox lottery ticket view of baseball playoffs before.
Let's keep it easy. Hit Wiki and review the teams who make the World Series finals. You will find a recurrence of the same names in bunches. Unbelievable luck?
The height of Druff's use of variance involved the Royals years and the rocks thrown back and forth with Searles. Yet there the Royals were back to back. Almost 2 rings in a row.
Meanwhile Kershaw was doing HIS big game thing in the playoffs - with zero bullpen by Dodgers choice.
The College World Series is playing. College baseball is a huge tournament game. Tournament approach is how teams are built.
Have you reviewed that and then compared it to other major sports? Baseball, despite having no forced parity (salary cap and etc) in play has now become the sport with the most parity. There hasn't been back-to-back champs since the Yankees in 98-99. There are some bunches recently (royals, giants winning 3 in 6 years) but overall if you can just make the playoffs (ideally as a division winner) youve got as good of a shot as anyone compared to the other major sports.
NHL should, in theory, have the most parity, but hey look only 3 teams have won the cup in the past 7 years, including the Pens b2b right now. Look at those three teams and its similar to the "lol-parity" style of the NBA. NBA=have 2 of the best 5 players in the game and/or 3 of the best 10, you'll probably win. NHL=have 2 of the best 7 forwards and a decent enough goalie.
The NFL has simply become a quarterbacks league, and while "any given sunday" is still true, it only results in super bowl wins maybe once a decade (00 ravens, broncos year before last). MLB is the the most random, getting that lottery ticket is half the battle.