http://www.salon.com/2016/09/27/sign...f-the-medium/?
This is being posted all over Facebook by various radio-loving friends of mine.
As a lifelong fan of radio and one who studies the industry, I can tell you that this article is premature doom and gloom.
Yes it's unlikely that radio will be a major medium in about 30 years or so. It's very hard to imagine people will be tuning into FM and AM stations in the year 2046.
However, radio won't die. It will simply transition to a different medium -- likely satellite or internet. It is likely that when this occurs, FM and AM will still exist as "backup" transmissions for these stations, at least for awihile.
The article was particularly head-scratching in that it conceded that there has been an 0.5% GROWTH in ad sales, yet compared that negatively to internet ad sales which were higher, therefore predicting the end of radio. Huh? How is an industry still in sales growth going to have an imminent collapse?
Radio is evolving. I admit that I don't love the evolution, as we are seeing voice tracking, increased syndication, and consolidation in ownership. Much the creativity and personality of radio that we grew up with is now gone. But this evolution is unfortunately necessary to remain economically viable.
However, it is not dead, and will not be dead for a long time.
I do hope that, no matter what the listening format, radio remains and is not replaced by video broadcasting. We are already seeing that to some degree on sites such as Twitch. There is something to be said for simply hearing a voice, rather than having to watch the person speaking. (This is why I have refused to do a Twitch video version of PFA Radio.) I have theorized that simply hearing a voice actually allows the audience to connect more than watching AND listening, as it allows the purity of simply hearing the message with no other distractions.