Lock of the Century

[RegGaymer]

Next week there's going to be a big referendum vote as to whether the UK should remain or leave the EU. There's been much debate here amongst people, and the public are divided in what's considered to be a close vote. Here are the betting odds for those that are interested:



http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/...bership-result

The odds on favorite is for the UK to remain in the EU at 8/15 (-187.50). This is an absolute banker bet, and if I was a wealthy man I'd confidently bet large on this.

There are several reasons why I've come to this conclusion, but it's getting late and I cba writing it all down right now.

Go ahead and bet the house.

Thank me later.

[SrslySirius]

if I was a wealthy man I'd confidently bet large on this.

Did you lose all your wealth confidently betting on flat earth theory and Sandy Hook conspiracies?

[Daly]

I'm not sure about taking all the equity out of my house and going all in fading a Brexit, but I do think it's a good bet they won't leave. I'm not an Illuminati kook but I do think the governments of the world have vested interests and the powers that be in Europe don't want the UK out.

[MumblesBadly]

Wasn't the polling for Scotland to leave the UK (or something) pretty close/slightly favoring leaving, then turned out the votes were by a large margin to stay? I mention this because people who are being quiet about their opinion now prolly are for to stay because the status quo feels safer.

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

No such thing as a cert, and history has proven that polls are not a reliable indicator. That said, they indicate it's going to be close. I would agree that Remain is a big favourite, far from a certainty though.

[RegGaymer]

This isn't like betting on a sporting event, where anything can happen on the day, imo. I'd feel much safer betting this than say Barcelona at home in the football.

There's other factors at play here, and when the media report stories about an MP getting murdered by a deranged Brexit supporter shouting "Britain First", while shanking her seven times - after he shot her three times with a rig up gun - I read that as them associating Brexit with terror, racism, madness etc. Not to mention that the prime minister/intelligence handlers are on side with remaining in the EU, along with their main ally the USA whose public mouthpiece Obama has said they need to stay for trade purposes.

Everything points in the direction that they will stay, as they did in the 70's when they held the same referendum, and history will repeat itself, while the public stay divided by their conquerors who know full well that it's always going to be a polarising subject.

The line has moved since I posted this yesterday, and I expect the odds for remaining will continue to shorten as it gets closer to voting day on the 23rd:

[ShawnFanningsLimpDick]

I'm a Brit who'll be voting Brexit and am far more optimistic about the outcome now than a few weeks ago. I was thinking of betting on remain so that if the result goes against me at least I'll make some money but the price action worries me. All the polls seem to show Leave taking the lead but the odds are on the side of Remain. Why is it so easy to back Leave at nearly 2-1 if it's the most likely outcome? Of course if the result is rigged then it will be rigged in favour of Remain so I suppose it's still a safe bet but the price is very odd.

[RegGaymer]

They portray it in a way which leads the public to believe that it's close to 50/50 and that the brexit vote may have a marginal lead, but the truth is something completely different.

The bookies know which is the most likely outcome, undoubtedly due to some insider trading.

The rigged element can't be ignored, especially as a skeptic of the establishment's sincerity with regard to 'democracy'; I presume that in these situations the outcome is already predetermined, in favour of remain, as you alluded to. This is why I believe it to be a sure thing.

[RegGaymer]

If anyone wants to do a ban bet w/me on this I'm game. I get double the ban length if I lose. e.g my two months to your one month forum ban.

[SrslySirius]

If anyone wants to do a ban bet w/me on this I'm game. I get double the ban length if I lose. e.g my two months to your one month forum ban.

No dupes allowed, and let's make it a year. Deal?

[Belly Buster]

Next week there's going to be a big referendum vote as to whether the UK should remain or leave the EU. There's been much debate here amongst people, and the public are divided in what's considered to be a close vote. Here are the betting odds for those that are interested:



http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/...bership-result

The odds on favorite is for the UK to remain in the EU at 8/15 (-187.50). This is an absolute banker bet, and if I was a wealthy man I'd confidently bet large on this.

There are several reasons why I've come to this conclusion, but it's getting late and I cba writing it all down right now.

Go ahead and bet the house.

Thank me later.

Looks like a good call based on the current odds.

No one gets particularly excited about the status quo, there's way more "vote leave" posters about, but I suspect the final analysis will be 45% leave 55% remain, just like in Scotland last year.

[Daly]

Dude.... It's happening. Sorry you lost your ass.

[The Shrink]

Go ahead and bet the house.

Thank me later.

RegGaymer, ladies and gentlemen.

[4Dragons]

[gauchojake]

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

No such thing as a cert, and history has proven that polls are not a reliable indicator. That said, they indicate it's going to be close. I would agree that Remain is a big favourite, far from a certainty though.

There ye go boys. I fucking knew 6/1 yesterday had value ffs.

The problem is plenty of people who wanted remain didn't bother voting.

Fucking mental, can't believe there are people out there who listen to Nigel Farage.

[Brittney Griner's Clit]

if I was a wealthy man I'd confidently bet large on this.

Did you lose all your wealth confidently betting on flat earth theory and Sandy Hook conspiracies?

1) Stop using my material.

2) Sandy Hook is the fakest thing I've ever seen.

3) Yur gay.

[Brittney Griner's Clit]

If anyone wants to do a ban bet w/me on this I'm game. I get double the ban length if I lose. e.g my two months to your one month forum ban.

Reg Mercier.

[Brittney Griner's Clit]

#BADREG

[RegGaymer]

Dude.... It's happening. Sorry you lost your ass.

Truth be told I didn't bet a penny on it.

I was wrong on this occasion, as was the bookies, but stand by my thought process and was right in predicting that the line would shorten.

I'm still trying to get my head around how this is all playing out, and am not convinced they will even leave the EU afterall because legally they don't have to trigger article 50:

Reality Check: Does the UK have to trigger Article 50?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politic...endum-36639846

It appears to be a two horse race for the next prime minister:



Bizarrely, Theresa May was part of the remain camp. Why would she be in the running to lead the Brexit government when she is against it?