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Thread: Time to get on the TRUMP train

  1. #10221
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    hc wins. All that is left to do is watch Colbert's Who's Going To Clean Up This Shit? on Showtime.
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      Mintjewlips: So delusional
    “I believe the simplest explanation is, there is no God. No one created the universe and no one directs our fate. This leads me to a profound realization that there probably is no heaven and no afterlife either. We have this one life to appreciate the grand design of the universe and for that, I am extremely grateful.”
    Stephen Hawking

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    Diamond TheXFactor's Avatar
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    Occupy Democrats is one of the worst pages on Facebook

     
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      MumblesBadly: It's the liberal version of Breitbart, but without the unmitigated lies, misogyny, and racism.
      
      DJ_Chaps: THE WOAT indeed

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I think Trump's undoing is going to be the Hispanics.

    They are going to show up big in Nevada (already have in early voting) and Florida. They will show up big in other states with a large Hispanic pop, but it won't matter because it won't change the result. But Nevada and Florida are probably finishing blue for that reason.

    In states like NC, IA, and OH, I think the increased white vote will push Trump to victory. Not enough Hispanics in those places to offset it.

    NH is kind of a toss up. Too hard to tell WTF will happen there.

    Trump won't get enough in PA to flip it, nor will he anywhere else he is expected to lose.

    I forecasted 303 in a post a few hours ago. If NH and Maine-2 go blue, then it will be 308, but whatever.

    I'm getting almost +300 on "the victor" (either candidate) getting 300-319 electoral votes on PredictIt. I think that's great value, because Trump just needs to carry NC/IA/AZ/OH and that's the range it will fall for Hillary. If Trump wins, I lose the bet (he won't get over 300 electoral votes), but whatever... I doubt that will happen.

  5. #10225
    Diamond TheXFactor's Avatar
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    In addition to winning North Carolina, Iowa, Arizona and Ohio.

    Trump must win Nevada, Florida and New Hampshire.

    Winning Pennsylvania and Michigan is just a pipe dream.

    This insanely accurate model is still predicting a Trump victory
    http://nypost.com/2016/11/08/this-in...trump-victory/

    If Donald Trump doesn't win, it will probably be at least 20 years before another Republican wins the Presidency.

    So if you have a kid in the next year or so, by the time they are eligible to vote, another Bush might be ready to become President.



  6. #10226
    Diamond blake's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheXFactor View Post
    Trump must win Nevada, Florida and New Hampshire.

    If Donald Trump doesn't win, it will probably be at least 20 years before another Republican wins the Presidency.
    trump probably lost florida and nevada on the first day with the rapist speech, which was a totally unforced error. he didn't need to do that to win the primaries. he could have just kept attacking trade deals, rigged system, etc.

    it's hard to take out an incumbent president, even one as unlikable as hillary, but if the economy stagnates or gets worse, i can see a republican win in 4 years.

    this might be naive, but i expect the press to turn hard on hillary fairly soon. they never liked her, they are just terrified of trump.

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    Name:  FB_IMG_1478589108675.jpg
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      Tellafriend: Lol
      
      Mintjewlips: SFTRUE

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    hoping this is all an intense nightmare and we'll all wake up tomorrow with President Sanders

  9. #10229
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    Silent Majority God??


    TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP!!!!!!!

     
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      Mintjewlips: Obviously

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    Yep...and they are allowed to vote...

    Just one small example as to why we are where we are right now...



  11. #10231
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    Spooky


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    BREXIT odds on morning of June 23:
    1/4 REMAIN
    3/1 LEAVE

    Current #ElectionDay odds:
    1/4 CLINTON
    3/1 TRUMP

     
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      thesidedish: OH FK YA, USA USA USA!!!!
      
      MumblesBadly: Maybe Pepe doesn't answer polls.
    http://pnimg.net/w/articles-attachments/1/4c2/74d75c36d2.jpg

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    Jesse James's fire arms collection is very coge.

    Last edited by Mintjewlips; 11-08-2016 at 08:26 AM.
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

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    http://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local...400391281.html

    Two women, naked from the waist up, burst into a midtown Manhattan polling station early Tuesday, shouting: “Out of our polls, Trump. Out of our polls, Trump!”

    The women were soon escorted out of the basement of P.S. 59 at 233 E. 56th Street, where Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is expected to vote later.

    The women wore jeans but no tops. One had the word “Trump” near her collarbone and the words “Grab your balls” scrawled on her belly.

    Police charged the two with electioneering (a misdemeanor activity prohibited under New York law that includes wearing badges and signs supporting a candidate to a polling place) and booked them at a local precinct.

  14. #10234
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    Hoping to see the night through until one of them crowned.


    So using ET. What time are we likely to get a result?
    http://pnimg.net/w/articles-attachments/1/4c2/74d75c36d2.jpg

  15. #10235
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Two fun props

    This is your answer Lord


    Time of Winner Declared
    5001 - Before 1105 PM EST (-130)
    5002 - After 1105PM EST (-110)

    Time of Losing Candidate Conceding
    5003 - Within 1 Hour of Winner Declared (+280)
    5004 - Not Within 1 Hour of Winner Declared (-400)

  16. #10236
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    It would suck to not be sure if your wife is voting for you.

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  17. #10237
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    It would suck if you had an immigrant wife who couldn't tell if her vote was flipped.
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

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  18. #10238
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    The concession speech is going to be one for the ages. That's a lock.

    One that keeps him in the conversation and leaves them guessing for weeks to come.

    Took a push on fading the market. After a little setback of about 35 we are off to the races again on the Hillary rally. You could tell it wasn't gonna work. This thing has been shipped

  19. #10239
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    The concession speech is going to be one for the ages. That's a lock.

    One that keeps him in the conversation and leaves them guessing for weeks to come.
    If it's anywhere near close, there won't be a concession speech.

     
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      Sanlmar: Taking this non standard line is fun to consider. Leave them waiting and wondering about his next move

  20. #10240
    Platinum Lord of the Fraud's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Two fun props

    This is your answer Lord


    Time of Winner Declared
    5001 - Before 1105 PM EST (-130)
    5002 - After 1105PM EST (-110)

    Time of Losing Candidate Conceding
    5003 - Within 1 Hour of Winner Declared (+280)
    5004 - Not Within 1 Hour of Winner Declared (-400)

    Thanks.

    If around 11pm is the line, then that's good news for me and a LOT earlier than I anticipated.
    http://pnimg.net/w/articles-attachments/1/4c2/74d75c36d2.jpg

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