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Thread: Time to get on the TRUMP train

  1. #9961
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde View Post
    JFC tine

    Do you have to post 30 fucking times a day ITT ?

    Take a break FFS and go get some sunlight for a change
    He is morbidly obese.

  2. #9962
    Platinum Krypt's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by abrown83 View Post
    I think there are now three possible outcomes barring a last minute surprise.

    Hillary wins election by 2-4% based mostly on the strength of early voting. Probably gets around 290 Electoral College votes.

    Trump wins Electorla College, Hillary wins popular (nobody wins is tossed in here as well), Trump gets somewhere between 265 and 285 Electoral College votes. She runs up big numbers in CA, NY and TX is closer for Democrats so that it doesn't offset those states.

    Trump has tidal wave of momentum, Blacks and young voters stay home. Trump gets all the swing states and one or two firewall states like PA and MI, wins 320 Electoral Votes.

    I wouldn't have thought this was where we would have been at even as little as 2 weeks ago. If the last one happens be ready for a full scale media meltdown.

    My instincts tell me Trump might run away with it (based on polls not matching early turnout numbers I.E. way less Blacks and young people voting versus what polling is accounting for). My brain still thinks Hillary is going to win though, but that might be me not ready to accept that the polls are total dogshot.

    Either way I will be getting shit faced to a level Tyde will be proud of. Also we will know how bad it is for Hillary if you see CNN and MSNBC in full shill mode in the late afternoon.
    None of your 'possible outcomes' will occur. Know why? Because your analysis is dogshite.

  3. #9963
    Silver IamGreek's Avatar
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    Cool

    I had this wonderful dream that the Bernie supporters get their ultimate revenge and write him in. Any chance this could happen?

  4. #9964
    Platinum Krypt's Avatar
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    Nope

    And greek food is garbage

  5. #9965
    Diamond hongkonger's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Krypt View Post
    Nope

    And greek food is garbage
    Can't agree on Greek food. Greek food is god.

     
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      IamGreek:

  6. #9966
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    Quote Originally Posted by hongkonger View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Krypt View Post
    Nope

    And greek food is garbage
    Can't agree on Greek food. Greek food is god.
    Greek food is good it's greeks that suck.
    (sorry I am greek)

     
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      IamGreek: Apology accepted

  7. #9967
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    is anyone else secretly disappointed that thesparten couldnt put down his crackpipe long enough to take this thread to the next level?
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  8. #9968
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gordman View Post
    Btw, my opinion on the odds? It wont mean shit come election day. I firmly believe that there is a hidden voter percentage ( that will matter) from the right who will prove the odds incorrect. These people are silent right now and keeping silent for fear of backlash from the left. Of course this is just my opinion.
    Same thing happened in 2004 though, and i felt it, and capitalized on it on election day.
    Quote Originally Posted by Corrigan View Post

    It's called wishful thinking

    oh, and shut it down Gordo
    Quote Originally Posted by Gordman View Post
    The big bet i made election day morning 2004 wasn't wishful thinking

    It was realizing the left media was fucking with the polls
    Quote Originally Posted by Corrigan View Post

    The polls that showed GWB ahead?

    Do a google search for "polls before 2004 election" and look at the top results.

    Tight memory doofus.

    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post
    His memory is correct. That morning in 2004, the odds of GWB winning plummeted on tradesports.com. I scooped up a ton of shares and made over $10,000 on that trade.


    Comments
    sonatine: if thats true, im impressed.





    Thank you Thank you, Snake_in_the_ass.

    Exactly the move I made, except I didn't make quite as much (only because I couldn't deposit more for some reason)

    I saw it in the morning and wagered almost everything I had on Tradesports. I then went to one of my jobsites to finish up some bullshit, and by afternoon I headed back home and tried to deposit more so I could buy some more shares. Back then, it was normally pretty damn easy to use a regular credit card to make a deposit on a site like that; only this time it wasn't working...i called TS Customer service but i couldn't get a straight answer why it wasn't accepting my card all of the sudden. I called the CC company but I was afraid to divulge much info for fear they would cancel me or something if they found out what it was for. Turns out the CC company just put a standard hold on it because they thought it was suspicious activity, but by the time I got it resolved and unlocked, it was pretty much too late, otherwise I would have most definitely made a shit ton more.

    I ended up making about $6200 with the shares I did have, so it was still not a bad day at all. I just kicked myself repeatedly for not being able to deposit more. What can ya do?



    Anyway, maybe shut your fucking pie hole next time Corrigan until you have all of the information you fucktard

    frickin DOOFUS

    Oh, and drink a pint of bleach too if you can, k? thanks.

  9. #9969
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Is there a Tradesports-esque site open these days?
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  10. #9970
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Trump absolutely, positively will not win in a landslide.

    Those claiming this will happen are delusional.

    If anyone might win in a landslide, it will be Hillary. If she takes Florida, NC, and perhaps even Ohio (though that one is likely going Trump), it will start to look landslide-ish.

    But honestly, nobody is winning in a real landslide.

    Remember when Reagan took 49 of 50 states in 1984? That's never happening again -- at least not for a very long time. The country is too divided and partisan now. There are too many states which are solidly one way or the other, and will just about never vote the other way.

    Say what you will about "progress" in our modern times, but politically we seem to have regressed. People were more open-minded 30 years ago regarding which candidate they would vote for, and weren't as locked in to party loyalism. There was also a lot more emphasis on character regarding Presidential candidates in those days. Remember when Gary Hart had his political fortunes completely destroyed over a few silly photos in the Enquirer of him having an affair? That would never happen today.

    Morallly questionable candidates like Hillary and Trump wouldn't have had a chance 30 years ago.

    Anyway, Trump has made a few inroads in PA, but is probably losing there. If given another 2 months, he might be able to win over PA, but he's out of time.

    He's also getting close in Colorado, but again I don't think it will be quite enough. He's got a better shot there than in PA, though.

    I think Trump will take IA, OH, AZ, GA, and even Nevada is starting to look good for him.

    New Hampshire has lurched into Trump territory, and he is now a favorite there.

    He's also looking like the favorite in NC.

    However, he's got a Florida problem. He's looking worse and worse there, and hasn't had an unbiased poll showing him leading in quite some time.

    Trump can actually win now without Colorado, thanks to his turnaround in NH.

    If he takes FL, OH, NC, IA, AZ, GA, NH, NV, and Maine district 2, then he wins VERY narrowly -- 270 to 268.

    If the election goes exactly as current poll results show, Hillary wins 297-241.

    However, if Trump flips Florida, he narrowly wins with 270 as described above.

    The absolute maximum I see Trump finishing with is 299 -- if he flips FL, CO, and PA. Beyond that, pretty much everything is out of reach. I don't believe he has a shot in the so-called toss-up states of VA, MI, and WI.

  11. #9971
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Let me say this, though.

    Florida is a strange animal. It's kinda hard to predict in some ways.

    If Trump does manage to outdo the current polls and win there, which isn't out of the realm of possibility, then Hillary has real problems.

    This is because she will need to win a state where she's currently polling behind. So if Trump wins Florida and can hold every state where he's polling ahead, Hillary loses by 2 electoral votes.

    And James Comey will be found dead of an unexpected heart-related ailment.

  12. #9972
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    AZ and GA in play... LOL
    Trump is going to get smoked

  13. #9973
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Is there a Tradesports-esque site open these days?

    Not sure if I understand what you mean by a similar site like that. Briefly elaborate?

  14. #9974
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gordman View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Is there a Tradesports-esque site open these days?

    Not sure if I understand what you mean by a similar site like that. Briefly elaborate?

    Tradesports is closed, no?
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  15. #9975
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    One more note:

    Trump has suddenly moved ahead in New Hampshire, as I mentioned above.

    This is significant because Bernie was REALLY popular there, due to the state's proximity to Vermont.

    There is some talk that Trump's recent bump was due to the Wikileaks exposing the various shady ways Hillary achieved unfair edges over Bernie, such as obtaining debate questions in advance from CNN's Donna Brazile. It's said that some Bernie bots, who had conceded the necessity of voting for Hillary, are angry again and are refusing to support her now.

    If Trump wins, and if NH's 4 electoral votes prove key to that win, it will be notable in a few ways:

    1) Bernie Sanders will have done exactly what he was trying NOT to do -- cause Hillary to lose the general election, albeit indirectly.

    2) Russia (provided they were the ones guilty) really will have swayed the Presidential election.

    3) NH will have once again been key to a Republican winning, for the 2nd time in 5 election cycles. In 2000, Bush beat Gore in part due to Gore's fooilsh neglect of NH as a campaign stop. It is unclear why Gore ignored New Hampshire. Even fellow Democrats were irritated with him late in the campaign season when he refused to visit there. He ended up losing by just 7,211 votes, and that cost him the election. Hillary is attempting to make nice over in NH and avoid Al Gore's mistakes, but it looks like her unfair treatment of Bernie will burn her -- at least in that state.

  16. #9976
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Gordman View Post


    Not sure if I understand what you mean by a similar site like that. Briefly elaborate?

    Tradesports is closed, no?

    I think they were ultimately bought out by some other outfit several years ago, but right now i cant remember who. If my memory serves me, I tried researching who bought them/what happened to them several years ago, and i think i had figured out what happened, but for the life of me at this moment I cannot remember the results I came up with. Shit was changing around so much between poker sites/betting sites at the time, I just didn't keep up. I do remember that Tradesports was based in Ireland (At least that's what I think i remember)

  17. #9977
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    2) Russia (provided they were the ones guilty) really will have swayed the Presidential election.

    You misspelled FBI.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  18. #9978
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    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    AZ and GA in play... LOL
    Trump is going to get smoked
    Not really.

    Hillary hasn't polled ahead of Trump in those states in ANY recent poll, not even the Democrat-leaning polls.

    She's not winning those, just as Trump isn't winning VA/MI/WI.

    For some reason, the media likes to pretend that MI and WI are battleground states. They've done this for the last 4 election cycles, and every time the go Democrat. This will be no different.

     
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  19. #9979
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    2) Russia (provided they were the ones guilty) really will have swayed the Presidential election.

    You misspelled FBI.
    FBI swayed it in Hillary's favor when they chose not to charge her and closed the investigation in July, despite a ton of chargeable offenses.

    They swayed it back just recently.

    I say that's breaking even.

     
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      Tellafriend:

  20. #9980
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post


    You misspelled FBI.
    FBI swayed it in Hillary's favor when they chose not to charge her and closed the investigation in July, despite a ton of chargeable offenses.

    They swayed it back just recently.

    I say that's breaking even.

    I dont know, she went from -400 to -260 in 10 hours after they fed Fox News that bullshit. And also the Comey decision was at least an actual departmental decision. What happened with Fox News was a violation of the Hatch Act and probably much, much worse.

     
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      Krypt: Absolutely agree
      
      hongkonger: This
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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