Fivethirtyeight has it 60/40. I think Kerry had a similar lead in 2004 polls pre convention, and Hillary makes him look JFK by comparison. It really is just getting started.
That's his move, but how does he get Ohio when the very popular Republican governor won't endorse him. I don't really see Mike Pence overriding the Kasich snub.
Either way, I don't think Trump has zero chance, I'm pretty confident that he's going to lose. But any major party candidate has a chance. But Trump's path is small due to his numbers with Latinos essentially taking Florida out of the "swing states". He has to run the table in the midwest, minus Illinois.
He is going to latch on to the Portman infrastructure, who is running for reelection in the US Senate in Ohio. They are confident he will win going awya. Coupled with Pence who will drag the IN border counties, its deemed a lock. Pence is not widely known, except in that region where he grew up where he is widely popular. I was told its a lock, with all that said, I know nothing about grass root politics of random counties.
Ohio is the least of his troubles. He has to find a way to win PA, MI, and WI, too. But heavy Latino states like FL, CO are probably out. VA might have too many college whites to overcome.
The path for Trump is the midwest, I think it will be very difficult to pull off.
Samantha Bee is back on air after a three-week hiatus ― and she’s gone full throttle for Donald Trump’s vice-presidential choice, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence.
“Indiana voters hate Pence as much as Indiana Jones hates snakes,” the comedian said during her opening monologue on “Full Frontal With Samantha Bee” Monday night.
Bee showed footage of people booing Pence being while he threw out the first pitch at an Indiana baseball game, along with negative headlines criticizing him as being out of his league.
“Who is Mike Pence?” Bee asked during the segment. “If you’re a lady Hoosier, you may recognize him as the governor who inspected your reproductive organs every 30 days to make sure you weren’t using them in ways that would make Jesus sad.”
Bee pointed out that Pence signed a law requiring funerals for fetuses after an abortion or miscarriage.
“The law was blocked by a federal judge, but not before Pence had closed down every abortion clinic not equipped with a full complement of funeral bagpipers, you know, for the woman’s safety,” she said. “In that state, having a miscarriage could land you in jail for 20 years, so if you’re driving through Indiana and the contractions start, cross your legs and don’t stop till you’re in Chicago!”
Bee did see a positive in Pence being picked as the presumptive GOP presidential nominee’s Veep.
“Congratulations Indiana! You just got rid of one of the worst governors you’ve ever had,” she said, while offering condolences to the Garden State.
. Pence took more than 2 months to respond when there was an outbreak of HIV in Indiana.
When an outbreak of HIV rocked Scott County, Indiana, Mike Pence was nowhere to be found for 65 days, until he finally declared a public health emergency. It was just another contemptuous act in Pence’s repertoire as the opioid epidemic began to take over the state. Clean needle exchange programs were illegal in Indiana, but the outbreak helped change GOP minds.
A major contribution to the HIV outbreak was the GOP’s defunding of Planned Parenthood, which Pence launched. According to the Huffington Post, the Scott County clinic, along with four other Planned Parenthood facilities in the state, provided critical HIV testing and information. However, those clinics have been closed since 2011 after funding cuts to the state’s public health.
3. He’s one Koch’d up governor:
Mike Pence is one of the Koch brothers’ favorite elected leaders. Support from the Koch brothers and conservative donors are a major component in a presidential run, so having the major money people’s favorite guy at your side if you’re new to politics is certainly helpful for campaign cash. Americans for Prosperity has been holding up Mike Pence’s work in Indiana as a paragon of a good governor. Pence’s former chief of staff now runs the Koch’s political group Freedom Partners. Given the fact that the Koch’s have pledged to spend $1 billion in the 2016 election to support conservative candidates, his ties could be an asset to Trump as he realizes his own financial limitations.
This guy has sold out to the rich more times than druff has called the better business bureau.Fuck Mike Pence
"Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson
"ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine
"Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis
"DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER
Ok , let's do that. S bee IS A serious JOURNALIST from now on.
"Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson
"ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine
"Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis
"DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER
"Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson
"ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine
"Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis
"DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER
More gop fear mongering, 4 days of nonstop fear mongering.
With a few usa usa chants added in
I'm worried. Trump gave a speech that Mussolini could have given.... "I alone can fix this". It's fucking freaky. This guy could be president and the world could literally end.
Trump is no different than a senile old man. You just give him the keys to the car to hold onto, but they're not even the keys to the car.
they'll have to explain to him what the MAD doctrine is before he gets the nuclear football.
"No sir, you can't launch at Cuba, or China, or Russia. No one has first strike capability yet. Mutally Assured Destruction sir, not Mothers Against Drunk driving."
"Winning is the most important thing in my life, after breathing. Breathing first, winning next."
George Steinbrenner
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