View Poll Results: Who would you vote for right now?

Voters
115. You may not vote on this poll
  • Rand Paul

    7 6.09%
  • Christie

    1 0.87%
  • Trump

    46 40.00%
  • Hilary

    11 9.57%
  • Bernie

    33 28.70%
  • Carson

    1 0.87%
  • Cruz

    6 5.22%
  • Rubio

    6 5.22%
  • Bush

    1 0.87%
  • Kasich

    3 2.61%
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Thread: President 2016

  1. #21
    Photoballer 4Dragons's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pooh View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by 4Dragons View Post
    Just wondering what the poll would look like if everyone had their vote public?
    Thought about it but then didn't think we'd get totally honest results.
    Oh you made the right call, just wondering out loud is all. Odd, nobody for Christie? Don't some of you live in Jersey?

  2. #22
    One Percenter Pooh's Avatar
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    Bernie's popularity here is surprising given the average age of posters. Dudes in their 30's and above usually out grow the far left crazy shit.

  3. #23
    One Percenter Pooh's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by abrown83 View Post
    I'm going to come across as a bit of a douche but I really know more about this then anyone on this board by miles.

    In order to get Trump to the numbers they are reporting they are basing turnout at 170,000 voters on Monday. No Iowa Caucus has had more than 120,000. When you weight the numbers more towards historical turnouts the numbers are more like 35% Cruz, 18% Trump, 16-18% Rubio. Now my common sense brain is telling me people are bailing on Trump left and right around Iowa based on no showing the debate.

    Cruz has 12,000 Iowa volunteers on Monday. Think about that 10% of all the people voting are volunteering to assist the night of the caucus. That's more votes than most candidates will get and he has that in volunteers. The guy is doubling up on captains for the caucus locations.

    It would probably require Trump to get 25,000 Republican registrations the night of the caucus that'd be adding 5% to the Republican Party in Iowa. An unheard of and impossible number.

    Rubio is surging in Iowa and presumably that will carry forward into NH, especially if he finished second.

    Lastly, by Tuesday Trump will be in full meltdown mode and most likely calling Iowans stupid, Republicans stupid, Cruz stupid, Rubio stupid and basically anyone and everyone in his path before he quits like a little bitch.
    I used this argument with mrs pooh today. Will be interesting to see how it plays out tomorrow.

  4. #24
    Cubic Zirconia
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    Win or lose, Cruz is done after Iowa. He's the Santorum of this election cycle.

    Going with Clinton, unless she's indicted, then who knows.

  5. #25
    Gold abrown83's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by patience View Post
    Win or lose, Cruz is done after Iowa. He's the Santorum of this election cycle.

    Going with Clinton, unless she's indicted, then who knows.
    That's not really true, he has a totally different funding and organizational source than Santorum.

    That said he only has one path to the White House, and that involves the establishment not picking a candidate and splitting the vote. If they all circle around Rubio coming out of Iowa then Rubio will win.

  6. #26
    Platinum Lord of the Fraud's Avatar
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    Voted Hilary


    She will send the american economy down the shitter while also starting fewer illegal wars.


    Ideal that really.


    Can't see the Rothschilds agreeing to that though unfortunately.
    http://pnimg.net/w/articles-attachments/1/4c2/74d75c36d2.jpg

  7. #27
    One Percenter Pooh's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord of the Fraud View Post
    Voted Hilary


    She will send the american economy down the shitter while also starting fewer illegal wars.


    Ideal that really.


    Can't see the Rothschilds agreeing to that though unfortunately.
    He of the smelly cocks has spoken.

  8. #28
    100% Organic MumblesBadly's Avatar
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    Weather forecast for Iowa this Tuesday looks good for candidates with committed political followers, not wind-swingers. This will probably benefit the candidates with the stronger ground games (Cruz for sure, but don't know if better for Bernie or Hillary).

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      ftpjesus: Would make sense if the caucus was TUESDAY.. ITS NOT.. Its tomorrow/Today February 1st in the evening.. Moonlanding dude.
    _____________________________________________
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I actually hope this [second impeachment] succeeds, because I want Trump put down politically like a sick, 14-year-old dog. ... I don't want him complicating the 2024 primary season. I just want him done.
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Were Republicans cowardly or unethical not to go along with [convicting Trump in the second impeachment Senate trial]? No. The smart move was to reject it.

  9. #29
    100% Organic MumblesBadly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord of the Fraud View Post
    Voted Hilary


    She will send the american economy down the shitter while also starting fewer illegal wars.


    Ideal that really.


    Can't see the Rothschilds agreeing to that though unfortunately.
    Compared to most of the GOPers, but not Sanders. Hillary is a hawk who will send the US military all over the world to try to change societies that don't treat women like in the West. She was a key backer of Obama's Afghanistan Surge-Lite in 2009 for this reason. Idiots who promote such a policy don't understand that you can't change another society's culture at the point of a gun.
    _____________________________________________
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I actually hope this [second impeachment] succeeds, because I want Trump put down politically like a sick, 14-year-old dog. ... I don't want him complicating the 2024 primary season. I just want him done.
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Were Republicans cowardly or unethical not to go along with [convicting Trump in the second impeachment Senate trial]? No. The smart move was to reject it.

  10. #30
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    Rubio and Cruz are by far the worst .
    Pooh How could you ever in a million years consider voting for that sellout pedo looking bought and paid for scumbag?
    Lof why would you root for the demise of the u.s economy? I get it that you hate fat lazy stupid hicks( I do to) but idk why you want to see the u.s economy take a shit

     
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      Pooh: I remember when u had a negative rep. keep the good stuff coming.

  11. #31
    Platinum Lord of the Fraud's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MumblesBadly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Lord of the Fraud View Post
    Voted Hilary


    She will send the american economy down the shitter while also starting fewer illegal wars.


    Ideal that really.


    Can't see the Rothschilds agreeing to that though unfortunately.
    Compared to most of the GOPers, but not Sanders. Hillary is a hawk who will send the US military all over the world to try to change societies that don't treat women like in the West. She was a key backer of Obama's Afghanistan Surge-Lite in 2009 for this reason. Idiots who promote such a policy don't understand that you can't change another society's culture at the point of a gun.

    So first mission on the list is to bomb Saudi?


    Sounds good


    But don't think your weapons or oil dealers will stand for that.
    http://pnimg.net/w/articles-attachments/1/4c2/74d75c36d2.jpg

  12. #32
    Platinum Lord of the Fraud's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    Rubio and Cruz are by far the worst .
    Pooh How could you ever in a million years consider voting for that sellout pedo looking bought and paid for scumbag?
    Lof why would you root for the demise of the u.s economy? I get it that you hate fat lazy stupid hicks( I do to) but idk why you want to see the u.s economy take a shit

    You're one of the few posters i'll admit my jest to that comment.


    But you're one of the few I thought knew my jest.


    If the American economy goes down the shitter, so does ours.

     
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      big dick: I knew u knew this of course
    http://pnimg.net/w/articles-attachments/1/4c2/74d75c36d2.jpg

  13. #33
    One Percenter Pooh's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord of the Fraud View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    Rubio and Cruz are by far the worst .
    Pooh How could you ever in a million years consider voting for that sellout pedo looking bought and paid for scumbag?
    Lof why would you root for the demise of the u.s economy? I get it that you hate fat lazy stupid hicks( I do to) but idk why you want to see the u.s economy take a shit

    You're one of the few posters i'll admit my jest to that comment.


    But you're one of the few I thought knew my jest.


    If the American economy goes down the shitter, so does ours.
    You do realize if the us economy tanks the parents of the newborns will not have enough money to make their son's cocks pretty.

  14. #34
    Gold abrown83's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MumblesBadly View Post
    Weather forecast for Iowa this Tuesday looks good for candidates with committed political followers, not wind-swingers. This will probably benefit the candidates with the stronger ground games (Cruz for sure, but don't know if better for Bernie or Hillary).

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    You do know the Caucus is tomorrow Monday and not Tuesday right?

     
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      MumblesBadly: I *am* idiot!!!

  15. #35
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    lol a brown big lolz
    pretty good read
    http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/day-i...ry?id=36617227

  16. #36
    Diamond Sloppy Joe's Avatar
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    Any value of Cruz stealing Iowa tomorrow?

    I see Trump is -400 but just spent 45 minutes on a treadmill where MSNBC, CNN and especially FOX were trashing Trump and implying that Cruz or even Rubio could win.

    Just media spinning wheels or is an upset coming?
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  17. #37
    Gold abrown83's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sloppy Joe View Post
    Any value of Cruz stealing Iowa tomorrow?

    I see Trump is -400 but just spent 45 minutes on a treadmill where MSNBC, CNN and especially FOX were trashing Trump and implying that Cruz or even Rubio could win.

    Just media spinning wheels or is an upset coming?
    I would say Cruz is at least 80% to win tomorrow.

    His people expect 40,000 votes.

    Only way would be historic voter registration night of the caucus.

    Again turnout if it is in that 120,000 range and Cruz gets his 40,000 that's 33%, he wins going away.

  18. #38
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sloppy Joe View Post
    Any value of Cruz stealing Iowa tomorrow?

    I see Trump is -400 but just spent 45 minutes on a treadmill where MSNBC, CNN and especially FOX were trashing Trump and implying that Cruz or even Rubio could win.

    Just media spinning wheels or is an upset coming?
    Nate Silver had Cruz the winner until 2 days ago, so a Cruz win wouldn't be much of an upset.

    I locked in Trump to win Iowa at +150 and Field to win at +120 last week and I booked it with a bias of field winning.... Starting to look like I should have weighted differently...,

  19. #39
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    I will gladly take even money up to 20k that the underdog Donald Trump wins Iowa. Both sides escrow with Todd Druff.

  20. #40
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by abrown83 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sloppy Joe View Post
    Any value of Cruz stealing Iowa tomorrow?

    I see Trump is -400 but just spent 45 minutes on a treadmill where MSNBC, CNN and especially FOX were trashing Trump and implying that Cruz or even Rubio could win.

    Just media spinning wheels or is an upset coming?
    I would say Cruz is at least 80% to win tomorrow.

    His people expect 40,000 votes.

    Only way would be historic voter registration night of the caucus.

    Again turnout if it is in that 120,000 range and Cruz gets his 40,000 that's 33%, he wins going away.
    Its been interesting watching Nate Silver waffle around with his math and working traditional metrics. Always an interesting read nonetheless.

    You keep reiterating the 120k historic (traditional) turnout, as an example. Their is nothing traditional about Trumps run. The greatest read has been people trying to explain and quantify his candidacy. I think hate is more motivating than ward captains.

    Sanders success on the other side speaks to the same success Trump is experiencing.

    I can't remember a candidate that has personified "NONE OF THE ABOVE" like these two.

    I really don't think this election is about issues so much as process. Monday night will be more interesting than the Super Bowl. At least there is an argument as to who will win tomorrow.

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