Originally Posted by
Dan Druff
Felt I played the Millionaire Maker pretty well yesterday, though just kept airballing every draw and starting hand I was getting in the later hours of Day 1.
I did make one mistake when I got confused about the position of the raiser (somehow thought he was UTG when in fact he was late), and it changed the way I played AJss pre, which cost me the pot when the SB got in and beat me.
But other than that, I read my opponents' hands well, where I correctly didn't spaz out on hands where I was behind and yet was able to get value when I did hit.
However, the one questionable spot came in the 250/500/50 level shortly before dinner.
I had about 14.5k.
I opened with AQo in middle pos to 1300.
24-year-old kid to my left, who had been very tight during my time at the table, just flatted me, which was a bit weird. Keep in mind that this guy was a decent player, but just had a tight-aggressive playstyle, and in fact his flatting confused me, as I hadn't seen him flat during the time we were playing (and my raise could have easily been of a steal variety -- it's not like it was UTG).
Folded to button, a 40-ish Swedish guy who was playing solid for awhile but did shoot off on two hands in the past hour.
The button shoved 11k into us.
If I call and lose, I'm crippled to 3500.
I am still facing the weird flat behind me, and he has me covered (he has about 22k total).
Do you call this or fold? If there was no one behind me, I call the tilted Swede all day, but given these circumstances, what do you do?
Ignoring all table reads I would probably reshove. However, it seems like you have a good read on the table there and I'd fold with those reads. Even with the reads I couldn't really blame you if you did shove.
The way I look at this is there's a couple possibilities here in regards to table dynamics. Kid to your left might be recognizing his image is getting too tight and he picked up a good drawing hand and wants to use it as an excuse to show the table he's widening his range. If not the case you can probably more than likely put him on hands like 66-99, jts-kqs, and maybe ATs. Maybe move ajs into that range. Assuming he's trying to widen his range you can add in hands like 45s, 46s, 57s, etc. There's also the opportunity that he's setting the trap, which with position on the initial raiser maybe he'll do 10-15% of the time with his big hands.
The shove from the button with 11k seems pretty standard with just about any marginally strong hand like AXss, broadway cards, and pocket pairs up to about jacks. Also, because of the limp he can widen that range because there's so much in the pot and with the guy on your left limping. the button can probably assume he's not strong enough to call so he just needs to get rid of you.
Overall, I don't hate folding but I don't hate reshoving either. I think the math here in regards to fold/shoving is a lot closer than you probably give credit.