Originally Posted by
BCR
I don’t know a single Obama/Trump voter who has cooled on Trump here in the areas that delivered Trump the presidency. If anything, they love him more.
I think there’s an untapped market for him within right leaning voters who sat out last election. I know a handful of people who hated the direction the country was going, but viewed Trump as mentally unbalanced and sat the election out last go round. Assuming he doesn’t set the world on fire before the election, I see that segment of the voting block now being more comfortable pulling the lever for him.
I see chamber of commerce republicans like a Tony or business people who have given voice to being done with him, but those types are never pulling the lever for anyone the dems likely nominate who could also generate enthusiasm and a large turnout. I’m not counting on a lack of enthusiasm from Trump voters come election day. They’ll be there. I think he will get 5 million more votes than he did in the previous election.
A Biden type who could conceivably pull in that moderate republican comes at the cost of throwing a wet blanket on the democratic voters who are most engaged.
You can go back through this thread pre-election last time and I believed Trump would lose, but always said there must be a ton of support for Hillary in areas that are traditionally more red because I’m sitting here in counties that have voted blue for 75 years and I know these areas are going trump. I trusted the people who make their living off being right about elections knew where the numbers fell. Maybe they will this time, but I won’t be confident. I’m trusting my eyes and ears this time. I don’t like our nominees. They’re either really old or lacking the it factor. The dems will need amazing turnout to beat him. I wouldn’t be comfortable betting either way, but I’d take the dog either way if the price dropped to like .32.