Getting details. Seat belts on. Details will surface as I learn them.
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Getting details. Seat belts on. Details will surface as I learn them.
Let me know when it's a hurricane.
Still to early too tell on Isaac on final path. However, there are a couple notable exceptions:
1) Generally speaking if Isaac goes over directly Hispanolia it will likely be destroyed or weaken beyond repair
2) Isaac is a massive storm right now with light winds. Worse case scenario if it makes it into the Gulf as it builds over the warmest warter
3) Haiti might really get swamped. Due to Deforestation, they will get drenched with mud slides after the earthquake, this is ruinous. Depends on the path at this point
4) 3% chance this hits Tampa for the RNC convention
5) There is a decent chance this storm slips to the South and hit the Yucatan. Also there is a decent chance this makes it into the Gulf and all bets are off
bottomset?
Too early to see if Haiti gets slapped. Hispanolia is a Hurricane killer due to its elevation. If Isaac goes South, Haiti is in trouble for sure. The latest track puts them on the dirtiest part of the storm, where the water couterclock-wises back.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...9/AL0912W5.gif
Might graze Miami but unlikley as it would have to take a perfect path. If you read Hurricane Andrew history it was a perfect storm in that it went due west with a cool front pushing it south then west. This is a pure southern Atlantic storm, it simply is too far south to go this far North, although anything is possible. The most powerful US storms are weak in the Atlantic and build when get to the US. Andrew was given up on 2 days before it hit Miami and Katrina was a TS a day before it hit Miami.
This just looks like a Key splitter an Gulf, but it could go wildcard and skirt the East Coast.
Too early to even talk about. But hoping it hits near me. It's been a while since I've seen a good hurricane.
As I suggested, Isaac is shifting west which means a GOM titanic if it goes west of Florida. Gulf waters are boiling right now, and since there have been no storms over the GOM this year, energy is high.
Haiti is going to get absolutely crushed on it's current path. Weissman needs to be on standy by if he is still interested in that region.
http://icons-ak.wunderground.com/dat...9_ensmodel.gif
Just so you people know, this is VERY serious fucking business. Isaac is going to be a monster if it makes its way in the central GOM. The trend is West. This was the National Weather Service Advisory when Katrina hit the Gulf in 2005:
MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL FAILURE. THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL. AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. PERSONS...PETS...ANDLIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK. POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS.
Friday: 47% Category 1. 16% Category 2. 9% to affect RNC convention in Tampa. Although I believe this will go well west of Florida. LA or TX
Latest track has it skirting south side of Hispaniola cutting across Cuba and possible landfall near Naples (but could be a trend to sideswipping the west coast of Florida). Spaghetti models seem to mostly push it west obviously but still a few models that have proven true still show an east coast bias for some reason. The question is whether or not TD 10 aka Joyce causes any interaction with Isaac.
Storm has shifted west. Well west.
NHC has this as a Category 1 in the Gulf. That is because they take the path over the worst mountain ranges over Hispanolia and south Cuba.
I think otherwise. New Orleans to Houston:
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...1209_5day.html