As of right now, who would you vote for to be the next President of the U.S. We will allow Lord of the Fag to vote even though he is jealous of and despises pretty cocks. Carry on.
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As of right now, who would you vote for to be the next President of the U.S. We will allow Lord of the Fag to vote even though he is jealous of and despises pretty cocks. Carry on.
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I'm so close between Cruz and Trump but I think Cruz has jumped him. Can't take the personal attacks of the guy anymore. Shit has gotten old as fuck.
Cruz is going south and fast. He was terrible in the debate and I would not be surprised if Rubio finished second in Iowa.
If Trump wins Iowa he will sweep the South. The only chance Rubio or Cruz has is to hang on and make their stand in Texas and later California. Each would have a decent chance to win those states, but they have to hang on a finish second consistently.
Make no doubt about it, in the SEC states Trump is going to sweep, unless he gets embarrassed in Iowa and I doubt that will happen.
Rand Paul did an AMA on Reddit a few weeks ago and it was actually really good. I liked his answers for solving many of the issues we have. He was well thought out and used logic. Didnt just blow political bs at you.
Iowa
Cruz
Rubio
Trump
In that order, maybe Trump finishes second but will be by less than 2% over Rubio.
Heard on the news an hour ago that so far, polls are showing that Trump is at 31, Cruz at 26, Rubio at 15, Carson at 10. The others are around 5, with Bush and the others that were relegated to the early debate stage, at 2.
They also said that 45% of the registered Republican voters are at a spot where they could see themselves switching their pics by Monday.
I'm going to come across as a bit of a douche but I really know more about this then anyone on this board by miles.
In order to get Trump to the numbers they are reporting they are basing turnout at 170,000 voters on Monday. No Iowa Caucus has had more than 120,000. When you weight the numbers more towards historical turnouts the numbers are more like 35% Cruz, 18% Trump, 16-18% Rubio. Now my common sense brain is telling me people are bailing on Trump left and right around Iowa based on no showing the debate.
Cruz has 12,000 Iowa volunteers on Monday. Think about that 10% of all the people voting are volunteering to assist the night of the caucus. That's more votes than most candidates will get and he has that in volunteers. The guy is doubling up on captains for the caucus locations.
It would probably require Trump to get 25,000 Republican registrations the night of the caucus that'd be adding 5% to the Republican Party in Iowa. An unheard of and impossible number.
Rubio is surging in Iowa and presumably that will carry forward into NH, especially if he finished second.
Lastly, by Tuesday Trump will be in full meltdown mode and most likely calling Iowans stupid, Republicans stupid, Cruz stupid, Rubio stupid and basically anyone and everyone in his path before he quits like a little bitch.
You Americans really miss out by not having CBC socialist radio.
anyways I was listening to their programing Friday morning and the woman they were interviewing went out to Trumps veteran event Thursday. She was really surprised just how bad of a campaign team he has. The person who was in charge of the event was apparently an old apprentice contestant. She stated that numerous people in the crowd had no idea where to even go to vote on Monday. Apparently they never even tried to convey this information to anyone there or even discuss how important it is to get out and vote. It was all about trump and putting on a big show. On top of that numerous people there had no intention of voting but were just coming out for the show.
They also raised a good point about the woman vote (which is always higher than males) and just how poorly trump does in this area. No one can seem to figure out how he is going to make up for that when he goes head to head with anyone. I've said from the start Trump runs great multiway but head to head he is terrible.
I still expect Trump to be in good standing following Iowa but the above are really rookie mistakes. As long as Trump comes out on top he will be calm.
I'm just curious.....who are the 11 fucking mongoloids that said they are voting for Trump?
Where's Mike Bloomberg in this poll? He might actually go for it.
So there is hope for PFA peeps after all. My faith in the community has been restored. Go Trump. (I am obv a mongoloid)
Sounds reasonable given that Iowa is CAUCUS state where the ground game is dominated by highly *religious* conservatives. And even if Trump wins in quirky New Hampshire, the first real test of strength nationally among likely GOP voters will be the South Carolina primary a few weeks later.
Donald Trump has the popularity but will it translate into enough votes?
There is too many problems with Ted Cruz.
His citizenship being the least of it.
Cruz will most likely win in Iowa, if he doesn't then he's done.
Trump actually has the best shot at being President at least for now.
I doubt that anyone else will drop out of the Presidential race until "Super Tuesday" when most of the country votes.
https://img.washingtonpost.com/rf/im...EeWkqvJYZroNxg
I like the Donald, I would love to see Rand Paul win, but I don't think he can win it all. I like the way Donald doesn't give a fuck about what the politically correct people think, they are after all the vocal minority. I guess the moment that solidified my vote was this funny story
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/0...bara-ad-218136
Just wondering what the poll would look like if everyone had their vote public?
Bernie's popularity here is surprising given the average age of posters. Dudes in their 30's and above usually out grow the far left crazy shit.
Win or lose, Cruz is done after Iowa. He's the Santorum of this election cycle.
Going with Clinton, unless she's indicted, then who knows.
That's not really true, he has a totally different funding and organizational source than Santorum.
That said he only has one path to the White House, and that involves the establishment not picking a candidate and splitting the vote. If they all circle around Rubio coming out of Iowa then Rubio will win.
Voted Hilary
She will send the american economy down the shitter while also starting fewer illegal wars.
Ideal that really.
Can't see the Rothschilds agreeing to that though unfortunately.
Weather forecast for Iowa this Tuesday looks good for candidates with committed political followers, not wind-swingers. This will probably benefit the candidates with the stronger ground games (Cruz for sure, but don't know if better for Bernie or Hillary).
Compared to most of the GOPers, but not Sanders. Hillary is a hawk who will send the US military all over the world to try to change societies that don't treat women like in the West. She was a key backer of Obama's Afghanistan Surge-Lite in 2009 for this reason. Idiots who promote such a policy don't understand that you can't change another society's culture at the point of a gun.
Rubio and Cruz are by far the worst .
Pooh How could you ever in a million years consider voting for that sellout pedo looking bought and paid for scumbag?
Lof why would you root for the demise of the u.s economy? I get it that you hate fat lazy stupid hicks( I do to) but idk why you want to see the u.s economy take a shit
lol a brown big lolz
pretty good read
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/day-i...ry?id=36617227
Any value of Cruz stealing Iowa tomorrow?
I see Trump is -400 but just spent 45 minutes on a treadmill where MSNBC, CNN and especially FOX were trashing Trump and implying that Cruz or even Rubio could win.
Just media spinning wheels or is an upset coming?
Nate Silver had Cruz the winner until 2 days ago, so a Cruz win wouldn't be much of an upset.
I locked in Trump to win Iowa at +150 and Field to win at +120 last week and I booked it with a bias of field winning.... Starting to look like I should have weighted differently...,
I will gladly take even money up to 20k that the underdog Donald Trump wins Iowa. Both sides escrow with Todd Druff.
Its been interesting watching Nate Silver waffle around with his math and working traditional metrics. Always an interesting read nonetheless.
You keep reiterating the 120k historic (traditional) turnout, as an example. Their is nothing traditional about Trumps run. The greatest read has been people trying to explain and quantify his candidacy. I think hate is more motivating than ward captains.
Sanders success on the other side speaks to the same success Trump is experiencing.
I can't remember a candidate that has personified "NONE OF THE ABOVE" like these two.
I really don't think this election is about issues so much as process. Monday night will be more interesting than the Super Bowl. At least there is an argument as to who will win tomorrow.