Post predictions, results, reactions, etc.
I haven't voted yet. Will shortly.
Printable View
Post predictions, results, reactions, etc.
I haven't voted yet. Will shortly.
Here are the odds right now on PredictIt, the legal US politics betting site, which I avoid now because the fees are too damn high.
Democrats to take the House: 73%
Republicans to keep Senate: 91%
Ted Cruz to win: 78%
Florida gubernatorial: Gillum (D) 74%
Missouri Senate McCaskill (D) 37%
If the fees weren't prohibitively high, a bet on Gavin Newsom to win CA governor at -2000 would still be a steal. That's a lock.
But the fees actually kill any profit on such a bet.
One more time...
A tough governor battle in South Dakota.
Kristi Noem, Republican versus Billie Sutton, Democrat.
Sutton would be the first Democratic governor there since 1979. Noem would be the first female governor there ever.
Noem has a slight lead in the pre-election polling (2%), and also has the advantage in that the state is very red.
No results in yet.
Right now PredictIt has the Noem as a slight favorite.
I am tempted to buy a bet on her, because as well-liked as Sutton is, I don't see a Democratic governor winning there.
Okay, I just laid $188 on Noem on PredictIt, as slightly worse than even money.
Money on Francis O'Rourke is good money...
Amazingly, Bob Menendez, a clearly corrupt Senator who skated away in a mistrial, is almost surely going to be reelected.
LOL New Jersey
https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/v...s-cool-with-it
Billionaire wife and a legacy politician, along with your own family political connections...and if that's not enough, help from your friends in China
:lol4
You just cant make this shit up.....
AND THEYRE OFF
Seriously.. I can see the narrative now..."A come from behind win", "He did the unthinkable" ...God this shit is soooooo obvious...
Here's a "longshot" which isn't actually a longshot.
The Iowa race is very close.
Incumbent Kim Reynolds is slightly trailing in polls compared to Democrat Fred Hubbell, but you can get Reynolds at better than 3-to-1 as a dog right now.
I'm going for it.
LOL PredictIt has crashed again.
You'd think they'd have fixed this problem over the past 2 years.
:fail2
What a fucking failure of a poster. Either you saw it coming from a mile away or the fix was in to begin with.Quote:
Originally Posted by Mintjewlips
AND THEYRE OFF
Seriously.. I can see the narrative now..."A come from behind win", "He did the unthinkable" ...God this shit is soooooo obvious...
This site has so many idiot conspiracy luuzers I can't keep track
Groundhog day
Rep gonna take the house according to Betfair.
Dems went from 1/8 to 3/1 in a very short space of time.
It's Trump night all over again
howcouldyou
Beto takes the lead 51.1 to 48.3
Never mind Cruz back in the lead...50 to 48
Pains me to do this, but I'm betting former lesbian (now bisexual) Krysten Sinema (D) in Arizona at better than 3-to-1.
Race is super close.
Well PredictIt is being bitchy and not letting me place bets (usual fail from high volume).
I can now get 4-to-1 on Sinema, which I will do if I can get the damn bets down.
Of course tonight Republicans are doing better than expected so far, so this may be a dumb bet, but whatever. Odds justify it.
IM MAKING MONEY OBV
Per @paddypower @Lee_Price on House majority odds: "On the hour update: Dems are 8/15, Reps 11/8. The shortening trend continues. Senate odds, by the way, haven't shifted once. Republicans huge favourites there, of course." Yes, it's "favourites" across pond, with a "u." @Covers