Guards Carrasco on the road is ass and Hunter at home is alright. Aha moment. I’m not folding though
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Guards Carrasco on the road is ass and Hunter at home is alright. Aha moment. I’m not folding though
76ers +4
Cubs (Assad) +107 at Mets (Manaea)
Javier Assad is in his 3rd season in MLB. His ERA is 2.00, WHIP 1.00, and he hasn't had a bad start yet.
He also hasn't had a bad season yet.
However, he is constantly overlooked because his stuff isn't that great, and he has a career 150/70 K-BB ratio. But he just seems to get guys out, and never gets bombed.
Kansas City (Ragans) +114 at Toronto (Berrios)
Washington (Gore) at Texas (J. Gray) - Under 8 -118
mavs -2.5
Miami +14 -115 (+13.5 -105 ok)
Feels weird even typing this for a postseason game.
Let's go back to Sanlmar's favorite (no, not first-5)
RHE
Dodgers (Yamamoto) at Arizona (J. Montgomery) - Under 26.5 R+H+E -120
RHE is a classic. Sadly not offered on the legal books. Frankly, I looked on BOL and I couldn’t find it there either. I used to bet it there.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
The Bee Game was strange. AZ Montgomery was scheduled. The bees delayed the game and Montgomery’s warm up went on and on and they decided to scratch him. He’s pitching tonight which is not without complications relative to his routine. Routine is everything for pitchers, of course. I had Monty under 3.5 strikeouts yesterday but today it’s juiced to hell at -150 tonight.
Big old Knick Knack didn’t care. He did great. In his favor though the batters on both teams were in a coma after the delay. Betts hadn’t struck out in weeks and proceeded to strikeout in his first two AB’s, for instance
I think it’s an awful spot for Montgomery and the DBacks bullpen tonight.
The elephant in the room is that AZ’s Montgomery is a lefty. Part of the problem with facing a left is that you usually don’t see them that often. The Dodgers had problems with lefties but over the past few weeks it’s all they’ve seen and they’ve actually put together a winning record vs them.
Yamamoto has been stretched out. He started at 42 (iirc) pitches and is now in the 90’s. Dodger need length out him and he’ll be fine. Given his length
I parlayed over 4 strikeouts (alt line) to bring me back to a more favorable -105 for the Dodger win.
I am not at all happy with the line action on this game. It opened Dodgers -130 last night - explored -150 and that was rejected and it is sitting -132 on some books. Ploppy Dodgers and the highest paid pitcher in history. Not happy indeed.
The under is favored generally and Druff is attacking that in a different way.
lol $Yammy$ is just a pitch to contact guy.
FML
Mentioned this in the MLB thread. I would be surprised if at the end if the year Elly De La Cruz is not at least strongly considered for MVP. Anything 15-1 or close now feels like a deal to me.
Druff and I cash on the Dodgers ✅✅.
I have to work on Ferris Buehler’s upcoming start now.
Gonna look at the Braves Dodgers series. My first series bet perhaps
knicks +3
Cleveland (L. Allen) at Houston (Arighetti) - OVER 5.5 +100 - FIRST 5 INNINGS (5 -130 ok)
Discussion: https://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sh...=1#post1120845
Trying to gage the ROY markets in MLB is so frustrating. You handicapping a teams risk tolerance for a player to lose a super two year vs wanting to win more than you are the quality of the player.
If it was only talent Id swear Junior Caminerio at +2000 would be the bet in the AL. Manzardo as a backaup at 40-1 would be a hedge.
I already declared for Wood in the NL even though i bet Merrill at 40-1 pre
But like i said none of the four may see a pitch in May which is crazy
Take a look at slumping NYY vs DET Druff and tell me what you think @ +138
NYY Stroman L4: 5.95 ERA, .418 wOBA, 2.3 HR/9, 1.78 WHIP, 6.19 FIP
DET Olson without Pirates (who were fore at the time)
24 IP, 1.50 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 15.5 K-BB%
F5 or Full?
Both pens are really fine. Remove the variance and F5 +130?
Considering the DK up 2 here as well @BCR
Thots?
https://twitter.com/OrlandoMagic/sta...15072115314809
Orlando Magic tonight -4 (LOCK) force Game 7
glgl Paolo Banchero is a star..
Guardians/Kwan o1.5 bases +188
cavs +4
https://twitter.com/OrlandoMagic/sta...16744426754224
Orlando Magic Close it out Paolo Banchero on his way
starting in a few minutes Cubs team total runs over 4.5 +110
5-0 Scrubbies after 6....Quote:
Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar
magic +3.5
game starts in 40 minutes, a little more than a sprinkle for me, Cubs total runs over 3.5 +160....
Scrubbies 4-0 after 6....Quote:
Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar
Marlins +120
Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
No idea where you pulled this one out of, but a no brainer.
Cubs at home vs. Padres game starts 6:40 pm Chicago time....Cubs team total runs over 3.5 +100
pacers +5.5
I’m anticipating Dr Peters picks.
I bet Cavs +12.5
OKC -3.5
Feels like what he’d take. At least the OKC one.
I have Tribe ML/Giminez o 1.5 bases on my ploppy SGP boost up to +286.
Dodgers most expensive pitcher ever Yammy only +100 to earn the win vs lowly Miami in a game line -305.
The most public ass team in sports atm and he’s +100 to win.
This squirrelly ass number is something I wanted to share with the sharper guys out there and Druff too
Signed,
The Dodger Whisperer
I just checked the number and it’s pulled. lol
Mark Prior was seen speeding down the 405 with his go bag in the back seat
It’s back.
Hmmm.
Atlanta (Crawford) vs Boston (R Lopez) - Under 8.5 -105
Figured it would be an over bet if each team was starting the pitcher from the opposite team.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
lolz obviously mistyped
Pick stands though.
Anyway look at this:
https://twitter.com/JohnDenton555/st...10670198927808
That's a pretty bad lineup.
Mikolas pitched better the last 2 games, but he hasn't been good since 2022.
Mets +109 (Butto) at St. Louis (Mikolas)
I’m looking at Mobley over 14.5 +120 tonight. After that first game, and knowing JBB, there will be a focus on getting Mobley involved. He scored 17 first game, but a dozen of those points were in garbage time down 25. He’s been a huge disappointment in his offensive development, so he may get the opportunities and still fail to convert, but think there is value in the bet as they need him to score and Allen didn’t participate in morning shoot around, so appears to be still out.
Also have small bet on him scoring first field goal at +800. When they want to get him involved, they often run the first set for him and JBB is a moron, but rather predictable.. He might miss, but at +800, worth a small taste.
I will wait until closer to tip to make sure Allen isn’t going to go, but pretty sure he isn’t.
Astros +125
Royals @ Angels over 8.5 -102.... your welcome in advance..... :)
okc -5
Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
So I didnt know you as a major sports guy but thats twice you habe come in here and dropped a plus money pick that smashed.