Closing line value can kiss my ass
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It would really suck to get scooped this week. Lawrence just too many dropped shots. Boutier I can’t remember her making these many bogeys and even a double since I started betting the LPGA 5 or 6 years ago (Before Apps most books just had the PGA tournaments).
Widing playing well but going to have to go low to with the Korn Ferry. Yesterday was mainly a par 5 management -3. He will need some real birdies. Great pick for me with Matti Schmid T2 at 90-1. But I may come up painfully short on all of them. Lawrence really disappointing 8 bogeys and a double just set him too far back. He’s been very frustrating to bet.
I do think trying to find value spots on the other tours is good but man it’s tough. I picked Ancer the first LIV event and sort of gave up on him. Now he looks like the guy who Cam Young could never catch at the Saudi International last year.
celtics -5.5
missouri +7
usc +8
Toronto at Portland - Over 228.5
San Antonio at Golden State - Under 226.5
I got a cold call to join "Bettors Den", which the guy claimed was "the new 5Dimes".
I can't find much info about it, aside from others getting the cold calls, and some doubt being stated regarding its real connection to 5Dimes.
Keep in mind that 5Dimes left the US market, and then an offshoot started called "BetAnySports". BetAnySports has a mostly good rep and pays out reliably, though they are known to cut limits quickly if you're sharp, even though they only offer sides/moneylines/totals for the most part.
It was clear from the start that BetAnySports was legitimately a 5Dimes offshoot, but this Bettors Den may not be.
Any idea?
1) OT helped me. 226 points in regulation wasn't good enough in the Toronto game, but I won thanks to a 113-113 tie
2) Other pick got fucked by 3rd quarter of 70 points. Bye bye under.
3) The good doctor continues to crush, going 3-0 today. He has won a million NBA bets in a row, but two of his 3 wins today were in college. Amazing.
longwood +4
Noon PDT game:
Clippers vs Bucks - Under 222
drake +3
rutgers +1.5
Bucks +3
I've been betting over/unders in MLB spring training. Mostly the Royals because I know the players, but looking at lineups and betting the over if both real teams were starting, and the under if scrubs were starting. Ignoring starting pitchers because they only pitch an inning.
That latter part might not be as telling later in spring training, but I think there is something here I might ramp up next year.
The sides don't work as well with this as starters v. scrubs is usually -200, no value.
Anyway, first pick here is over 8 Mia/NYM. Both teams starters are playing and the 8 is really low. GL. One unit.
cavs +6.5, i sprinkled a lil bit on the moneyline as well
gonzaga 1st half -5
Brother I also got this call, I’m not interested now that Hard Rock has a legal app now. I deposited $1k start of November, my balance to start the day was 997, have easily place 300+ bets, been up and down a ton, taking wild shots whenever I run it up, always lose those, eventually I’m bound to smack one right?
Betonline emailed me last year and said what your address we want to send you swag
I wanted the hat or shirt so I provided, they have my address anyways
Never sent me shit buy deposit bonus junk mail
Since the good doctor had nothing for us today, I will do a pick which is similar to what he's done recently. With a twist.
Portland +7 vs Boston - FIRST HALF
On Davidson -3.5 1130 tip.
I've tried to shift things around here, so maybe the thousands of bots will lose interest in this thread.
They are going to get a FILE NOT FOUND error if they attempt to load the "old" thread.
To you, it should appear mostly transparent, as I shifted the entire content over to this thread.
But if you're using an old bookmark to access this thread, you need to delete it.
pacers +6
jazz +6
Cin/Mil und 10.5 -105
CWS +110
Same logic as before.
kings over 236.5
st mary's +3.5
I was so close to pulling the trigger on Knicks under because they've played 2 consecutive games with shockingly low scores, and they were already trending that direction before that.
Well, guess what? Right now there's 60 points in 16 minutes. Total was 209.
What actually spooked me was a surge of money rushing onto the over in the hours leading up to the game. I thought someone knew something, and this was going to be a money trap. The $$ overwhelmingly went on the under here, for obvious reasons.
The last 2 Knicks totals were 172 and 152.
Might be good to auto-under them until the books fully adjust, unless they're playing a high scoring team.
I took South Florida to win AAC Tournament +550
A team that has been disrespected repeatedly by oddsmakers, they are good
Just starting to get over last week. Was alive with the Scottie parlays for low 5 figures with Lawrence ( shot 9 under Sunday but was only good enough for T2) and mid 5 figures with Matti Schmid (100-1 came out flat as a pancake Sunday. Could have shot just 3 under to get in playoff). Instead I got bageled. The wrong guy went low. Fucking shame.
I’ll post my picks for next week. This week I would just suggest anyone looking to bet outrights to see odds W/O Scottie, W/O Scottie, Rory and W/O Scottie, Rory, JT, Viktor & X. You could bet guys outright w/o and a favorite and theoretically both could cash. But I got no play this week I would consider +EV. Certainly tough to bet against Scotttie & the price is awful. But check out the without markets if you’re looking for a sweat. Be surprised how good some of those prices are compared to their straight up outrights.
GL and see you guys next week. Sorry we couldn’t get that big score last week. Trust the process. It will come. There is just the Players this week to bet. Next week I should have one or two decent ones.
I got some Scottie in the futures market at 8-1 but I will tail you a little for old times sake.
Anyone tailing consider taking Lowry/Hideki in this W/O market as well. You could scoop. You can also take some JT & X in the W/O Scottie & W/O Scottie/Rory markets as a bit of insurance.
GL
kansas st +5
heat +3.5