Quote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
To be fair thats usually my job.
I post the play.
San tells me its baked in the cake already.
Some win and some lose.
We all laugh.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
To be fair thats usually my job.
I post the play.
San tells me its baked in the cake already.
Some win and some lose.
We all laugh.
It’s true.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
To be fair thats usually my job.
I post the play.
San tells me its baked in the cake already.
Some win and some lose.
We all laugh.
However, my thinking has always been a public bettor who doesn’t know a cornerback from a quarterback get capitulated by the weather narrative. It’s more than baked in.
Latex gloves and cold weather gear technology is not what it was when you played your neighbors in the snow in the backyard.
I looked at it today and felt uninspired by anything. No NFL yet. Why not wait til kickoff?
I did bet Djokovic NOT to win AO. He has a wrist issue you can look up. I got it at +100 but anything up to -130 would interest me too.
Druff is the NHL Whisperer and it’s emasculating. I haven’t been posting cause I favor these alt SGP’s. Not easily duplicated by many.
Only 2 games but I genuinely like this - not just action
I appreciate those who contribute and hold contempt for the rest of you.
Sanlmar, don't look. Pretend this post doesn't exist.
Everyone else...
The time for the end of NBA overs has come near. I stated about 8 weeks ago that the totals would substantially rise to account for the change in scoring, and indeed now we are seeing totals over 260, and over 240 is commonplace.
Yesterday I went 1-3, though honestly I deserved 2-2. Lakers game had 91s left, total was 236, and 2 free throws were being shot. Missed both, and everything else missed. Needed 239.
Anyway, I'm going with one today, and ignoring the Pacers/Hawks game, regardless of how tempting.
Toronto at Utah - Over 242.5 -108
SYR/UNC Over 74 in the first half
SYR +13 -109
Browns -2
Dolphins +4.5
WOV PLAYOFF POOL PICKS. THIS ONES DIFFERENT. WE ALL START WITH 500 ROLL, MIN BET 50 MAX 100 YADDA YADDA.
1f.) Cleveland Browns @ Houston Texans UNDER 44.5 +100 50
2e.) Miami Dolphins @ Kansas City Chiefs OVER 44 +100 100
3b.) Buffalo Bills -10 +100 75
3f.) Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills UNDER 36 +100 50
4b.) Dallas Cowboys -7.5 +100 75
5c.) Los Angeles Rams TO WIN +160 50
6a.) Philadelphia Eagles -3 +100 75
(SPREAD AND TOTALS ODDS ARE NOT JUICED FOR THIS CONTEST)
If the prop sharps are to be believed we should expect a shootout in Hou/Cle today.
Well, there goes my under 39 bills bets
couldn't find an NFL thread for 23-24 season or a John Gruden thread, my apologies if there is one and i missed it, this is a John Gruden update, this guy does a very good job of breaking it down in 11minutes Gruden is filing suit against Rodger Goodell and the NFL... basically saying the NFL can not be judge, jury and executioner but most importantly also can not be it's own " Arbitrator " Nevada courts seem to be agreeing with Gruden so far....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYUtnnLQM2Y
Im fully prepared for the San “the public can right” response, but Im not doing my job if i don't mention…..
Majority of the $$ coming in on Browns -2. Ticks to -2.5 and keeps getting kicked back to -2. Wouldn't be shocked if the Texans win outright. Its playoff time and books aren't wrong often in big $$ spots.
It bears repeating though….. we in the most heavily bet most sharp market there is….. NFL playoffs. Sure I see a spot with the texans, but its still a bet on a NFL playoff game. Id bet its not “that far” off.
Id put more stock in the passing prop overs than the side.
Harvesting weather wallets.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I question the accuracy of these numbers. Ploppies and sharps love them some Stroud.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
You are absolutely correct NFL is an efficient market.
Tennis has the greatest volume worldwide though.
No interest in this game. I’m just fading weather. It’s my core strength
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarHarvesting weather wallets.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
So i learned something today. I didn't realize that all the legal books keep the bets as action.
If i had the under 39 at a legal and they didnt no action it I would be a little salty
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI question the accuracy of these numbers. Ploppies and sharps love them some Stroud.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
You are absolutely correct NFL is an efficient market.
Tennis has the greatest volume worldwide though.
No interest in this game. I’m just fading weather. It’s my core strength
I can understand the skepticism. You should know me well enough that I dont base this on Twitter posts from book managers. My numbers are verified by some guys who would know.
It is fundamentally wrong.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
So i learned something today. I didn't realize that all the legal books keep the bets as action.
If i had the under 39 at a legal and they didnt no action it I would be a little salty
It will be interesting if any book steals some publicity here
Of course, I’ll be furious if I’m cancelled - lol
I used to listen to Chris Andrews out of SouthPoint but the Action type data is rubbish. Much of the rest is hearsay.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I can understand the skepticism. You should know me well enough that I dont base this on Twitter posts from book managers. My numbers are verified by some guys who would know.
Stroud interception +105
Comparing gay-era Stroud to Montana and Brady 2007 raises my hackles
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Right? Look the kids been good year one. Lets give it a rest for now.
10-7 Hou end of 1q with a ton of passing doesn't hurt my feelings much.
This is going to end up one of those situations when you were dead right about a shootout but wont get the scoop because houston is going to run the ball out
Still a good game 1 for wildcard weekend
Why worry about football playoffs when we have the NHL?
Calgary -103 at Vegas
Minnesota vs Arizona - Under 6 -108
Goong to be a much smaller slate for me tonight…. Im going to channel my inner San.
Everyone on the under because its cold
Hammer Over
Ha I considered doing that too.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
It is hilarious seeing all the wannabe sharps on Twitter acting like they discovered something profound, when talking about the weather in that game, and how they feel it will affect the total.
Interesting about the tennis San.
In your honour I have wagered an Alcaraz- Rybakina double at the Aussie Open. Pays 26/1
It is an interesting wagering factoid. I assume Asians (India too, of course) are responsible.Quote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
Djoker got pushed hard by a first time teenager in his opening qualifier. In comparison Sabby completely savaged her qually teenager.
Alcaraz has sapped some of my love for the game. He has hurt me repeatedly. You are asking me to try again like some girl with daddy issues.
Sinner?
I need to eyeball some games.
I lost to the public on the NFL weather game. I had an under warm weather Tua 246.5 so I salvaged some pride.
I know nothing about NFL and care even less but it smells like Green Bay. LAR in some kinda SGP with alt props and alt spread.
Cowboys schedule seemed fraudulent. Cupcake opponents. Here’s a fun one. If Cowboys lose will McCarthy be replaced by Belichick? I see you nodding your head. Now that’s fun.
Football was meant to be played outdoors. Not in January but seasons too long etc.
Oh, Druff the NHL Whisperer keeps rolling with the right ones baby.
Allows him to indulge his weakness for his weakness - NBA. Everyone has a leak.
Do you watch hockey Druff?
Little surprised to see Jordan Reed priced 10-1 or better to have first TD.
He has had first TD for Packers a lot this year.
Not calling lock here, but def mispriced IMHO.
Rams +3
dr ice cold peters were taking pacers plus 10
Please post your plays in a more timely manner. Had to pay the -115Quote:
Originally Posted by lol wow
i dont want to say im hot but i had the kc under the jazz yesterday and plus 15.5 against fau today
the question thus arises is it over tonight in this dallas thing cuz its pulling me over pablito
also to counter this anytime i actually post a bet here im like 66 percent against
Don’t know if it’s coincidence but Jayden Reed isQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
DK +500
FD +1400
Morally obligated. HELLUVA CATCH DALY
normally sal is BOREALLY OBLIGATED IS THIS THING ON
Quote:
Originally Posted by DrPeters
I can explain this. My dad is here and he was asking to watch “Air” because he doesn't have amazon prime. Air being the nike relationship with Jordan movie.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarDon’t know if it’s coincidence but Jayden Reed isQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
DK +500
FD +1400
Morally obligated. HELLUVA CATCH DALY
Jordan on the brain
what a horrible son you are not setting your dads roku up for amazon prime daly honestly i thought better of you