* Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread *

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10-02-2023, 12:19 PM
Pickleball

MLB -

These are my two future bets in 2023.

1. Dodgers to win the World Series at +450
The Dodgers record vs the Braves this year was 13-12.
Look for a seven games series for the National League Pennant, if both teams make it to the champioship round.

The Dodgers will have less pressure in the playoffs this year, since the Braves are favored to win the pennant and the World Series.

2. Orioles to win the American League Pennant + 275
Their record playing the Astros this year was 3-3.
The Astros had a losing record playing their home games at 39-42, but the best Away record in the American League at 51-30.

We all know that come playoff time, anything can happen.
The first round (best of five) can be an underdog's best friend. Just ask the San Diego Padres.
10-02-2023, 04:37 PM
BCR

Anyone smart have an opinion on tonight? Obviously Seattle is better, but the public seems all over them and it feels a bit like the Jets spot.
10-02-2023, 04:48 PM
Tellafriend

Quote:

Originally Posted by BCR

Anyone smart have an opinion on tonight? Obviously Seattle is better, but the public seems all over them and it feels a bit like the Jets spot.

i bet seattle earlier in the week and today over 46. just hunches.
10-02-2023, 04:54 PM
BCR

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tellafriend

Quote:

Originally Posted by BCR

Anyone smart have an opinion on tonight? Obviously Seattle is better, but the public seems all over them and it feels a bit like the Jets spot.

i bet seattle earlier in the week and today over 46. just hunches.

Yeah, my gut says Geno back in NY and the Giants are AIDS on offense, and both defenses suck. I was looking at the over 46. Has moved from 47.5 this morning. Maybe I’ll bet my first teaser and take NYG +8.5 and over 40. Probably just best to avoid as 27-10 someone wouldn’t exactly surprise me, even though it feels like a high scoring game with 2 bad defenses. I don’t love any of the props even.
10-02-2023, 04:55 PM
Tellafriend

Quote:

Originally Posted by BCR

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tellafriend

i bet seattle earlier in the week and today over 46. just hunches.

Yeah, my gut says Geno back in NY and the Giants are AIDS on offense, and both defenses suck. I was looking at the over 46. Has moved from 47.5 this morning. Maybe I’ll bet my first teaser and take NYG +8.5 and over 40. Probably just best to avoid as 27-10 someone wouldn’t exactly surprise me, even though it feels like a high scoring game with 2 bad defenses. I don’t love any of the props even.

my only prop tonight and it is NOT Daly sanctioned:

FL Darius Slayton of the New York Giants will have over 39.5 receiving yards -120
10-02-2023, 05:09 PM
BCR

Just went against public betting and went with modified parlay.

SEA Seahawks @ NY Giants
Football
NFL
Oct 2, 2023 at 08:15 PM
Point Spread
NY Giants +3.0
SEA Seahawks @ NY Giants
Football
NFL
Oct 2, 2023 at 08:15 PM
Total Points
Over 40
+145

Figured if Giants stay close, it’s likely going over 40. Probably regret it.
10-02-2023, 05:29 PM
Ballhawknet

In what alternate reality has the Braves and Dodgers playing 25 games this year?
This obvious mistake disqualifies you for posting any and all baseball picks the remainder of 2023.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pickleball

MLB -

These are my two future bets in 2023.

1. Dodgers to win the World Series at +450
The Dodgers record vs the Braves this year was 13-12.
Look for a seven games series for the National League Pennant, if both teams make it to the champioship round.

The Dodgers will have less pressure in the playoffs this year, since the Braves are favored to win the pennant and the World Series.

2. Orioles to win the American League Pennant + 275
Their record playing the Astros this year was 3-3.
The Astros had a losing record playing their home games at 39-42, but the best Away record in the American League at 51-30.

We all know that come playoff time, anything can happen.
The first round (best of five) can be an underdog's best friend. Just ask the San Diego Padres.
10-03-2023, 08:31 AM
Pickleball

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ballhawknet

In what alternate reality has the Braves and Dodgers playing 25 games this year?
This obvious mistake disqualifies you for posting any and all baseball picks the remainder of 2023.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pickleball

MLB -

These are my two future bets in 2023.

1. Dodgers to win the World Series at +450
The Dodgers record vs the Braves this year was 13-12.
Look for a seven games series for the National League Pennant, if both teams make it to the champioship round.

The Dodgers will have less pressure in the playoffs this year, since the Braves are favored to win the pennant and the World Series.

2. Orioles to win the American League Pennant + 275
Their record playing the Astros this year was 3-3.
The Astros had a losing record playing their home games at 39-42, but the best Away record in the American League at 51-30.

We all know that come playoff time, anything can happen.
The first round (best of five) can be an underdog's best friend. Just ask the San Diego Padres.

You are correct that the stat I posted was an error. They played 7 games vs each other this year.

As far as me being disqualified from posting my opinions on MLB, all I can say is shoo fly shoo.....
10-03-2023, 09:21 AM
Sanlmar

1 Attachment(s)

If you have the MGM promo this is a fun idea
10-03-2023, 10:17 AM
JeffDime

Been having a lot of trouble making decisions on the golf this week. There is tons of tournaments. Most of the men’s with guys who just won the Ryder Cup as favorites. Really having a tough time locking in.

Great reminder why I try to stay in my lane…Took Alvarez over Sinner today and after losing first set tie break he got absolutely destroyed 6-1 to get closed out. I may have something later, but just can’t be specific on a time. I’m really trying to not force things. Seems crazy to take a week off with 6 tournaments going but if I don’t have a strong opinion that’s the correct move. I’ve been pretty locked in last month, even on my losses.

But there is only the illusion of momentum in sports betting. Each event is completely brand new. You can certainly improve as a bettor and a big part of that is knowing when not to bet. That’s a good reason why most touts are BS. They will always tell you to bet….because that’s how they get paid.

There are always things from the past you are certainly going to tske into account when making the bet…but with betting, you start over every week or every game or however you want to look at it. Good luck with the Baseball! Some great work up here by everyone as always.
10-03-2023, 11:29 AM
Sanlmar

Just went to withdraw something from BetOnline and I was informed BOL and /or their payment processor is looking to grift a little something for Bitcoin withdrawals. That’s new.

Don’t have to bet everything but we do.

Glasnow hasn’t been a playoff stud historically. Glasnow hasn’t been sharp recently either. Rangers Monty has been fine. Monty has pitched 5x in the Rays circus tent so I’m ok with that. Public is all over Rays and I’ll just take the value. Texas F5 +135

I’m gonna go with Gausman Jays F5 +100. Minny Lopez has looked like dogshit against some awful teams of late. His better games were against Cleveland and the Mets so whoop de doo. The Jays are so unreliable offensively but I go into this knowing it’s two bad teams.

I credited your account with two free bets Tellafriend.

Brewers F5 RL -130
Phillies F5 RL -110
10-03-2023, 03:58 PM
Sanlmar

You obviously see me in the midst of a mental health crisis when I bet the banned Jays IN A PLAYOFF GAME.

Not a word of alarm or support.
10-03-2023, 04:00 PM
DJ_Chaps

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Just went to withdraw something from BetOnline and I was informed BOL and /or their payment processor is looking to grift a little something for Bitcoin withdrawals. That’s new.

Don’t have to bet everything but we do.

Glasnow hasn’t been a playoff stud historically. Glasnow hasn’t been sharp recently either. Rangers Monty has been fine. Monty has pitched 5x in the Rays circus tent so I’m ok with that. Public is all over Rays and I’ll just take the value. Texas F5 +135

I’m gonna go with Gausman Jays F5 +100. Minny Lopez has looked like dogshit against some awful teams of late. His better games were against Cleveland and the Mets so whoop de doo. The Jays are so unreliable offensively but I go into this knowing it’s two bad teams.

I credited your account with two free bets Tellafriend.

Brewers F5 RL -130
Phillies F5 RL -110

TWINS HAD LOST LIKE 18 STRAIGHT PLAYOFF GAMES, BUT WHY ARE YOU CALLING THE JAYS A BAD TEAM? LOL
10-03-2023, 04:08 PM
Dan Druff

I was considering going with Arizona, but Pfaadt is just so inconsistent, I could see him getting bombed and feeling like an idiot.

So I'll just sit today out. Would've taken Texas but was sleeping. Oh well.
10-03-2023, 04:52 PM
Daly

Being the selfish twit i am i usually hold this sort of thing until later in the week but its been a while since I helped the fellas out.

Dont know what the line is yet but the Commanders are up there with Sacks with 13 YTD and the Bears have let up a dreadful 17. Not sure what the team total for sacks will be the wash this week but its a good chance ill be looking to be on the over so long as its not overly adjusted.
10-04-2023, 12:29 PM
1dollarboxcar

PGA, Sanderson Farms Championship starts tomorrow, DK offered a NO hole in one for the tournament at +150.... i sprinkled on that and then

Eric Cole to finish top 20 at +100
10-05-2023, 04:13 AM
JeffDime

Sorry bout late notice but I see 75 watching this thread so you got an hour before tee off of Sanderson…Play or fade

Sanderson - Dime Piece on Ludwig Aberg 12/1 and 11/1 - weighing the hangover against holes 11-15 where he should score like a maniac this week…decided to fire. Betting kiosk and at the cage because of hacking as much as possible. Caused me to get punished 11-1 for about half the bet. 60 bucks FRL +2800 (Fanduel)

Volunteers - look I got 300 on Lexi at 30-1. It’s not a play I love it’s a play I had to take. You’re not going to find better than 25-1. I wouldn’t play her at those odds. Once I made the bet the book moved her to 22-1. But I believe MGM still has her 25-1. But I don’t love it there. Would like 28. 60 bucks FRL +3500 (Standard number)

ARAMCO Hong Kong brought to you by PIF - Nickel on J Ko +450. Weak field and Asia. Must fire.

Korm Ferry Tour Championship 200 on Adrien Dumont de Chassart 29-1. Form been off a bit but maybe the championship gets him back. You won’t find 29-1 though. 25 prob best you can do.

Don’t love Strick at +250. God Mode and Father Time have to have an effect. I have him parlayed with a few of these small if your app allows it. But not firing 2.5-1.

Too late for the Dunhill Links.

GL. Sorry bout late notice but that’s how long it took me to decide to fire on Lud the Stud. This could ne over fast. It was a tough one. He’s young and strong like Bull but that’s a massive turnaround/jet lag for anyone. Even for a young specimen like Lud. The course he should handle and that was the deciding factor.
10-05-2023, 08:49 AM
DJ_Chaps

Quote:

Originally Posted by JeffDime

Sorry bout late notice but I see 75 watching this thread so you got an hour before tee off of Sanderson…Play or fade

Sanderson - Dime Piece on Ludwig Aberg 12/1 and 11/1 - weighing the hangover against holes 11-15 where he should score like a maniac this week…decided to fire. Betting kiosk and at the cage because of hacking as much as possible. Caused me to get punished 11-1 for about half the bet. 60 bucks FRL +2800 (Fanduel)

Volunteers - look I got 300 on Lexi at 30-1. It’s not a play I love it’s a play I had to take. You’re not going to find better than 25-1. I wouldn’t play her at those odds. Once I made the bet the book moved her to 22-1. But I believe MGM still has her 25-1. But I don’t love it there. Would like 28. 60 bucks FRL +3500 (Standard number)

ARAMCO Hong Kong brought to you by PIF - Nickel on J Ko +450. Weak field and Asia. Must fire.

Korm Ferry Tour Championship 200 on Adrien Dumont de Chassart 29-1. Form been off a bit but maybe the championship gets him back. You won’t find 29-1 though. 25 prob best you can do.

Don’t love Strick at +250. God Mode and Father Time have to have an effect. I have him parlayed with a few of these small if your app allows it. But not firing 2.5-1.

Too late for the Dunhill Links.

GL. Sorry bout late notice but that’s how long it took me to decide to fire on Lud the Stud. This could ne over fast. It was a tough one. He’s young and strong like Bull but that’s a massive turnaround/jet lag for anyone. Even for a young specimen like Lud. The course he should handle and that was the deciding factor.

Quote:

Ludvig Aberg @ +1200
Winner - PGA Tour - Sanderson Farms C'ship 2023

Each Way terms: 1/5 odds for first 6 places
10-05-2023, 05:53 PM
Daly

Quote:

Originally Posted by Daly

Being the selfish twit i am i usually hold this sort of thing until later in the week but its been a while since I helped the fellas out.

Dont know what the line is yet but the Commanders are up there with Sacks with 13 YTD and the Bears have let up a dreadful 17. Not sure what the team total for sacks will be the wash this week but its a good chance ill be looking to be on the over so long as its not overly adjusted.

Opened 5.5 -110, closed -160

We got the right side anyway.
10-06-2023, 06:44 AM
JeffDime

Ludwig looks like absolute death out there. This was my worry both the tiredness and these big hitters struggle around and on the greens when they first come on tour. But Sanderson is a tournament you don’t need to putt the lights out. But he’s not taking advantage of this back nine stretch where he can manufacture birdies.

Miserable day out there and just doesn’t look good guys. Sloppy chip and bogey on 12 after not making birdie on 11. Wish I put more on J Ko. Playing in Asia really seems to be the ticket for her. She wins it will be a small profitable week. Let’s hope she keeps the solid lead and play and we can get to next week. I just don’t feel great about Ludwig watching him on PGA Tour live. Looks like he wants to be in bed. He can still turn it around but needs to be passed the smelling salts pretty fast and get this round on track.

The FRL bets are really for the purpose of hopefully freerolling the week. I could not find any market that offered it on J Ko and it’s sucks. But that’s how it goes.

DuMont was a very small shot in the dark. Bed shit. Lexi don’t get me started. Last week she didn’t play to win. She hit half the greens yesterday and shot even. Shes playing with the boys next week mainly because her name recognition and her distance. But I’ll be surprised if she breaks 80 either day. + 23 is what I’m going with.
10-06-2023, 12:15 PM
DJ_Chaps

got a lil free action running up on stars, so fired a few lol parlays

US$1.00 - 5 Fold Accumulator @ +9897
Won
Curtis Samuel @ +280
Any Time Touchdown Scorer - Chicago Bears @ Washington Commanders
Thursday, October 05, 2023, 9:18 p.m.

Stefon Diggs @ -105
Any Time Touchdown Scorer - Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills
Sunday, October 08, 2023, 10:31 a.m.

David Montgomery 100+ Yards @ +200
David Montgomery - Alt Rushing Yds - Carolina Panthers @ Detroit Lions
Sunday, October 08, 2023, 2:01 p.m.

Desmond Ridder Under (+181.5) @ -120
Desmond Ridder - Passing Yds - Houston Texans @ Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, October 08, 2023, 2:01 p.m.

Michael Wilson 50+ Yards @ +145
Michael Wilson - Alt Receiving Yds - Cincinnati Bengals @ Arizona Cardinals
Sunday, October 08, 2023, 5:06 p.m.

HERES A FAIRLY PLOPPY ONE

US$1.00 - 6 Fold Accumulator @ +4206
NC State (-6.5) @ -120
Handicap - Marshall @ NC State
Saturday, October 07, 2023, 3:00 p.m.

Iowa (-1.5) @ -122
Handicap - Purdue @ Iowa
Saturday, October 07, 2023, 4:30 p.m.
K
ansas @ -106
Match Betting - Central Florida @ Kansas
Saturday, October 07, 2023, 5:00 p.m.

Notre Dame (-6.5) @ -116
Handicap - Notre Dame @ Louisville
Saturday, October 07, 2023, 8:30 p.m.

Buffalo Bills (-5.5) @ -116
Handicap - Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills
Sunday, October 08, 2023, 10:31 a.m.

Cincinnati Bengals (-3) @ -110
Handicap - Cincinnati Bengals @ Arizona Cardinals
Sunday, October 08, 2023, 5:06 p.m.

These are my weekly WOV pool picks

Bills -5.5
Vikings +3.5
Saints +1
Giants o47.5 ** counts for 2 pts
Raiders -1
10-06-2023, 12:51 PM
SlowRoll

Khalil Shakir (BUF) Anytime TD Scorer +1200 (Draftkings)

Same line on other books
- Fanduel / Pointsbet +550
- MGM +450
- Bet365 +500
10-06-2023, 08:42 PM
DJ_Chaps

This one too. Nebraska starting it off solid.

US$2.00 - 5 Fold Accumulator @ +3077

In-Play
Nebraska @ +140
Match Betting - Nebraska @ Illinois
Friday, October 06, 2023, 9:00 p.m.

Texas (-6.5) @ -110
Handicap - Oklahoma @ Texas
Saturday, October 07, 2023, 1:00 p.m.

Alabama (-1.5) @ -116
Handicap - Alabama @ Texas A&M
Saturday, October 07, 2023, 4:30 p.m.

Texas State @ +100
Match Betting - Texas State @ UL Lafayette
Saturday, October 07, 2023, 4:30 p.m.

South Florida (-3.5) @ -116
Handicap - South Florida @ UAB
Saturday, October 07, 2023, 5:00 p.m.
10-06-2023, 10:31 PM
Daly

Quote:

Originally Posted by Daly

Being the selfish twit i am i usually hold this sort of thing until later in the week but its been a while since I helped the fellas out.

Dont know what the line is yet but the Commanders are up there with Sacks with 13 YTD and the Bears have let up a dreadful 17. Not sure what the team total for sacks will be the wash this week but its a good chance ill be looking to be on the over so long as its not overly adjusted.

:entertained
10-07-2023, 08:40 AM
DrPeters

bama -2
10-07-2023, 08:52 AM
Dan Druff

Here's a game listed under the "extra" section on many books:

Virginia -8 -110 vs William and Mary

Starting shortly
10-07-2023, 09:44 AM
Dan Druff

Bowling Green +280 at Miami Ohio
10-07-2023, 10:46 AM
JeffDime

Like Golf tends to be….may suck, may be ok or may be great. We just get J Ko home it’s pretty much a wash of a week. She had a poor finish and is tied for the lead going into the final day. Would suck to get scooped. Lexi was always a big gamble. She played like God yesterday and came full bed shit today (so far it’s not a wrap yet). Lud will have to go low. I’m at peace with the bets…but getting J Ko home really is the key.
10-07-2023, 12:40 PM
Dan Druff

Virginia was down 13-3 after a horrible fumble and long return, but then they ran off 24 straight, and easily covered.

Now time for Bowling Green to get it done. Haven't had a lot of luck with big college dogs this year, only winning Rice so far.
10-07-2023, 02:00 PM
Dan Druff

Bowling Green is awful and is down 14-0 at the half. Probably not winning that.

Here's a rubber pick for the day:

Arizona State +140 vs Colorado
10-07-2023, 06:51 PM
simpdog

Disappointed the attack in Israel has San distracted from pasting his Dbacks bets
10-07-2023, 06:56 PM
Sanlmar

Quote:

Originally Posted by simpdog

Disappointed the attack in Israel has San distracted from pasting his Dbacks bets

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sanlmar

I promise a personal moratorium on the subject of the Dodgers this coming playoffs.

Enjoy your team and your site. I won’t get in the way of that.
10-07-2023, 07:21 PM
JeffDime

You can’t make this shit if you tried. I feel fucking robbed.

https://x.com/LETgolf/status/1710841861110432172?s=20
10-07-2023, 10:47 PM
VaughnP

@lol wow

USC are frauds as usual. ROFL at getting took to the limit by two legitimately bad teams in back to back games. Arizona might actually win this.
10-07-2023, 11:37 PM
Dan Druff

Arizona State had a great final minute touchdown to tie it, chose to eschew going for 2-pointer, and then somehow allowed a FG with just 55 seconds left.

Total fail. I went 1-2.
10-08-2023, 07:15 AM
Starbucks Spunk Bucket

Weekly donations

Singles

Bills -5.5 @10/11

Colts+2.5 @10/11

KC @ Vikings. U52.5 @10/11

Acca

Ravens @ Steelers +4.5 @20/23

Houston +2.5 @Atlanta @10/11

Cincinatti @ Arizona+3 10/11

Jets +2.5 @10/11

49ers -3.5@10/11

Giants @ Dolphins -12.5 10/11
10-08-2023, 09:28 AM
DJ_Chaps

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ_Chaps

US$1.00 - 5 Fold Accumulator @ +9897
Won
Curtis Samuel @ +280
Any Time Touchdown Scorer - Chicago Bears @ Washington Commanders
Thursday, October 05, 2023, 9:18 p.m.

Stefon Diggs @ -105
Any Time Touchdown Scorer - Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills
Sunday, October 08, 2023, 10:31 a.m.

David Montgomery 100+ Yards @ +200
David Montgomery - Alt Rushing Yds - Carolina Panthers @ Detroit Lions
Sunday, October 08, 2023, 2:01 p.m.

Desmond Ridder Under (+181.5) @ -120
Desmond Ridder - Passing Yds - Houston Texans @ Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, October 08, 2023, 2:01 p.m.

Michael Wilson 50+ Yards @ +145
Michael Wilson - Alt Receiving Yds - Cincinnati Bengals @ Arizona Cardinals
Sunday, October 08, 2023, 5:06 p.m.

Well, this is still alive anyway
10-08-2023, 09:34 AM
Starbucks Spunk Bucket

NFL is ridiculously unpredictable

Never seen worse by the Bills
10-08-2023, 10:28 AM
Dan Druff

I predicted coming into this season that Minnesota would be a failteam, and indeed they are.

They finally got a victory last week after struggling through a game with terrible Carolina.

Somehow I'm dumb enough to pick them for a third time this year, and actually the moneyline against the mighty Chiefs.

Screw Taylor Swift.

For the moment, that's my only pick today.

Minnesota +160 vs Kansas City (+3 ok)
10-08-2023, 12:20 PM
DrPeters

rams +4

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