Not liking this now.
Lions looking like the Lions now. KC started out looking lost, and now they are dominating.
14-7 lead seems insurmountable.
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Not liking this now.
Lions looking like the Lions now. KC started out looking lost, and now they are dominating.
14-7 lead seems insurmountable.
Power of negative thinking
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Props (no pun intended) to San for taking advantage of the ancient wainwright.
Great picks.
My first NFL pick just needs to not fuck up the final 2 minutes with the ball, up 21-20.
Thank you sir. Special spotQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
How great was that Lions win ?
Nice Druff
More please. Curious about Ravens. Is it fluffy?
Well, I squeaked by.
I wasn't as impressed by Detroit as some. They were inconsistent, but so were the Chiefs. There was also some bad coaching, most notably the Chiefs decision to kick the FG up 17-14, in the fourth quarter, when at 4th and 2. That FG put them up 6 instead of 3 (not buying much except for the ability to avoid OT from an opponent FG), and that ended up burning them. Lions got a TD, Chiefs couldn't score again, and that was all she wrote.
21-20, but it counts the same in the record book for me as a blowout. One of my strengths last year in NFL betting was a number of dog moneyline wins, and I'm off to a +1.75 unit start here after game 1.
Nice after a disappointing 1-4 start to NCAAF, and an epic slump in MLB putting me slightly in the red for the season.
Sanlmar, where did you find those HR lines? A private book, BOL, or elsewhere?
Regarding the Ravens, I think they're overrated. They've got injury history, and ODB is already questionable for game 1.
You probably won't see it in the first game, as they're playing the Texans, who are still awful.
But the Ravens wouldn't be a bad fade in future games where the competition will be tougher.
From my post earlier today DraftKingsQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
In other wordsQuote:
I missed the best props numbers but I have a solution. I am going to Same Game Parlay (DK) Atlanta team total over 4.5 (alt) with each of the following home run props. The number listed is the resulting SGP odds and are in line with what I should have expected raw. My correlated philosophy is if the home run comes thru the team total will follow
Acunia +400
Ozunia +310
Rosario +650
Harris +700
I took each HR player and parlayed with ATL team total 4.5. The line was 6.5 but I used an alternative number cause I’m a gutless nit.
Ah, Draftkings.
So I couldn't do it, because California still has no legalized online gambling. Lovely.
I hate the Ravens, but they’re always a tough fucking team. At the end of the day, they had to start Ty Huntly against the Bengals in the playoffs and lost when he fumbled a ball stretching for the end zone and it went back 98 yards the other way. 14 point turnaround in a playoff game ultimately decided by 7. To me, they are among the true contenders to make it out of the AFC, but I don’t trust Lamar in that spot. Still, they are always better than they look on paper.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
It’s 1:00am in New York. The girls are getting off work. They are all sweaty and can barely speak English. It’s like closing time at ApplebeesQuote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
Aryna barley survived and so did I.
Lol, I’m slurring my words too
Unfortunately I haven't yet identified a wildly overrated team to fade this year like last year's Saints.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarIt’s 1:00am in New York. The girls are getting off work. They are all sweaty and can barely speak English. It’s like closing time at ApplebeesQuote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
Aryna barley survived and so did I.
Lol, I’m slurring my words too
Lol, looks like it was a sweat and a half. That’s what you get with Aryna! She’s a headcase but you just hope she comes good in the end as she’s clearly the best player especially on hard court.
Wouldn’t be surprised to see a similar comeback in the final (just like in Aus Open vs an excellent Rybakina)
Quite often she needs to get the extreme nerves out of the way first
I mean, theyre not overrated, per say, but ive already got bets against Arizona for the next 2 Sundays.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Might be a legit 0-17 team unless Kyler comes back.
Quote:
Originally Posted by gutI mean, theyre not overrated, per say, but ive already got bets against Arizona for the next 2 Sundays.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Might be a legit 0-17 team unless Kyler comes back.
Been some fairly big upsets in week one nfl past few years. That said Washington over Arizona is my suicide pick this week.
It’s just a question of how much I have on Aryna at -125
Might sprinkle on 2-0 at +225 also
Edit: I’m on. Not bothering with straight sets given she got bagel’d in the first last night lol
Confirmed Muchova was playing through arm pain fs, said she was playing at 60%
I thought I heard something about a weather play for the Eagles/Patriots Sunday on car radio. That always gets my attention. Always +EV to fade weather. “Weather is over rated” (tm)
Weather really is only a minimal threat of showers. It’s warm for Mass football but it ain’t Texas.
I notice I have a Mac Jones over 200 passing yards +100 boost (DK) on a 225.5 market atm. I’m sure there is a different bet offered for each market
I’m really not a Pats fan and when pressed like everyone else I’m a Zappe guy not Max Jones. Just a super casual take.
Any ideas @Daly or the guys?
Might be my only bet on the Deadskins all year. Took them -7 and have them as a leg on a 3 team tease, which I barely survived the first leg with Chiefs +1.5Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by gut
Been some fairly big upsets in week one nfl past few years. That said Washington over Arizona is my suicide pick this week.
Also had Detroit on the DK promo so hit both sides there.
Let's go for some aggressive betting on today's games. My 1-4 NCAAF record be damned...
Georgia Southern -7 -105 vs UAB (don't take if line goes to -7.5)
Texas Tech +195 vs Oregon (+6 ok)
Sam Houston +14 -114 vs Air Force (buy 0.5 points to get to +14)
Ball State +42 -110 at Georgia
Rice +8 -110 vs Houston (0.5 units)
Rice +265 vs Houston (0.5 units)
NC State +235 vs Notre Dame
I have Washington in a few teases. Gonna hurt if they lose the gameQuote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by gut
Been some fairly big upsets in week one nfl past few years. That said Washington over Arizona is my suicide pick this week.
My book has Az U4.5 wins -185. Really like it, but dont want to lay that kind of juice. I would actually prefer if they made it U4 -120 (or whatever).
Put me on nebraska and NC St early, fade the public style.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Of course the player props are where its at
At the moment I think the best bet on Sunday is Cleveland moneyline (or +1.5, very similar either way).
I think the talk after week 1 will be how the mighty Bengals and Chiefs started 0-1.
Actually I found a Cleveland +2, so I'm gonna go with that.
Early NFL pick. Cleveland +2 -110 vs Cincinnati
One more starting shortly in NCAAF
Troy +15.5 at Kansas State (down to 14.5 ok)
Well, I'm being ballsy and fading a bunch of ranked teams today, including #1 UGA.
So far the UGA one is working out, as I have +42 and they're deep into the 1st scoreless.
My last-minute pick on Troy isn't going so hot, as K State already shoved a touchdown up their ass in the early goings.
And my NC +235 versus Notre Dame is scoreless at the moment.
Ploppies love ranked teams, so more often than not, if you're betting on a game involving one of those teams, fading them is the right play.
Best athletes money could buy. CFB will never be the same.
Colorado advertising the academic institution under the Prime moniker. So so interesting. There will be a book written
Impressed with the discipline Prime appears to have instilled. It would be natural to expect brash, trash talking 2020’s street ball hoodlums.
From a bookmaking standpoint, who took the other side? I mean this game was historic money. Did the “sharps” really hit this? Much will he written I s‘pose
T- 1 hour San
I haven’t made any tennis live US Open money. This might be a swingy live opportunity.Quote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
It’s so hot and humid. PlAyer comments remind me of AO.
Surprising how narrow the Djokovic spread is. I’m feeling so burned out researching lines. Point the way Spunk
I still have Sab +430 and after expenses like Alcaraz I might escape with a slim profit
I’m eager to see the Colorado post game. Just how smooth will the players and Prime be? I think Sanders knows exactly how to play to white middle America and it’s advertisers.
It will reveal a bit about his grip on the locker room. These kids give no fucks about scholarships and old school fears. It could get unruly fast.
He’s NOT NBA
Wanna see.
Just had a thought they made me chuckle. You’re a kid with money and feeling the rush. You’re not likely to get into much trouble in Colorado clubs. This ain’t Miami.
I haven’t fully processed yet but at the risk of looking stupid I’m going to say Medvedev is not to be taken lightly… he’s in good form and it’s his favourite courtQuote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI haven’t made any tennis live US Open money. This might be a swingy live opportunity.Quote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
It’s so hot and humid. PlAyer comments remind me of AO.
Surprising how narrow the Djokovic spread is. I’m feeling so burned out researching lines. Point the way Spunk
I still have Sab +430 and after expenses like Alcaraz I might escape with a slim profit
Sabalenka being Sabalenka ffs how has a full team not managed to fix these issues in her head, she misses one serve and it’s the end of the world
Astonishing how many 10/10 shots Aryna has missed. Both still nervous
Edit: why did i do this to myself lol
Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyPut me on nebraska and NC St early, fade the public style.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Of course the player props are where its at
Public has done very very well so far this year.
I’m an think of many mens players like Shapo who just don’t have the mental gift. You can’t turn a weakness into a strength at the top level.Quote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
They still end up with all the top models in the world. Shapo doesn’t deserve these women. Don’t they see him play?
Gauff is gonna get me.
Saba is already defeated if you look at body language.
There is something I need to be alert to with Medvedev. I suppose I’m suppose to take him. We will see
Sabalenka unravelled out of absolutely nowhere right after winning the first set 6-2, I just can’t understand it. And it just got worse and worse from there. Not moving her feet at all. V impressed at how coco has dealt with her first serve
Can’t handle the pressure
That said a small part of me wants to think this is not over
Coco will fold if Aryna puts the pressure on I HOPE
Edit: My God she is the worst volleyer I’ve ever seen in my life
Unfortunately 4-0 I think Coco’s confidence has been inflated too much at this point
Death comes easier if I just relax and close my eyes.Quote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
Who woulda thought I would handicap college football better than tennis
Just learned Deion “Igotnotoe” x 2…. I’ve seen him in chairs at practice but just figured he’s just another ex athlete with bad knees.
Women’s tennis has turned into whoever can not have a complete mental breakdown wins.
Texas Tech probably gonna make or break my day, and they're fucking this up. Was up 27-18, now horrible coaching decision to go for it on the 4th down on their own 30. Wtf
Now Rice has blown a 28-0 lead and are only up 7.
Big sweats here
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
LFG Texas
Take a screenshot of your Game #1 starter Druff.