Phillys going to fuck me. This game just seemed too easy.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShadyJ
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Phillys going to fuck me. This game just seemed too easy.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShadyJ
[QUOTE=BCR;192403]Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
14-6 ncaa ytd, 2-5 nfl ytd
Fucking Wisconsin going full retard at end of game, with bonus lol at PAC10refs
lol Michigan and BIG refs on basic principle even though I had no money on it
NFL
falcons E/ PACKERS -2 TEASER
PACKERS -2/ GIANTS +10.5 TEASER
SF+8.5/PACKERS -2 TEASER
1ST HALF- Chiefs -2 L
1st half Giants +3
Packers better win
Added Chiefs 2nd half -.5 even
2nd half Texans -6 -120
adding service play NYG +4.5 the real underdog is on em take it to the bank
Phillys down 3 in the red zone with just over 2 mins left, so they hurry a play up so they can score as fast as possible and give SD the ball back. Just horrible coaching.
Someone should explain to Kelly that you want to score with no time left so rivers doesnt get a chance to beat you, and since you havent stopped him the whole game thats exactly what will happen you fuckin moronQuote:
Originally Posted by ShadyJ
Kelly is calling timeouts giving SD more plays wtf is he doing???
This is soooo bad this guy has no clue. First he rushes a play down in the red zone on 1st down instead of letting the clock go to the 2 minute warning. Wow Chip Kelly should be fired
Where the action is: 49ers at Seahawks action report
Sunday Night Football features a pair of NFC West rivals as the Seattle Seahawks host the San Francisco 49ers.
In the matchup last season, the Seahawks dominated San Fran covering as 2.5-point in a 42-13 Week 16 victory.
The two teams are coming into this one off of polar-opposite performances.
Colin Kaepernick and the 49er offense did what it wanted to do against the Green Bay Packers in Week 1 with the 49ers prevailing by a score of 34-28.
Meanwhile, the Seattle Seahawks barely escaped Carolina with a victory in a tough 12-7 game.
We talk to Mike Perry, an oddsmaker at Sportsbook.ag, about the action on Week 2's Sunday nighter.
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks - Open: -3, Move: -2.5, Move: -3
This line has barely moved an inch at most books though some action on the 49ers moved the line to Seattle -2.5, but the line currently rests at that -3 mark.
"Just like with the Broncos versus the Giants, this will likely be a either a small win or small loss on the spread for shop," Perry told Covers. "53 percent of the money is taking the 49ers."
The majority of shops opened the total at either 45 or 44.5 and that line, similarly, has barely nudged as Perry states 52 percent of the action is on the under 45.
The moneyline is a different story, however.
"It will be a big decision on the moneyline however," states Perry. "Eighty-eight percent of the moneyline cash is on the Niners +110
Tale of the tape: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
Sunday Night Football will be a hotly contested matchup as the 49ers travel north to face the Seahawks. These are two of the favorites to win the Super Bowl and the atmosphere in Seattle should be electric. We break down Sunday night's NFC West grudge match with our betting tale of the tape:
Offense
The 49ers marched all over the field in Week 1 against Green Bay totaling 494 yards in the 34-28 victory. The bulk of that was through the air, however, as Frank Gore and the 49er rushing attack was largely ineffective. But quite the aerial attack it was. Colin Kaepernick and Anquan Boldin looked like they had been playing together for years as Boldin hauled in 13 catches for 208 yards and TE Vernon Davis added a pair of touchdown catches.
The Seahawks only managed 12 points against the Carolina Panthers one week ago, but looked threatening at times. Until they got into the red zone that is. Seattle finished Week 1 0-for-3 inside the 20 and the lone touchdown came on a 43 yard pass play to Jermaine Kearse. Marshawn Lynch struggled to get anything going against Carolina, save for a 14 yard scamper. He finished with 43 yards on 17 carries.
Edge: San Francisco
Defense
Aaron Rodgers gave the 49er defense all they could handle as the Packers racked up 322 passing yards and 385 yards of total offense. The defensive unit did make some plays including an interception and a fumble recovery. LB NaVorro Bowman picked up where the 2012 season left off as he collected eight tackles and a pass deflection.
Seattle gets the pleasure of facing another athletic QB after containing Cam Newton in Week 1. The stingy Seahawk defensive squad kept Newton at bay for the most part, but struggled stopping the run. DeAngelo Williams rumbled his way to 86 yards on 17 carries for 5.1 ypc. The Seahawks only managed one sack on Cam Newton and must up the pressure against Kaepernick.
Edge: Seattle
Special teams
New 49ers kicker Phil Dawson was one of the top kickers one season ago and was 2-for-3 in Week 1. He did miss a 48-yard attempt on his first try in his new 49er uniform. The 49ers are looking for some stability on field goal attempts from 40 yards and out, so it wasn't the best of starts for the veteran.
Steven Hauschka went 2-for-2 in Week 1 with a 27 yard FG and a 40 yard FG. Hauscka is pretty reliable up to 50 yards. He was 23-for-23 from 49 yards and in one season ago, but just 1-for-4 beyond the 50.
Edge: Seattle
Notable quotable
“He’s really coming into his own as a leader, a quarterback and a player. We weren’t operating on all cylinders as an offense last week, but to be able to have the kind of day he had, to lead us to a victory at the end speaks volumes, 400-plus yards passing, no picks, three touchdowns, pretty good start for the season. And it’s just something that we've got to continue to improve on, and he’s the kind of guy that’s going to do that every day.” - 49ers OC Greg Roman on Colin Kaepernick
"He has this ability to change directions that makes him extremely quick and that suddenness is what gets him open but then it goes to the savvy that he has and the time he's spent working with Russell. Those guys really are relying on seeing things in the same fashion and being able to take advantage of the opportunities." - Seahawks coach Pete Carroll on WR Doug Baldwin.
RAS went 1-6 Im not tracking them anymore. 5-11 they are who I thought they are.
good call.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShadyJ
[QUOTE=BCR;192449]Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Added Chiefs 2nd half -.5 even W
2nd half Texans -6 -120 W
adding SF +3
And what did you think they are? They are long term big sample high % winners and are 18-19 this season.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShadyJ
And again you don't need to track them. They archive every pick since the late 90s on the website
need the bengals to basically win the game and the money truck will be arrivingQuote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
I bet my entire online roll on the Seahawks -2.5...so what if my roll was only $44, now it's $80.
http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lr...972po1_500.gif
Steelers at Benglas: What bettors need to know
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5, 41)
The Pittsburgh Steelers will try to rebound from one of their more feeble offensive performances in recent memory when they visit the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday night in a matchup of two teams expected to vie for the AFC North crown. The Steelers are coming off a disastrous Week 1 loss to Tennessee in which they managed only 195 total yards and lost three players to season-ending injuries. The Bengals blew an 11-point, second-half lead in a 24-21 opening loss to Chicago.
Pittsburgh managed only 32 yards rushing and lost three-time Pro Bowl center Maurkice Pouncey for the season due to torn knee ligaments, prompting head coach Mike Tomlin to understate: "We've got a lot of work to do." The first step comes against a rugged Cincinnati defense that includes former Steelers linebacker James Harrison, the 2008 NFL Defensive Player of the Year who signed with the Bengals in the offseason. The Steelers have history on the side, having won 10 of their last 11 in Cincinnati.
TV: 8:40 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE: The Bengals opened as a 6.5-point favorites at most shops. The total opened at 40.5 and has moved to 41.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow across the field at 7 mph.
ABOUT THE STEELERS (0-1): Ben Roethlisberger became the 35th quarterback to surpass the 30,000-yard mark for his career but that was about the only offensive highlight for Pittsburgh, which did not get into the end zone until there were 83 seconds to play. The running game was non-existent, managing a paltry 32 yards, and there seems no easy solution in sight after news that rookie Le'Veon Bell will miss at least another month with a foot injury suffered in the preseason. The defense played well, holding Tennessee to 229 total yards, but Roethlisberger was sacked five times and Isaac Redman lost two fumbles to stall the offense.
ABOUT THE BENGALS (0-1): Third-year wide receiver A.J. Green was on his way to a career game and Cincinnati was having its way with Chicago after putting together three touchdown drives of at least 80 yards to take a 21-10 midway through the third quarter versus Chicago. Green finished with nine catches for 162 yards and two scores and Andy Dalton threw for 282 yards but was picked off twice. The running game did nothing, with BenJarvus Green-Ellis managing only 25 yards on 14 carries, while a defense that was among the league leaders with 51 sacks last season failed to register one and allowed the Bears to possess the ball for the final 6:38.
TRENDS:
* The Steelers are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Cincinnati.
* Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Under is 8-0 in Steelers last eight games in Week 2.
* Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last five Monday games.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. The Steelers, who haven't started 0-2 since 2002, are 7-1 on Monday Night Football under Tomlin.
2. Dalton has nine touchdowns and one interception in his last four home games.
3. Pittsburgh re-signed RB Jonathan Dwyer, who ran for a career-high 122 yards in a 24-17 win at Cincinnati last season
Cant win em all.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdoggood call.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShadyJ
Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniacneed the bengals to basically win the game and the money truck will be arrivingQuote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
News flash the Eagles lost. They fucked my teaser that I put too much on.
Where did I ever say the Eagles won? I still need a Bengals win to lock up some of these teasesQuote:
Originally Posted by ShadyJQuote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
News flash the Eagles lost. They fucked my teaser that I put too much on.
brutal weekend for me on NFL bets. im going to stick to MLB until I can figure out an advantage in NFL. most games down to the wire, few points to win, how the hell do you bet that? I am thinking of more of a statistical across the board model. I don't really have time for that though.
[QUOTE=BCR;192489]6-9 NFL 14-6 ncaaQuote:
Originally Posted by BCRQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
adding SF +3 L
You can't bet against an entire team and fanbase that's popping Adderall like candy. What was I thinking?
:self-knife
Honestly, that whole stadium is like a meth induced frenzy. It's always been a great crowd, but it's borderline absurd now. When you have to turn your television volume down because it's too loud, that's a real crowd. Great game by the Seahawks. The lateral speed on both defenses is insane. Two best teams in the NFL right now, and I wouldn't want to go into that place come playoff time.
[QUOTE=BCR;192572]I'm sold on the Seahawks 100 %. And your correct with their speed. Haven't seen anything like that since the Ravens team that was dominant 10 years ago on defense.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR6-9 NFL 14-6 ncaaQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
You can't bet against an entire team and fanbase that's popping Adderall like candy. What was I thinking?
:self-knife
Honestly, that whole stadium is like a meth induced frenzy. It's always been a great crowd, but it's borderline absurd now. When you have to turn your television volume down because it's too loud, that's a real crowd. Great game by the Seahawks. The lateral speed on both defenses is insane. Two best teams in the NFL right now, and I wouldn't want to go into that place come playoff time.
Sf D is sick but I'm not sold on them being one of the best 2 teams just yet. Defense is good, running game is good but they better find some playmakers on offense. They lost Davis last night, Crabtree is out and I don't think Boldin and the other sleu of unknowns can carry them but we will see moving forward.
Keep it simple, Bet on Denver and over and fade Jax every week. 6-0 so far and will prob be a very +ev prop moving forward no matter how big the lines getQuote:
Originally Posted by Charham
IMO add Philly games over too. If they keep up their pace they will keep putting up points and their defense will keep giving up points.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniacKeep it simple, Bet on Denver and over and fade Jax every week. 6-0 so far and will prob be a very +ev prop moving forward no matter how big the lines getQuote:
Originally Posted by Charham
Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniacKeep it simple, Bet on Denver and over and fade Jax every week. 6-0 so far and will prob be a very +ev prop moving forward no matter how big the lines getQuote:
Originally Posted by Charham
I saw a post from a service that said if Oakland cant beat Jacksonville at home then whatever, and Im like hes right sure its 4.5 but basically they just need to beat the worst team in football. I agree fading jacksonville might win every week they are just that bad.
You are apparently paying for several tout services and do your reading. You sound pretty jacked up.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShadyJQuote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
I saw a post from a service that said if Oakland cant beat Jacksonville at home then whatever, and Im like hes right sure its 4.5 but basically they just need to beat the worst team in football. I agree fading jacksonville might win every week they are just that bad.
Game selection in poker is everything - especially heads up. One of the biggest points of emphasis China made in his guest host HOF radio show many moons ago. By the way, I am rooting for a BNP, China, Ryland triple threat offense as guest hosts. Csonka & Kick backfield with Ryland running the option.
Anyway, Shady are you betting everything that moves? Lets filter, some of this and call out those special opportunities.
My two cents.
Under 44 Chargers Titans
Under 44.5 Atl Mia
Under 46 SF Colts
Under 41 Sea Jax
Pats -1 Saints -2 (2 team tease)
Cowboys -4.5 (action points)
Saints -8 (action points)
Sea -20 (action points)
Den -15.5 (action points)
Clemson -13 (action points)
Over 68 Fresno Boise
Fresno -3
Usc -6.5
Baylor -28 (action points)
Over 79 Texas A&M SMU
Under 52 Bama CSU
I just read that this is the largest spread for an NFL game in 20 years. Seattle looked really good on Sunday and Jacksonville is not only a bad team, but a bad team on their second string QB.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
That 16-0 season when the Patriots were running up the score on everyone, did they really never break 20 points?
Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
What book do you use for action points? What is the cap on action points?
[QUOTE=BCR;192572]I don't know what you're talking about friend.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR6-9 NFL 14-6 ncaaQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
You can't bet against an entire team and fanbase that's popping Adderall like candy. What was I thinking?
:self-knife
Honestly, that whole stadium is like a meth induced frenzy. It's always been a great crowd, but it's borderline absurd now. When you have to turn your television volume down because it's too loud, that's a real crowd. Great game by the Seahawks. The lateral speed on both defenses is insane. Two best teams in the NFL right now, and I wouldn't want to go into that place come playoff time.
This is why we like it just fine up in business class.
Some off shore books will take them. Last offshore book I booked them with was thegreek. You set your own cap. I'm using a local now and I'm not capping any of them although u can cap them at whatever you like. Some books will cap u @ 10 max points either way. Some will let you set the cap. With locals if you don't give them a cap there is no capQuote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's ClitQuote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
What book do you use for action points? What is the cap on action points?
http://content.usatoday.com/communit...1#.Ujf7EMbry1kQuote:
Originally Posted by DirtyBI just read that this is the largest spread for an NFL game in 20 years. Seattle looked really good on Sunday and Jacksonville is not only a bad team, but a bad team on their second string QB.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
That 16-0 season when the Patriots were running up the score on everyone, did they really never break 20 points?
http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=3120882
Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniacSome off shore books will take them. Last offshore book I booked them with was thegreek. You set your own cap. I'm using a local now and I'm not capping any of them although u can cap them at whatever you like. Some books will cap u @ 10 max points either way. Some will let you set the cap. With locals if you don't give them a cap there is no capQuote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
What's the most points you ever crushed a spread by or got crushed betting this way?
here is the biggest win, line was 10 vicks freshman yearQuote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's ClitQuote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
What's the most points you ever crushed a spread by or got crushed betting this way?
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/foo...use_vatech_ap/
What's funny about this article is it mentions Texas ranked 11 losing to unranked UCLA 2 years earlier 66-3. I wonder what that line was?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZI5EPTsclXk
Not sure about losses but has to be 40 ish
early teasers
Team:
Sep 22 NFL [391] CHARGERS (SD) +9½-110 (B+6)
Sep 22 NFL [395] BUCCANEERS (TB) +13½-110 (B+6)
Risking 220.00 USD To Win 200.00
Sep 22 NFL [407] GIANTS (NYG) +7½-110 (B+6)
Sep 22 NFL [409] FALCONS (ATL) +7½-110 (B+6)
Risking 165.00 USD To Win 150.00 USD
Ticket#: 31819919
Also, looks like the sharps got killed on sunday. I was watching Collins football show in the morning before the games started and other than seattle it seems like I was on the public side for every game except seattle, with my big wins being Denver and Atl. They were gushing over Eli's doubtless first win vs big brother. On the other hand a lot of sharp $ went in on Miami and SD when they opened at +9. Went 5-0 in NFL this weekend after getting crushed in week 1.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarYou are apparently paying for several tout services and do your reading. You sound pretty jacked up.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShadyJ
Game selection in poker is everything - especially heads up. One of the biggest points of emphasis China made in his guest host HOF radio show many moons ago. By the way, I am rooting for a BNP, China, Ryland triple threat offense as guest hosts. Csonka & Kick backfield with Ryland running the option.
Anyway, Shady are you betting everything that moves? Lets filter, some of this and call out those special opportunities.
My two cents.
Not sure what you mean. On Saturdays I play service plays that I know are good. Sundays I play my own plays, but Ill add games if good services are on them like Balt and Oakland. My big plays in NFL were Philly Atl Gb and Zona. Those just stood out to me. I mostly pushed on Atl although i did take them -6 when i heard the big 2 would play. I had another winning week, and not sure if that was directed at me but I havent paid 1 cent for any service plays.
I remember having FSU vs VTech with Vick I think it was a bowl game, and Vick just destroyed them. FSU D was supposed to be the best and Vick looked liked like a man amongst boys.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniachere is the biggest win, line was 10 vicks freshman yearQuote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/foo...use_vatech_ap/
What's funny about this article is it mentions Texas ranked 11 losing to unranked UCLA 2 years earlier 66-3. I wonder what that line was?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZI5EPTsclXk
Not sure about losses but has to be 40 ish
you think it was a bowl game? it was the national championship. vick was awesome no doubt and probably my favorite player to watch in general but he still lost that game by almost 20.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShadyJI remember having FSU vs VTech with Vick I think it was a bowl game, and Vick just destroyed them. FSU D was supposed to be the best and Vick looked liked like a man amongst boys.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
Sorry guys - I'm taking the 20 and rolling with Jax.
5 times in the last quarter century the NFL has seen lines of 20+. The chalk went 1-4 and the one time it covered it was 1991 and the Bills covered by 2 points.
I sure as shit wouldn't action play Jax because the possibility of a blowout is obviously on the table here. But for a set price give me the 20 and lets see what happens.