I thought NCAAB was bad, but after my hiatus, I've been doing pretty well there. Won today, too.
NBA has been killing me though. Neither pick today was close.
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I thought NCAAB was bad, but after my hiatus, I've been doing pretty well there. Won today, too.
NBA has been killing me though. Neither pick today was close.
An unusual political hiccup for me.
Labor Secretary Marty Walsh - the ex Mayor of Boston @ +1200
Marty Walsh is bailing Biden to become head of the National Hockey League Players Association. Obv a much better gig
Wherever the Secret Service hid Walsh during the speech…. he may never be seen again.
@Simp
Lotta NHL variance post Florida All Star partying. It ain’t the NBA but I’m waiting until Saturday. We shall dine then.
On William Hill:Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Rahm currently 15/2
Rory 8/1
Quote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk BucketOn William Hill:Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Rahm currently 15/2
Rory 8/1
Go walk into a Willy Hill with $6,667 and say you want to win $50K on Rham. I cant say for sure but my guess is the answer will be no “How about win $5000….. if you want to rebet it will be at 6-1”
Give them $6,250 on Rory and i bet they take it.
Just a guess I may be wrong and it may be different for me vs Mattress Mack
You following Mattress Mack’s new religion about legalized wagering in Texas? How it might be a bad thing?Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
Go walk into a Willy Hill with $6,667 and say you want to win $50K on Rham. I cant say for sure but my guess is the answer will be no “How about win $5000….. if you want to rebet it will be at 6-1”
Give them $6,250 on Rory and i bet they take it.
Just a guess I may be wrong and it may be different for me vs Mattress Mack
Mack is catching flack.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarYou following Mattress Mack’s new religion about legalized wagering in Texas? How it might be a bad thing?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Mack is catching flack.
Yeah you cant me the #1 sports bettor in a state and then start to talk about how it might not be a good thing. I mean hes probably being as honest as anyone can and hes not wrong in what hes saying. Not everyone bets these amounts and when they do they arent offsetting millions in promotional dealings for the largest furniture store in the state.
If you didnt understand the whole situation you might think it Smacks of hypocrisy
Speaking of legalized wagering and lol state gambling commissions, I skimmed something last night about PrizePicks seizing customer balances without recourse or explanation. Saw mid 5 figures in one example
Let’s use this as a book mark. When I have time I’ll retrace my steps
Random example
I use PrizePicks during MLB as a datapoint for that night’s pitching performance. It’s just a process I fell into. I would NEVER involve myself in their awful spreads. Useful prop stuff refined by a market tho.
The sosh personalities surrounding this site really border on unsavory lol
Detroit +215 at Cleveland - FIRST HALF (Garland, Mitchell OUT)
NCAAB
SMU +115 vs Temple (+2 ok)
Can't get NBA right recently. Thought Detroit would come out strong at least for 1H, with those 2 Cleveland starters sitting. Nope! 18 points down after 1Q. This pick is dead.
Go SMU.
I swear this is the last time I bet on a horrible NBA team as a moneyline.
SMU broke out to a 19-2 lead and I thought I could cruise to an easy win.
Nope! Temple now up 30-27. Awful. That's a 28-8 run.
Noodling still. Share my notes for an idea
Kraken +118 @ Devils
Devils Center & Star &nightly multiple scorer Jack Hughes out. Devils always struggling anyway. McKenzie Blackwood (we don’t trust him 1-4 last five starts) confirmed in goal.
Kraken goalie unconfirmed
Kraken was +140 overnight and it’s fallen mightily.
Just a quick idea.
6 of last 7 Devils games ended up tied so tie +345 is sexy …. Leaning over (4-3 OT).
Collect some money for Chiefs …
Couldn't resist Rory at +1800 there, v early days in difficult conditions
SMU ended up winning by 1 last night.
I can't believe I'm saying this, but after quitting NCAAB in frustration, I might stay with NCAAB and quit NBA instead. I've had a bad NBA season.
I've been 8-4, +5.10 units in NCAAB since returning from my 3-week break from it. That's not much of a sample size, but it's encouraging.
Can't wait for MLB to start, both as a fan and as a bettor. I'll see if I can improve upon my slight winning season last year, which saw a much better second half than first.
NCAAB
Coastal Carolina +200 vs Marshall - FIRST HALF
Missouri KC +1.5 at Western Illinois
One more NCAAB
Eastern Kentucky -102 at Queens NC (up to -110 ok, +1 up to -117 ok)
Marshall is stomping on Coastal Carolina. That one's a loss for me.
Missouri KC has a small lead at the moment.
Eastern Kentucky losing by 6, near the end of 1H.
Hoping for 2-1, but 0-3 could easily occur.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarRandom example
I use PrizePicks during MLB as a datapoint for that night’s pitching performance. It’s just a process I fell into. I would NEVER involve myself in their awful spreads. Useful prop stuff refined by a market tho.
The sosh personalities surrounding this site really border on unsavory lol
Ty for posting this San - I went 7-0 with one push on the season long NCAAF stuff this year and was contemplating dropping a bomb on the NFL season long numbers they just posted…… this gives me pause tieing up significant funds there.
Its one thing when you beat and you need to cut off/limit someone. Despite all the conversation we have on the subject at the end of the day Im not taking Billy Walters action either, so on some level I can understand it.
That said if you take bets and you get beat…… pay it and move along. When a scumbag (Badguy) scams a book as “the player” its a shitty thing to do, but they got a shit end of the stick paying the juice so as a bookmaker you can chalk shitheals up to being “part of the game” (even if someone does you a favor in getting you the out and you fuck them over entirely). When a book gets beat and they don't pay or play these silly slow pay games….. that in my mind is criminal. if these assholes are regulated i throw the book at them, but I'm honestly not sure how Prizepicks are “regulated” in any way.
It will be interesting to see how it pans out but i have to imagine anyone who is still on the course for round 1 in Phoenix is going to end up with an advantage over the players in the day one morning waive who had to deal with the worst of the weather.
For those of us who are calling down with King high, that eagle Rham sank before they blew the horn was fairly gigantic. Holes 14-18 played roughly 1-2 strokes under par yesterday in the wind. Hopefully with the better of the wind today Rham can finish about 5 under and have a great second round. We in a decent spot here.
Leaders will be ~5 under at the end of the day. Obviously starting off -5 vs +2 is a gigantic swing…… but there are some players who are more than capable of a big turn around. Rory and Colin at 70-1 are worth a look if you into lottery tickets.
Speaking of Billy Walters.
There seems to be a hint that Walters blows up Phil Mickelson in the book. I had the pod on in the background. I’ve heard it all before.
He’s saving the Phil story for the release. Did say he prolly would NOT have gone to prison if not for Phil
Walters is so prehistoric but I like the origin stories …. like Haralobob. Walters admits same.
Brent Musburger is aging better than LeBum. Remarkable
Oops…. VSIN archives old shows … I know you know but
Ive been told that LIV may have saved Phils life, or the lump sum he got dd to be more specific. Its also my understanding this book was delayed as a favor to Phils creditors so that the LIV checks cleared. once this book comes out Phil is likely finished in the court of public opinion, is my understanding.
I think I heard Walters was sentenced to 5 years. Insider trading. Prison & home confinement. I think I heard that Walters felt the conviction could have been avoided if Phil stepped up.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
If what you say above is true I find that a fascinating kindness.
The subject of Walters owning many golf courses came up. He loved golf and was a good player. I think he is down to one purse in Vegas now. Regardless, the relationship with Mickelson was deep. It’s almost the stuff of movies …. or books.
I’m in when it’s released. I will provide a synopsis for Druff.
It’s February 10 and the golf courses are busy in Massachusetts. It’s warm. To think I used to have a backyard rink packed with kids 15 years ago.
Daly I think I just heard you blow in your pants
Quote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
Would feel slightly better if he played like himself on 17 & 18……
That said could be in a lot worse shape
Right Rory ye wee fuckin’ dancer yeee
Anthem will be at 2:02 give or take - bet it right now or it will be gone
I see 2:06 or less evensQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
2:07 8/11
NCAAB
Northern Kentucky +2.5 at Wright State
NBA
OKlahoma City +3 -115 at Portland
Another ncaa 1H dog
Fresno +245 at Nevada - FIRST HALF
Frez up 4 with 4:44 left... come on..
Damnit, 4 point lead with 2 min left and they blew it. Probably fucked now but Pablo probably covers
Wow Pablo gets the buzzer beater and covers. 34-32 so I lose. Shitty. Was a good pick, just collapsed at the wrong time.
NCAAB home dogs
Auburn +2 vs Alabama
Coastal Carolina +165 vs James Madison - FIRST HALF
Georgia State +185 vs Marshall - FIRST HALF
Not a basketball guy but Druff and home dogs were irresistible
Alabama vs Auburn +2.5 -102
Penn St +8 -110 vs Maryland ✅
Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois -4 -105
Kansas vs Oklahoma +3 -105
Indiana vs Michigan -2.5 -110
CS Fullerton & Clemson dogs short list
Rahmen noodles baby
Just in time for the Super Bowl…. Druff amends edit time parameter. I’ll update my card tomorrow instead of endless posts.
Prolly just updating with red “L’s” anyway.
Under 2 min 6 secs now 1/2
Edit time limit has been the same for years, San.
I went 1-2 on my NCAAB dogs. Costal Carolina easily won 1H despite getting killed in the game, so that was nice.
Here's one NBA pick. Miami Heat still hasn't realized it's 2023. Their game scores look like the 2010s.
213.5 is the new 183.5.
Orlando vs Miami - Under 213.5