Well once again my 0.5 unit 1H bet didn't work out
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Well once again my 0.5 unit 1H bet didn't work out
Epic bad beat. Yeah, they played it like they were behind and not tied. I could feel it coming while watching.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
I like to do that with big NFL dogs. I take em money line 1st half and points full game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Looks like SD was a bad pick. The first half bet was live until the final few mins. Collapse in 2H.
Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Ive been to a lot of college and NFL games in my life. Been blessed to have seen some incredible games and some incredible moments. Not sure today makes the top of the list but it was damn near up there.
The Raiders WR was out of bounds - 99% sure of it.
The pats punt team snapped the ball with 9 seconds left on the play clock. Very unusual fuck up by a Bill B coached team. First play by the raiders should have been after the 2 min warning which would have changed some thungs.
I get wanting to make something happen but that ending was a Jr HS level event.
It was amazing. One of those beats you’ll never forget. I’ve had statistically worse, but that was unique.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Ive been to a lot of college and NFL games in my life. Been blessed to have seen some incredible games and some incredible moments. Not sure today makes the top of the list but it was damn near up there.
The Raiders WR was out of bounds - 99% sure of it.
The pats punt team snapped the ball with 9 seconds left on the play clock. Very unusual fuck up by a Bill B coached team. First play by the raiders should have been after the 2 min warning which would have changed some thungs.
I get wanting to make something happen but that ending was a Jr HS level event.
I had Steelers ML and Patriots ML and it looked like a perfect day with that parlay. It was all of it. The 4th and 10. The TD where the guy was clearly out. At that point, losing by a TD is always possible, but still unlikely.
But that throw back 25 yards to Mac Jones standing at the 50 was just one of those wtf moments where you just knew someone was going to pick it and go the distance the other way the minute you saw it in the air. About the dumbest thing Ive ever seen in a game. I’ve. never seen that in a tie game. A team down, a dozen times, but never a tied team.
There were so many Pats fans there. It had to be the most stunning thing to be at. Guys just wandering around dazed.
That was some weekend in football, for sure. Minnesota, Jacksonville, Las Vegas...
NHL 3-1 with the Rangers picks yesterday .. I should quit
7-1 Rangers victory.
NHL Dallas & under 6.5 vs CBJ
- CBJ injury riddled and woeful
- two very decent goalies
- Dallas consistently beats up on weak teams. Lotta wonky NHL this year with big upsets. Dallas gets the work done and doesn’t play down
Puckline not a bad look either. I might. My giblets are still tender.
Simp will like Buffalo +130 @ VGK. I’m sprinkling
Oilers team total over 3½ +100 is a look and a lean
It's like you're a mind reader
Dallas in regulation got -125 early
Edmonton over 6.5
Legalized Wagering Degen bet (not a great one but just an example of taking -ev bets and them turning +EV)
Packers 2.5/over 36.5 +100 with a 50% boost
Watson first td 7–1
I'm going to do something I don't usually do.
I'm going to post an NHL pick.
Bet your own risk.
Buffalo +135 at Vegas
Don't tell Negreanu.
Yes, I may have copied this from Sanlmar.
I should be safe from teaser shaming
May the Watson prop cash in the 4th qtr
Nice Buffalo pick San.
3-0 in the 2nd
You Don’t Need A Weatherman To Know Which Way The Wind Blows
What’s your favorite weather play? Weather is gonna be awful and cold for most of the nation.
I’ll start - not pure weather and it’s football so ….. quick and dirty
Air Force vs. Baylor - Air Force 12/22/2022 7:30:01 PM- (EST)
+163 * Game Notes:Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G Carter Stadium - Forth Worth, TX
Air Force +4. Screw the points take the ML. Grammy is gonna give you a check for Christmas … you’re liquid again
Decent drop in temp.
Air Force is from windy cold Colorado Springs which will be frigid too btw.
Baylor plays in Waco … this is virtually a home game so who cares. They were in the Sugar Bowl last year. This sucks
Baylors defensive coordinator got shit canned just in time to leave the head coach to prep kids who are thinking about parties for the Triple Option.
Service academies in bowl games are 13-3 (roughly by my Chinese math). Teams that care vs teams that don’t.
We missed the best number +5.5 but I like the added misery of the weather. We are betting the outright win. Lockheed Martin isn’t gonna let Air Force lose. It’s an unspoken neocon agreement.
The last few weeks there have been a lot of Wong (or close to Wong) favorite and dog teasers that have mostly been hitting. I know they aren't Wongs, but I have been teasing a lot of 3-4 point dogs to 10/10.5 and 6-7 point favorites to ML and it is working well.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI should be safe from teaser shaming
May the Watson prop cash in the 4th qtr
I heard the books lost big last week. Reversion to the mean feels like, as no teasers were hitting early in the year.
NCAAB
UC Riverside -5 vs San Diego
Devils/Carolina under 6 -120
LA -1.5 +100
SJ +165
Tough card for me.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
SJ Hertl suspended
Ducks 22 yro Dostal stood on his head like Vejmelka last game. Just incredible
Was leaning Caroline over Devils. I see what you did there with goalies.
Despite their banned status I lean Toronto over Tampa.
Dostal isn't bad but Anaheim sucks.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarTough card for me.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
SJ Hertl suspended
Ducks 22 yro Dostal stood on his head like Vejmelka last game. Just incredible
Was leaning Caroline over Devils. I see what you did there with goalies.
Despite their banned status I lean Toronto over Tampa.
SJ / Calgary - Hertl suspension got some extra odds and tipped it to SJ for me. Same teams, same location. Calgary isn't great on road, hoping to sneak one through tonight.
Speaking of the Devils...
New Jersey +108 at Carolina
Also
Ottawa +113 at Winnipeg
One more NCAAB
Illinois Chicago +14 -108 at Northwestern
lulz, I barely get that Devils pick off in time and Carolina just pops them with a quick goal to start the game.
Hooooooo boy
I was speaking of Carolina (& Toronto).Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
San you were right
(On SJ). Brutal start
Look at this sweet sweet plus money. SJS with a new 1st line center? I would pop them right in the fucking mouth right outta the gate if I were Calgary.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I’m not watching but I think that is exactly what happened.
Random musings: 2P’s are the new 1P’s. I have a Stone Age book - I can only bet 2P’s live - say after 1st P. I’m kinda lazy lately but I need to get that money cause it’s not easy earning elsewhere. It’s a self improvement exercise I got from GA.
Both these defenses stink. Eh?
Embarrassing picks today from me.
But I did get a possible gift from UCR with overtime. Now I need then to win by 6... or at least 5 to tie.
Druff overtime.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
We shall sweat this together
I tailed this randomly.
Stings. We move on
Can't push the buttons for you.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
RIP Krypt. Was he a dupe or maybe dwai can let us know if the vaccine got him.
Dodged a bullet last night as I was going to bet on Toledo -4 and got too busy and they blew a 14 point lead and won by 2. They must have thought I got down with how I’ve ran last two weeks. Ohio legalized starts 1/1. First month will be fun with all the bonuses, but I’ll need a sponsor around 2/1.
Vegas at home = under 6
Only playing Vegas under for now but here would be my lean on NHL total card tonight, which is something ive been tracking of late with some moderate performance
Tampa over 6.5
Nj under 6.5
Col under 5.5
Nash under 6
Dal over 6.5
Ana over 6
Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
I didn’t dodge them. Even got them -3.5 -105. Hasn’t been my year. Glad you dodged it though BCR. Was painful.
I’m a little delinquent in my sports today but one idea immediately lept out at me.
The juicy plus $
Predators -½ +143 for 1st Period
Chicago is 1-14-2 1P PL
Meh look
Predators team total over 3½ +100
Mrazek in net for Chicago. He is likely the worst goalie in the NHL. He has a cult following. Preds offense is woeful tho. Meh bet but a degen idea. I have lot of those.
Preds Saros is expected but not confirmed. He is no prize but Chicago can’t score. This isn’t the Rangers 7-1 vs Chicago that we bet the other night. Preds ain’t Rangers.
Everyone gonna use Preds as chalk or do Regulation or some such Preds exposure. Pray for them. Will likely work.
I like your 1p play for Predators. I get +150, I will donate the extra +007 to alcohol over the holidays. Cheers.
Ducks, Coyotes, Canadiens. Only need to win one.
+250,+250 +230.
I don't believe you like these bets San since we are backing horrible teams and 2 are on the road. Praying that they dress a decent goalie or two.
Edmonton Dallas over 6.5 is my other play.
Nothing too original today.
Favorites went a perfect 8-0 last night so …. you toss a unit on a lottery pick and then you NEED to hit a big dog to right the ship down the road. There has to be a case for the dog.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
That said, I like the young Canadiens effort. That means I am a lonely man.
AV’s haven’t scored in 1P in 5 straight & 8 of 11. Canadiens have trailed after 1st Period only once all year..
Montreal Canadiens +175 for 1st Period
I’m fully aware I am playing a lot of 1P sides lately. Is that just my recent success or is there something to be found? Trouble is sometimes where you look for it. Well, I sure like the above.
I mentioned the 2P totals yesterday. Devils Florida 2P is a must. Let me look for a stat. BRB
Both teams are 9-1 to the over 2P
With the prospect of Blackwood in goal for Devils and recent Devils history
Panthers regulation +125
That’s enuff for me, homey. Have to return Christmas presents for meal money if I’m wrong
I'm embarrassed to show my face in this thread after what happened yesterday -- 4 awful picks which all got blown out. I don't think I've ever had a day where I both went 0-4 and none were close.
Anyway, this one is starting in about 15 minutes:
NBA
Cleveland vs Milwaukee - Under 216
Yes, a dreaded NBA under.
Here's another
Detroit at Philadelphia - Under 222.5
NCAAB
San Francisco +145 vs Arizona State (+3 ok)
Bless you simp, and whichever Canadian book is offering you +150 on Predators -0.5 1P.
But I agree Sanlmar made a good pick there, so I will tail it at the poor American's +143.