An Oilers goal with 4.4 seconds left in regulation allows Simpdog to sweep.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Devils are so much damn fun to watch and bet on
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An Oilers goal with 4.4 seconds left in regulation allows Simpdog to sweep.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Devils are so much damn fun to watch and bet on
Vegas under 6.5 continues to be a little honeypot.
Im only comfortable when they at home, but on the road aint bad either so long as its the right matchup
Ok Simpdog.
List your terms for engagement. I can chill on politics and personal grooming. Let’s make money.
Bobrovsky & Vladar confirmed was what caused Fla/Calgary to go from over 6.5 -125 —-> +103 ?
I’m confused. Plebs get farmed but I have to scale in …. I can hedge out if someone can explain this to me
Bob hasn't been playing that well. I'm on over myself.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Florida has been hitting overs, Bob isn't great, maybe rough game / lots of penalties due to Tkachuk/Huberdeau?
Nhl 11-29
Florida over 6.5 (see above)
Montreal over 6 -130 (both goalies are playing awful) **juice harsh but we don't pay juice when we win
Kraken +110
My gift to you
(I’m working on more serious stuff - gimme a few)
No Goal in First Ten minutes
Tampa/Boston GIFT -170
Islanders/Phila No GIFT +130
Degen Parlay +265
I’m a bigger Carter Hart guy than a normal person would be.
Philly no Konecny and maybe no Deangelo. Apparently Deangelo got into it with the coach this morning.
I was tempted with Philly ending their horrendous home streak, but without those two it will be a tough go.
May the gambling gods bless your 1st period effort with results that mirror first period totals (forget what year, maybe 2017-18?)
Gonna add to your stuff
Montreal Canadiens -105
Lightning/Boston Bruins over 1½ -140 for 1st Period
Lightning/Boston Bruins over 6 -123
Lightning Bruins 1P BTTS +160 is a look but I don’t have that offered
The Bruins Lightning thing is a personal issue. Not super supported by data. Should be fun game for sure
Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogBob hasn't been playing that well. I'm on over myself.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Florida has been hitting overs, Bob isn't great, maybe rough game / lots of penalties due to Tkachuk/Huberdeau?
Nhl 11-29
Florida over 6.5 (see above)
Montreal over 6 -130 (both goalies are playing awful) **juice harsh but we don't pay juice when we win
Kraken +110
Stumbled across Vegas under as a low tech NHL trend thats profitable a while back. Gave some other teams a quick review. Florida on the road seems to go over 6.5 a lot for it to be even $$ tonight.
Give it a shot.
NCAAB:
Charlotte +165 at Davidson (+4 ok)
WARNING: I have not done well with dog moneyliens in NCAAB this season.
NBA
New York vs Detroit - Over 226.5
What an ending to the Charlotte game.
Nobody could score in the final 2:10, tied 59-59. So if went to OT. I know... lol college hoops.
It's 66-65 Davidson, and Charlotte gets fouled with 12s left in OT. Player misses both. Ugh. But Charlotte gets the rebound, tries for a 3 (??), misses. Charlotte gets rebound again. Same player tries for another 3 at buzzer. Score!!!
Charlotte wins 68-66!
:yes
NY NBA over easily hit. 2-0 day.
Kraken @ Kings total 6–> 5.5 pregame. Obv sharp money
8-6 end of 2ndP
Kraken 9.5 +205.
If your book has shut this game down you now know their live service is an algorithm running on a box in an empty room. No doubt they were running an algo tied to the preflop unders.
Game of the year. Not close
Buffalo +115
Ottawa -110
Oilers hawks over 6 -115
Degen Leafs play
First period Leafs -0.5 +110
Coming up at 4:10pm
Cleveland vs Philadelphia - Under 209 -105
Strange days where 209 is basically the floor as far as totals go, but that's where we are in today's NBA.
As I'm sure BCR knows, Cleveland totals have been quite low lately. Going backwards from Monday: 188, 196, 219, 210, 216, 195
In 5 of the last 8 contests, Philly has also seen totals of 212 or fewer. Cleveland continues to have the absence of Allen, Love, and now Stevens.
NCAAB:
CSU Fullteron +8.5 at Seattle
Boy I hate NBA totals sometimes.
Great 1Q with just 46 points, then scoring just takes off in the 2nd. 60 points in a little over 9 minutes, and now the under is already in trouble.
:gay2
Well, I got what I wanted. After the 71-point 2nd (almost certain death in an under 209 bet), a 39-point 3rd left the blowout game at 90-66. This means I need 52 or fewer in the 4th to win, 53 to tie.
Somehow I won by 11. Didn't expect this after the 2nd. Well, whatever works.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Go Fullteron!
I was hoping they’d both empty the bench for you and they complied and easy w. Nice hitQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Not often you’ll hit an under when a team shoots over 90% for a quarter. I assumed Philly would come roaring back after Cavs went 16/17 in second and it would be trouble, but thankfully they didn’t have it. Embiid out of shape after missing games.
Fullerton winning outright for much of the way but ended up barely covering, losing by 7.
I'll take it.
Finally betting a Thursday game again.
New England +167 vs Buffalo (+3.5 ok)
NCAAB:
Oklahoma State +8.5 at Connecticut
Detroit +165 at Purdue Fort Wayne (+4 ok)
Oakland +150 at Cleveland State (+3.5 ok)
Valparaiso +9 at Belmont
Utah +7 vs Arizona
Washington State +170 at Oregon (+4 ok)
Dallas + Calgary. -136 parlay
Didn’t have a lot of time today. If you have ideas San…I could use some
Bills pats over 43.5
New England having an awful 2Q.
In NCAAB:
Oklahoma blew 2 chances to score in trash time to cover, bet lost.
Oakland got blown out.
Detroit easily won, my +165 hits.
Valparaiso probably not covering but has a chance.
Utah killing it. Wish I did moneyline.
Wash St not started yet.
Teased Patriots to 10.5. Watching them fail to backdoor core the teaser line is painful. I admit I haven't watched a lot of Patriots the last couple years and haven't really seen Mac Jones play since Alabama. Those high floaters he likes to throw dont seem to be working as well in this game as they did in college. Of course he had way better WRs to throw to in college, so there is that.
Well, Washington has fallen apart. Was up 46-45 left with 12:46 left, but Oregon has gone on a 21-8 run, and that's pretty much that.
That means I went 2-4 in NCAAB, but only lost 1.44 units because of the +165 Detroit win.
But I also went 0-1 in NFL.
Not a good day overall.
:fail
Go figure, I had NE + 10 1/2 live bet, We have seen so many trash backdoors but no not NE, That bum Jones they give him 1st and goal and he goes backwards. How in the world can this guy be a starter in the NFL?Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
From mid-2nd, I knew this bet was toast. Buffalo was just playing far better football than New England, and it wasn't even close.
New England was big with the betting sharps, but it didn't come close to working out.
Druff trying to decide which teasers he likes best this Sunday
Talk me off Islanders reg (even $) or ML (-161) Simp. Everyone loves this too despite the Preds recency over Devils - not that I give too much of a fuck what public and sharps think.
Whaddya think of Preds Lankinen? He used to be a bum. Not a bad backup it would appear.
Preds back to back on the road but huge break follows this game.
Islanders rested with a goalie who leads league in save percentage. Can Isles score? Question evidenced by low total. Preds offensively challenged too.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarDruff trying to decide which teasers he likes best this Sunday
Talk me off Islanders reg (even $) or ML (-161) Simp. Everyone loves this too despite the Preds recency over Devils - not that I give too much of a fuck what public and sharps think.
Whaddya think of Preds Lankinen? He used to be a bum. Not a bad backup it would appear.
Preds back to back on the road but huge break follows this game.
Islanders rested with a goalie who leads league in save percentage. Can Isles score? Question evidenced by low total. Preds offensively challenged too.
Ill let the others comment on this bet and stick with what I am following.
Think i can endorse a Under 6.5 vegas on the road vs Detroit in two days (might be late tonight, my clock is all fucked up as Im in India for work).
Canisius burned me before, but I'll try again. (NCAAB)
Starting in a few:
Canisius +7 at Siena
Starting at 4:30pm PST
NCAAF
North Texas at UT San Antonio - Over 70
Won both.
Canisius lost by 4 and covered.
UTSA game went over mid-4th.
Semi amazing sports wagering story.
So as i mentioned I'm in India for work. I search the tv for “football”. Only live show on right now is a sports wagering tout show for soccer and cricket.
I complain about picks I "almost made" which would have won, but today it was good that I stayed away from the "almosts".
USC under, Denver under, and North Texas side were all picks I considered, passed on, and lost. Instead, I stuck to the two I posted, which both won.
TCU F*cked me twice this year, Guess it’s time to ride with the frogs, TCU- 1 1/2 for nice size bet
I wouldn't go so far as to call the Netherlands a lock like Floyd…… but I'm getting a vibe like the Connor Floyd fight that the odds for this world cup game are being heavily impacted by the amount of money being placed on the USA.
I have some PPH that face overseas clients and Ive seen Netherlands as high as -300 to advance. All the US facing its as low as -200 (so +150 on the US side).
Kansas State extravaganza (sorry 4BET)
Football:
Kansas State +100 vs TCU
Georgia -17.5 vs LSU
Basketball:
Kansas State -7 vs Witchita
College of Charleston -12.5 at Citadel
What a moron that Caleb is , He writes Fuck Utah on his finger nails before the game, Gets his ass handed to him. I mean this guy is the front runner for the Heisman. Shut the fuck up and play your getting millions from the NFL in the coming years. Idiot of the year Caleb. If your gonna talk shit back it up. Limp or no limp Utah steamrolled these idiots.