Fired this one 71 points 1stQ, Almost for sure loser, No defense in the NBA
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Yeah, but I wouldn't brand it "almost sure loser" yet, because it's 228.5, so an average of 57/Q would be a winner. Therefore, a weak scoring quarter could put this back in contention.
I haven't really gotten NBA right this year, and I struggled last year as well. I might have to quit it if I can't get things going properly.
My favorite thing to bet on starts in 2 hours
7 players each side, two 7 minute halves. Result in 15, non stop play.
Taking 3 hits of acid soon and will try throw out some good spots to get on (Ran $15 sitting on a foreign book into 4000 in 5 hrs live betting on a big dose of shrooms last time this tournament)
I know most teams and players very well, fatigue is a huge factor and opportunities to pounce on bad lines is easy compared to most. Psychedelics are the key for me betting anything live so no promises but I think i'll come out on top
Taking Ireland -9.5 against Kenya
Need to get a read on the field condition for the following games over/under totals and if they have capable extra points kickers (Some great and some are abysmal) Can make a huge difference to covering or not so going to be paying very close attention. Ireland's is good so laying the points in the opening game
Team strength rankings Top 8 imo
Fiji
New Zealand
South Africa
Ireland/Australia
Samoa/USA/Argentina
Books have this capped pretty well so I will be targeting totals when more live info plays out, don't have to wait too long fortunately
Parlaying this
Frances Tiafoe
@ 2.60
Head to Head
Frances Tiafoe v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Carlos Alcaraz
@ 1.45
Head to Head
Carlos Alcaraz v Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
2 Leg Multix1
Felix got tested by Ymer big time in Rd1 and the value is big on Tiafoe. Match is a coin flip imo. Rune is good but he's not beating Alcaraz who is on another level right now
Alcaraz is going to win this tournament, too strong even for Novax
Ireland 28-12 Despite the cunt referee
Taking this next
Argentina
(-20.5)
@ 1.85
Points Start
Argentina v Canada
12-0 in 2 mins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IIf9diK-6wk
26-0 at half time
LOL @ FAGGOT ASS CANADA
Get wrecked
36-0
Fiji
(-28.5)
@
1.95
Points Start
Fiji v Japan
Singlex1
Total Stake:$160.00
Return$312.00
59-12
5/5 now and covering EASY
Glenn Maxwell
@
6.00
Australia - Top Runscorer
Australia v Afghanistan
Winnnnnnnner
Also
France
@
3.12
Match Result
France v Great Britain
Singlex1
Total Stake:$87.00
Potential Return$271.44
France up 14-0 5 mins in
:lol2
22-0 @ Half time
That's 6/6 Correct and EASILY
France up 29-0 now
Next two
South Africa v Uruguay
South Africa(-23.5)
New Zealand v Samoa
New Zealand(-6.5)
This is top quality content
:entertained
Finally lost one and instead of going for it late they kicked it out to end it early.
21-0 but they tossed away 7. Best player dropping the ball with no one around him. 1 in 1000
Miss it by 3
Still a good bet
Onto the next
New Zealand 24-12 my prediction
-6.5 line
Damn it moved to -7.5
Key number so don't hit anything but -6.5
Samoa are dangerous but NZ should get on top
NZ lose a player for 2mins for high tackle
Fuck.
Samoa up 5-0 to end the first half
Samoa up 10-0 now
Dangerous was an understatement
I'm Toast
LOL
24-0
New Zealand got demolished
Australia vs Hong Kong, China
(-23.5)
Last one for the first session of games
WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
STRAIGHT BET Nov 04 MU [8317] CARLOS ALCARAZ -220 (CARLOS ALCARAZ vrs HOLGER RUNE) 440.00 USD / 200.00 USD 183823436
STRAIGHT BET Nov 04 MU [8319] FRANCES TIAFOE +175 (FRANCES TIAFOE vrs FELIX AUGER-ALIASSIME) 200.00 USD / 350.00 USD
Adding this
Frances Tiafoe
@ 2.40
First Set Winner
Frances Tiafoe v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Singlesx1
Total Stake:$100.00
Potential Return$240.00
40min away now
NCAAF:
Massachusetts at Connecticut - Under 40
Sorry Daly
:fail2
Tiafoe getting worked and looking off
Rugby League World Cup Australia v Lebanon
Lebanon(+42.5)
Starts in 5 Hrs
Australia will win easy but most of the lebo's are Australian based and play against them in the best league
Line should be 32-34 not this excessive
Wankers won’t let me get any action in live on Alcaraz. Max bet is zero.zero
He was +150 when I started my mission. Just as well, I suppose as most of that line is ploppie
Druff,
If you take the Astros tonight bet Action (no listed pitchers).
There is a tiny chance Phillies Wheeler doesn’t go. He’s off on velocity - could shuffle an opener, who knows. Astros line will skyrocket.
I got cute with Astros RL last night and got punked at the final turn. c'est la vie
Most of the time I get locked out things work out.
Alcaraz going down - that’s some sad shit right there
I want to take Buffalo Sabres +178
Can I get a stamped “approved” Simp?
“Tennessee-Georgia is the most bet game, it’s been one way action on Tennessee all week long. Georgia might be our biggest need of not just the week but the season.”
– Seamus Magee, Sports Trader, @BetMGM
87% of bets on @Vol_Football +8 at Georgia.
I'm doing what I should have done all along: Fade the Nets. I said this before the season started, and then I barely did it. Same with the Lakers, whom I might also fade later.
Nets are more dysfunctional than ever.
Kyrie has been suspended because of "the Jews".
Simmons is out -- and Durant is basically fuming about him.
To top it all off, the "other" Curry -- Seth -- is resting tonight, so that thins the bench a bit.
Washington -3 vs Brooklyn
I decided I am going to fade the Lakers. The Jazz are playing well, having swept two from Memphis, then just falling short against the Mavs in Dallas.
The Lakers.... are another team I should have been auto-fading. Don't be fooled by their recent wins over Denver and New Orleans. Lebron is coming off an illness where he didn't look right last time out, Anthony Davis' back is hurting, and he may not even play, and don't expect Westbrick to contribute consistently this year, no matter what his role. With Lebron and Davis at 100%, the team has a chance to win against tough opponents, but not with both of them feeling crappy enough to where they skipped the most recent shootaround.
Utah +140 at Lakers
Wizards down 8 but I'm not panicking because you can't underestimate how badly the Nets can fuck things up in the 3rd.