That idiot turned my +171 parlay into a straight bet -130 win. Turned my 3 team +277 into a 3 team +145 all over some two pointer he was idiotic to go for.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
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That idiot turned my +171 parlay into a straight bet -130 win. Turned my 3 team +277 into a 3 team +145 all over some two pointer he was idiotic to go for.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
I had Seahawks and Browns too. So much fail for both of these teams to not cover. Glad to know my perfect streak of being on the wrong end of 2 point conversion tries is intact. On the wrong end of 2 two point conversions in this game and don’t cover by 1 point.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I also doubled down on Lions 2nd half. So much fail. They went 0-6 on 4th down, almost all of them deep in Patriots territory.
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Oct 9 • 2022
Ticket ID: 505120
Point Spread: BAL Ravens -3.0
CIN Bengals @ BAL Ravens
Parlay (2 Picks)0 of 2 settled
Oct 9 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5051
Moneyline: SD Padres @ +125
SD Padres @ NY Mets
Moneyline: BAL Ravens @ -159
CIN Bengals @ BAL Ravens
Odds:
+267
I feel moderately strong on Ravens winning tonight. View the Padres-Mets as a flip. Could argue either side. Musgrove pitching better of late. Mets at home. Didn’t like the way Mets pitched looked against Braves when his team gave him a lead and he choked it away. Made me question if he’s ready for this.
Bet it because I like the value if they happen to be on right side of the flip.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
You/we got Verm’d.
Well, this wasn't a good day, nor was yesterday. 0-2. Both were over 50% to win at some point late in the game, so the picks themselves weren't awful, but it just didn't work out.
I was considering a few other picks and those would've gone 2-1: Atlanta +10 (win), New England -3.5 (easy win), Philadelphia -5.5 (loss)
But whatever.
I’m so irritated I didn’t bet the Ravens ML on non-parlay wager. Would have been a big night instead of slightly profitable.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Weird thing is when I go across border to bet game, it’s only a few minutes away, but in middle of nowhere. I struggle to get a signal. I have to pull into big school complex parking lot.
Yesterday morning I was sitting there and a state cop pulled in and pulled up next to me. I just rolled down the window and made a joke about increasing the PA tax base. He didn’t seem to grasp the whole betting app concept, but I said I’ll be out of here in a minute and he nodded. Typical bald douche cop type.
It’s not like school is in session. Not a soul around. So when I went back for evening games, I kind of knew I wanted the parlay but rushed the other bet and just took the -3 even though I’d normally bet the ML in a spot like that where I need the one team to win or both wagers are shot. I was thinking I don’t want to be the middle-aged white guy hanging around the school too much.
I do a lot of -2’s also, which would have been better and at least pushed.
I had a good weekend, but the two games I liked best, BYU in Vegas and the Ravens were highly disappointing. My just gut feel bets were dead on. At least the Ravens won for the parlay.
I have put BYU on the banned list. Their coach is not a smart man. Just horrible in game decision maker.
Considering it seemed a bad weekend for most, I guess I’ll take a moderate win. Just a few points from being a fantastic weekend .
Gonna sit today out. Not much opinion on tonight's game, either spread or total-wise.
GL to those who bet
I’m with all the other squares sitting on KC -7.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
These fucking zebras are ruining this league
https://twitter.com/nfl_memes/status...RWnmIhf69BcpVA
That was a great play to be totally ruined by the ridiculous penalty, basically illegal to tackle the QB….NFL is awful.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
These fucking retarded two point conversions are the absolute worst. They need to score and get 2 pointer. 2 pointer is a 50/50 shot even if they score. These guys have went full retard
Two point conversions that have no mathematical basis have cost me a thousand dollars this weekend
Yes it’s a joke going for 2 in that spot, I have parlay -7 O 51 1/2Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Well we need a miracle now. Someone to break one and not just get a few first downs. These guys with their two pointers make me laugh. Announcers agreeing with it, like there is 3 seconds left. Even if you make it, Mahomes is 90% to drive down the field and get in FG range.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4BETYes it’s a joke going for 2 in that spot, I have parlay -7 O 51 1/2Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
This one is landing on 1 just to make sure to fuck all the teasers also
Wtf. I have raiders +7.5. First they blow a 17 point lead. It is KC at home, so disappointing but not too surprising. But late in the 4th they score what would be the tying TD with 4 or so minutes left and they go for 2 and fail. What is going on here? How do these teams keep going for 2 in retarded spots and never get it?
This is like the 5th time in the last week this has happened. This is insane. The only time the team converted it cost me a cover (new orleans).
Seriously, what is McDaniel doing. Going for 2 there just seems like bad football. Especially considering the high unlikelihood they actually get it.
I would say closer to 20% chance of conversion. I am not even being facetious. No way 2 point conversions are close to 50% this year.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
The way this game is going KC punting at midfield seems like bad decision. What has Reid seen this game to make him assume they can get a stop here?m
Edit: NM. Lol raiders. Defensive Holding call in a 4th and 14 FG attempt and retarded 2 point attempt decides the game. Horrible.
Circling back to that defensive holding call on the FG attempt; I watch 10+ hours of football/weekend for 20 years and have never seen that call ever. Not one single fucking time. Maybe it is technically a rule, but I am sure whatever that guy did happens all the time, so seems like an interesting decision to call that penalty out of the blue in such a giant leverage spot.
Between the referees and the coaches, I really dont know what the fuck is going on anymore. I like to bet underdogs, but it is hard when these underdog coaches are calling such bizarre -EV plays all the time and refs are randomly causing huge EV shifts with capricious calls.
This trend in football of going for 2 when it makes no sense is really screwing us bettors, Think if LV kicks extra point game is 30-30 KC gets the ball back with 3-4 minutes left and likely drives the field for a touchdown. As played they get the ball with 1 point lead and kill the clock to screw everyone, Teasers and allQuote:
Originally Posted by BCRWell we need a miracle now. Someone to break one and not just get a few first downs. These guys with their two pointers make me laugh. Announcers agreeing with it, like there is 3 seconds left. Even if you make it, Mahomes is 90% to drive down the field and get in FG range.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4BET
ZOZO championship - Morrikawa +1600
You may have to take +1400 at this point. I’ll look around. Betonline opened him at 16 he quickly moved to 14. I was able to get a nickel on MGM & Cesars but they moved him shortly after I bet him. Ball striking was spot on in Presidents’s cup. Nerves are my concern. I think being in Japan will help him. He let me down last year but he’s still is one of the top iron players in the world. Putter is an issue, slower greens out there should help that a bit.
NFL is in panic mode because of the Tua fiasco honestly. Problem is its not even the NFLs fault what happened.. That blame squarely lies on the Dolphins and their idiot staff. I also have to wonder how much money was slipped to that so called independent Neuro who cleared him after the first hit who was fired by the NFLPA shortly there after.Quote:
Originally Posted by TexterThat was a great play to be totally ruined by the ridiculous penalty, basically illegal to tackle the QB….NFL is awful.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Quote:
Originally Posted by ftpjesusNFL is in panic mode because of the Tua fiasco honestly. Problem is its not even the NFLs fault what happened.. That blame squarely lies on the Dolphins and their idiot staff. I also have to wonder how much money was slipped to that so called independent Neuro who cleared him after the first hit who was fired by the NFLPA shortly there after.Quote:
Originally Posted by Texter
nah, this has been a work in progress. tua just exacerbated it.
Thank goodness Todd didn’t bet that or I might have tailed.Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendQuote:
Originally Posted by ftpjesus
nah, this has been a work in progress. tua just exacerbated it.
Obv didn’t watch but from what I’ve seen and heard this morning penalties were never so random at critical times. Obv the roughing the quarterback penalty lulz.
First it was PI’s which killed the game for me. College 15 yards is far better. Another - what constitutes a catch?
I’ve long joked that football will be 7 man Texas league. I get there are health concerns and I don’t want anyone shooting themselves in the head at 45 cause CTE. Doesn’t mean I want to watch the new RANDOM product though.
Betting NFL isn’t very appealing either. Just triggers self loathing. I cannot get over how Druff never bet or discussed football for the decade I followed him - then wakes up and goes something like 18-2. We need to check the cameras - something ain’t right.
In the NHL playoffs quite often they put the whistles away and let them go at it. It's why the playoffs are so exciting to watch.
The NFL used to be that exciting the whole year. It was a barbaric sport....
As I look at myself from 20,000 feet I notice I’ve drifted almost completely from NFL and now am passionate about the NHL as a fan. Last 3 years I watch almost every night and prior to that I never watched. Tennis is another sport I follow and wager where I didn’t previously.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Basketball I dropped a few years ago with the stupid new foul rules and 3 point nonsense. I used to even listen to the NBA on the damn radio when I was younger for crying out loud. I did love it once. (cause television wasn’t invented yet)
I am a guy who really does vote with his feet. I can snap drop stuff and never look back.
Mariners come out hot.
There may be something to the layoff extra day.
Astros spotted their opponent a lead all season though. Maddening if you bet them for sure. Nothing unusual.
So Cleveland and Padres? First to score?
Leafs first period -0.5 +130
Leafs ml/Colorado ml parlay -145
Kraken Ducks under 5.5 +104
Carolina/Columbus under 6.5 -115
Ovechkin > 3.5 shots -125
Welcome back me. Might as well start this motherfucker off with a 3 putt.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Washington vs. Chicago - Under 38
2-3. Leafs losing hurt and OV was 1 shot off of a great day.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
You can cancel Guardians Yankees but you can’t make me watch another awful Amazon Prime game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Interception props must be juiced and rightly so
Start radio early
I hate under 38s the same way I hate under 6.5s in MLB. Too easy to get fucked. Not enough wiggle room.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarYou can cancel Guardians Yankees but you can’t make me watch another awful Amazon Prime game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Interception props must be juiced and rightly so
Start radio early
But I couldn't resist this one because I just couldn't see these two teams putting up a lot of points, from everything I was looking at. So far, so good... into the mid-2nd with big zeroes.
Better just not to watch and check the updates.
12-7 final
:to
The fact you cant channel flip from Amazon Prime games to other sporting events on cable is a big problem. Going to be an especially big problem moving forward with NBA season, MLB playoffs and even college football. Even if it is a good game, unless I have a lot of money on it, I can't imagine bothering streaming the game on my main TV and locking into one thing. I guess I could stream from computer while watching other stuff on TV. But for a Bears/Redskins game I had no money on, didn't even have an interest to do that.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarYou can cancel Guardians Yankees but you can’t make me watch another awful Amazon Prime game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Interception props must be juiced and rightly so
Start radio early
I actually caught the last couple minutes of the game. Obvious PI on 3rd down against Pettis, but what can you do? Also, it was notable how subdued the whole affair was, at least in the 10 minutes I watched. Except for when they chanted "Bullshit" the crowd didn't really seem into it, even as their team was driving to win the game. Also Michaels and Herbstreet were pretty subdued. I guess a 12-7 game (following a 12-9 game last week) will do that to you. I had just flipped from the West Virginia/Baylor game, which went down to the wire and the crowd was REALLY into it, and the difference was very noticeable.
I haven't seen any data to back this up, but I feel NFL scoring has taken a huge jump backwards this year. Except for Seahawks games, the totals of all the games are in the low 40s and I dont want to bet any of them. I remember a couple years ago the totals were mostly in the high 40s/low 50s.
LOL.
This is INSANE. I have 2 bets tonight. Navy +12.5 for game and UTSA 2nd half -13.5.
Early in the 4th quarter UTSA is up by 4 touchdowns and scores to go up 2 TDS in the 2nd half, except they inexplicably go for 2 points up by 28 and dont get it. So now I am not covering by 0.5 points.
In the Navy game in the 3rd Q Navy cuts it to 13 at one point, and again they go for 2 and don't get it, making me not cover by 0.5 points. And late in the 4th It is looking very likely Navy is going to lose game by 13.
I am not exaggerating at all when I say teams I am backing are like 0-10 going for 2 this year. Most of the time it is in retarded spots, and half the time it has really cost me $$.
I am not going to lie. This is taking a lot of the fun out of it for me. It is not just the retarded going for 2, but the NEVER converting that really is a buzz kill. I am not joking when I say the conversion % overall (NFL and NCAAF) must be 20%, with the conversion % of teams I am backing much much much lower than that.
Edit: Looking EXTREMELY likely UTSA is going to win by exactly 13, so not converting a 2 pt conversion is going to cost me both bets. Insane. What a horrible way to start the weekend.
Jeff Bezos paid a Billion dollars for Thurs night football.Quote:
Originally Posted by KalamThe fact you cant channel flip from Amazon Prime games to other sporting events on cable is a big problem. Going to be an especially big problem moving forward with NBA season, MLB playoffs and even college football. Even if it is a good game, unless I have a lot of money on it, I can't imagine bothering streaming the game on my main TV and locking into one thing. I guess I could stream from computer while watching other stuff on TV. But for a Bears/Redskins game I had no money on, didn't even have an interest to do that.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I actually caught the last couple minutes of the game. Obvious PI on 3rd down against Pettis, but what can you do? Also, it was notable how subdued the whole affair was, at least in the 10 minutes I watched. Except for when they chanted "Bullshit" the crowd didn't really seem into it, even as their team was driving to win the game. Also Michaels and Herbstreet were pretty subdued. I guess a 12-7 game (following a 12-9 game last week) will do that to you. I had just flipped from the West Virginia/Baylor game, which went down to the wire and the crowd was REALLY into it, and the difference was very noticeable.
Prime started airing with the 2nd Thursday night game. In that 3 hour period Amazon had more Prime signups than at another other period in the history of the company.
Druff’s game ended halftime 0-0. I heard the last 45 drives to that point had yielded one single solitary touchdown.
Complete NFL degenerates.
Amazon Prime will be first to capture the holy grail of individual targeted ads utilizing their monstrous database of consumer purchases and search during LIVE PROGRAMMING!
Trying to shake off my 3-5-1 start to NCAA, and that Hail Mary which fucked my Stanford ML bet (and made my day a loser).
Here are two games I like tomorrow:
Utah -3.5 -108 vs USC
Florida State +170 vs. Clemson
I can’t recall a Saturday where I like almost nothing. I’m sure I’ll bet shit, but nothing heavy and all I have are leans. Think maybe Stanford again. A straight up team like Notre Dame plays into their style better. They’ll lose, but around 17 seems a bit high. That ND team is still not good. Can’t figure out why Kansas-Oklahoma game is moving towards Oklahoma beyond tradition. By all available data, Kansas is better and shouldn’t be moving towards 10.