How many of you had over 92.5 on the Lions game?
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How many of you had over 92.5 on the Lions game?
They tried to leave Wainwright in for 5 to get his milestone victory as a Cardinal, and he gave up 2 more. So Pirates go into bottom 5th ahead 6-5.
But they leave in awful Chase DeJong, and Yepez smashed a leadoff double. I'll be lucky to tie.
Got it.
Three razor thin victories to go 3-0 today.
:yes
From that same post @ BCRQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
This is Jansen closing that game. 12 pitches he’s loaded the bases and one out.
I am thrilled with Braves but I’m a realist.
Wow, nice job.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Everyone is cleaning up on NFL. A few other people I casually follow are near undefeated too. I am blind betting picks here and there but I just can’t get into football yet this year. So I have no feel.
Envy but happy with my lot too
Braves sweep Mets and lead by 2 in NL East I kept adding to my Braves position and now it matters a lot to me.
I had the under in Sunday night game and they hit the number in the first half. That is always a good feeling.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Had my worst week in a couple years. Went on tilt Saturday night and did a bunch of in game bets and lost ALL of them. Went 0-6 in game betting in Oregon and USC games, which was pretty much impossible, yet here we are.
I NEVER bet unders because I always lose when I bet unders (I dont know why, it just is what it is), but for some reason I also decided to test fate and bet 3 unders this weekend, and shock of all shocks went 0-3.
Quote:
Originally Posted by KalamI had the under in Sunday night game and they hit the number in the first half. That is always a good feeling.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Had my worst week in a couple years. Went on tilt Saturday night and did a bunch of in game bets and lost ALL of them. Went 0-6 in game betting in Oregon and USC games, which was pretty much impossible, yet here we are.
I NEVER bet unders because I always lose when I bet unders (I dont know why, it just is what it is), but for some reason I also decided to test fate and bet 3 unders this weekend, and shock of all shocks went 0-3.
:lol2
Let's finish the regular season in MLB with a bang... or perhaps a thud.
Third-to-last day picks:
Baltimore (Kremer) +108 vs Toronto (Berrios)
Philadelphia (Nola) +105 at Houston (McCullers)
Oakland (A. Martinez) +150 vs Angeles (P. Sandoval)
I've been teetering on the brink for awhile about this Monday Night Football pick, but I'm finally doing it.
San Francisco -2 vs Rams
17-2-1 in the NFL now
Unfortunately I need the horrendous A's to come back from 2-0 (seems like a monumental task).
Baltimore got crushed. Phillies had a perfecto going in the 7th, but are still up 3-0 in the 9th with 2 out. In all likelihood, I go 1-2 in MLB today.
Angels blew 4-0 8th inning lead against the awful A's.
2 in 8th, 2 in 9th, A's leave bases loaded.
A's win it in the 10th.
Angels fail finally benefits me.
Nice day overall, as this was a +150.
13 mph wind blowing directly in
Boston (Eovaldi) vs Tampa (Springs) - under 7.5 -120
Single @
-109
Won
Oct 3 • 2022
Ticket ID: 502
Point Spread: SF 49ers -2
Single @
-125
Won
Oct 3 • 2022
Ticket ID: 50270
Moneyline: SF 49ers
LA Rams @ SF 49ers
I hit that Niners game also. My book had it weirdly at 3 when I played ML. Then it dropped to -2 and I bet it again.
Have Guardians tonight. Quantril has been good to me. Hate laying the 1.5 at home, but it’s worked out most nights
Single @
+130
Open
Oct 4 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5030731
Run Line: CLE Guardians -1.5
KC Royals @ CLE Guardians
It’s like a revival - of stupidity wagering
What’s I Say
https://youtu.be/pVwIMNkTPSc
Congrats on your Braves division bet San! Have to say Kenley hasn’t given me nearly as many heart palpitations lately. He seems to have found something. That said I still don’t trust him at all; and absolutely hate the fact that anyone that reaches first gets an automatic free pass to second.
Game called after 5 due to rain with score 6-0Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
How good does this man run?
Yes I bet the Astros in the Phillies tankapalooza game as mentioned in the MLB thread today and I’m still nervous up 8-0 5th. Apathy is a dangerous thing
I’ve decided to come out. I will not be teaser shamed
Yes I bet a 3-team teaser to bink 49’ers. +128. In fact, I feel pity for Druff and BCR. My advanced wagering saved me in the Green Bay game when lesser wagers hit the ground
I ran better than you think.
Not only was my under highly likely to lose, and then called after 5, but this was not a legit rain storm. It was some lol showers likely to clear in a few more minutes.
I thought only west coast people are pussies about the weather?
Bizarre, but I'll take the cancelled bet!
I would have been bitching if this happened one inning earlier, when it was 1-0 through 4.
This is the first time in history that a rain shortened game helped me, so I was due. I always seem to get fucked by it when it happens.
Too bad the rest if this didnt work out, but the J-Rod ROY is going to pay some bills.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Had Burnes most K’s which he will end up in second place which is mildly annoying considering i had him 15-1
daly shouldnt you be fighting off alligators at your window right now
like eyeball to eyeball with a crocodile at this moment fuck are you doing here messing with the load metrics dale
Jays/Orioles over 7.5 +100 in the first game of a double header.
Mitch White starting for the Jays. 3,3,3,5,6,7. Amount of runs given up in the past 6 games.
Lineup isn't out yet Jays could be resting some bats but I still feel with the starting pitchers we could easily get 5-6 runs in the first 3 innings.
Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Richards may be starting line down to 7 now. I added more for over 7 and am stopping now.
Send in the clowns - I mean bullpensQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdogQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Richards may be starting line down to 7 now. I added more for over 7 and am stopping now.
Nice hand sir.
Mitch White did not start, but he did not disappoint.
4 innings, 7 hits, 5 ER
NL East champ Braves get a break after this bullpen game where they are dogs against this awful Miami sometimes starter.
Atlanta +108 (J. Stephens) at Miami (E. Hernandez)
Single @
+120
Open
Oct 5 • 2022
Ticket ID: 50346
Moneyline: SMU
SMU @ UCF
Single @
-117
Open
Oct 5 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5034654
Point Spread: SMU +3.0
SMU @ UCF
Atlanta kept teasing me. They go down 3-0, get ahead 4-3, then fall behind 5-4, then up 6-5, and then they shit the bed and never come back. But they still ended up with 9 runs, yet lost the game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Oh well. I was right that Hernandez was going to be crap, I just didn't expect the Atlanta bullpen was going to be so horrendous.
:fail2
Stupidity doesn’t wait til the last minute.
Cleveland Guardians -116 nice price. Thought it would be -130 or more. Difference is a couple extra one topping pizzas if I win
Bieber vs Tampa Bay McClanahan
I think McClanahan might be hurt. Every pitcher has wear and tear at this point but something is off with Shane. His last few outings don’t inspire confidence either
Gonna be a fun series. On paper two similar teams but I don’t really think they are that close.
Thinking of taking Mariners adjusted series price after game #1 vs Jays. Honestly, I haven’t watched the Jays during their blackout period (banned). Manoah an animal so that should be a Jays win…. I’m trying real hard to give my Jays relationship another chance but I have trust issues.
Cards big time over Phillies but no action yet.
Mets are unbettable at that price.
Indy at Denver - Under 42
Fell asleep in my chair. Missed nothing. Boring is a good thing.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Any wildcard thoughts Druff?
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarFell asleep in my chair. Missed nothing. Boring is a good thing.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Any wildcard thoughts Druff?
I hate the lack of home games for the lower seed wildcard teams. Super dumb.
I have nothing for today. I think these might be hard to handicap because the format is new, and a 3-game series with the lower seed being on the road for all 3 games is unprecedented.
Might just sit out this first round, and concentrate on keeping my inexplicable 18-2-1 NFL record in good shape.
Game 1 Jays moneyline.
Verm, where we at son?
I'll post them later. Meanwhile I have Houston +3 and Over 57.5.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Houston is down 19-29 halfway though the 4th, and they have missed twice on 2 point conversions, missed a 21 yard FG, and had another possession that was first and Goal from the 4 where they got stuffed on the goal line. It is amazing I am likely to go 0-2 in this game.
It is definitely a thing that college coaches have fallen in love going for 2 (because it is theoretically +EV), but they neglect the part where they need to actually draw up a non shit play that has a chance of converting. Over and over and over I see these teams go for 2 when they dont really need to, and the play sucks (normally a fade where the QB throws it out of the end zone) that never has a chance from the snap.
Houston scores 2 TDs in the last 2 minutes of the game. Easy Peasy.Quote:
Originally Posted by KalamI'll post them later. Meanwhile I have Houston +3 and Over 57.5.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Houston is down 19-29 halfway though the 4th, and they have missed twice on 2 point conversions, missed a 21 yard FG, and had another possession that was first and Goal from the 4 where they got stuffed on the goal line. It is amazing I am likely to go 0-2 in this game.
It is definitely a thing that college coaches have fallen in love going for 2 (because it is theoretically +EV), but they neglect the part where they need to actually draw up a non shit play that has a chance of converting. Over and over and over I see these teams go for 2 when they dont really need to, and the play sucks (normally a fade where the QB throws it out of the end zone) that never has a chance from the snap.
FWIW I also took UNLV +6.5, and that game is looking like a blow out the wrong way, but 2-1 better than the 0-3 night I was staring at 10 minutes ago.
I have you beat kalam.
This is when you’re running like God. Over 57.5 in Memphis-Houston game. Houston gets stopped on two separate drives with 1st and 10 inside 5. 0 points. Miss a FG from 6 yard line.
After 3 quarters, I’m sitting at 27 points. I need 31 4th quarter points to win. Miracles occur. 100 yard kickoff returns. With 1 minute left, they score TD, kick the xp, and I’ve covered the miracle over 57.5 with 32-26 score.
Single @
-114
Won
Oct 7 • 2022
Ticket ID: 504190
Total Points: Over 57.5
Houston @ Memphis
HOU 0 7 0 26 33
MEM 14 3 3 12 32
But wait. I have an over 64.5 for +188. Onside kick. Houston recovers. Drives the field and scores with seconds left and kicks XP.
33-32 final, 38 fourth quarter points, and I cover the over 64.5 also by .5 now.
Single @
+188
Won
Oct 7 • 2022
Ticket ID: 504192
Total Points: Over 64.5
Houston @ Memphis
I probably won't have a lot of picks for this Sunday, but take a gander at the Seahawks/Saints situation.
The 1-3 Saints are almost 0-4 this year (they squeaked by the Falcons by 1 point in the season opener), and are one of the NFL's bigger disappointments thus far. QB Jameis Winston is almost certain to miss the game again this week, and while Andy Dalton did a decent job during last week's loss to Minnesota, I can easily see the Saints losing this one outright.
I'm leaning toward a Seattle moneyline bet. They might not score 48 like last week, but I think they might take it.
Also looking at Browns moneyline. I've thought from the start of the season that the Chargers were overrated, and indeed their only 2 wins have come against the not-so-good Raiders and awful Texans. (To be fair, the Browns competition hasn't been particularly good thus far, either.)
A lot of ploppies are going to fire on the Chargers here, because they are perceived to be the far superior team, and the line is only -2.5 for LA right now. Looks like a trap to me. Browns have looked better than expected overall, given that they were left for dead by many after Deshaun Watson's suspension.
Single @
-113
Open
Oct 7 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5041911
Moneyline: CLE Guardians
TB Rays @ CLE Guardians
Up for breakfast at Progressive Field or whatever the fuck it’s called now.it will always be the Jake to me. Fucking woke corporatist overlords. The ultimate small market matchup was sure to end up with a noon start.
Really happy I opted for the club seats over my normal behind the dugout seats. I figured it may be cold and it’s looking to be around 48 degrees at gametime. My proximity to a private bar where I can get another shot to warm up trumping my need to be close is a tier 1 over 50 old man symptom.
Added more on Tribe and all my action for today. Have a good chunk on Cleveland and a lot on BYU. Really expect them to win that game.
I laid off betting against the fake Jays because I once again won’t have the option to live react as I’ll go across street to watch Buckeyes and Robbie Ray’s recent form doesn’t make me comfortable to just bet straight up.
Single @
+135
Open
Oct 8 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5043068374
Moneyline: BYU
BYU @ Notre Dame
Single @
-114
Open
Oct 8 • 2022
Ticket ID: 504306
Point Spread: BYU +4.0
BYU @ Notre Dame
Single @
-109
Open
Oct 8 • 2022
Ticket ID: 50430
Point Spread: Ohio State -27.0
Ohio State @ Michigan State
Single @
-112
Open
Oct 8 • 2022
Ticket ID: 504307
Moneyline: CLE Guardians
TB Rays @ CLE Guardians
Enjoy the game. You've really done well on your Tribe bets at the end of the season.
Decided I'm firing both NFL picks I talked about. Lines degraded a little since I posted. Should've just bet them then. Oh well.
Cleveland +110 vs Chargers (+2 ok)
Seattle +190 vs New Orleans (+5 ok)