Thanks for those plays, Sanlmar.
Here's one more, starting very shortly:
Baltimore (Wells) +130 vs. Yankees (Taillon)
Note that Taillon has given up 5-6 ER in 3 of his last 5 starts.
Printable View
Thanks for those plays, Sanlmar.
Here's one more, starting very shortly:
Baltimore (Wells) +130 vs. Yankees (Taillon)
Note that Taillon has given up 5-6 ER in 3 of his last 5 starts.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
“Might see 8 or better”
Really become a fucking nightmare year for me with my picks playing well tee to green. Putts just missing and eventually the rest of the game suffers. This shit with Nelly now I’m pretty close to be over with it tbh. How somehow she is only 10 under is pretty mind boggling but par for the course for me this year.
Hang in there, it's not over yet. If she can get within 3 or 4 shots by the end of today, tomorrow could still be competitive. Depends on whether Brooke Henderson comes back a bit or at least slows down. A lot of players to pass but no one else in the top 10 right now other than Henderson and maybe SY Kim and Alison Lee should be of too much concern.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
She said she’s having a hard time sleeping and jet lag is killing her.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
I’d gladly volunteer to help her with her sleeping issues.
Four months ago, UFC at the O2 in London was a UK-fighter winfest, super hyped up crowd, so UFC snap "sheduled" another -- UFC London, which starts in less than 2 hours. The market is expecting a repeat performance but I don't believe the UK hype! Surely the "hometown" fighters have some advantages vs. the jetlagged fighters getting booed by the drunken masses, but I think there are some significant underdogs on this card worth betting. Here's what I got...
Mandy Bohm -115, 1 unit vs. decent German fighter mediocre American Victoria Leonardo
Charles Johnson +400, .5 unit vs. largely-untested Dagestan Russian Muhammed Mokaev who makes his home in the UK
Charles Rosa +450, .5 unit vs. English favorite Nathaniel Wood
Paul Craig +130, 1 unit, Scottish underdog who hits hard and is a definite grappling threat
Hanna Goldy +360, .5 unit, solid American striker vs. overhyped Liverpool Molly "Meatball" McCann
Jordan Leavitt +210, .5 unit, American wrestler/grappler vs. Liverpool "sensation" Paddy "the Baddy" Pimblett
Curtis Blaydes +130, 1 unit vs. UK headliner Tom Aspinall
last minute just added...
Jack Hermansson -105, 1 unit, solid Scandi fighter who gets beat only by top competition vs. short-notice good American (who fought recently) Chris Curtis
Going to be a lot of happy bookies this week. Todays MLB was a bloodbath. Saw a lot of “free money” type tweets on favorites which completely shit the bed at -300 prices.
Adding Auburn over 6 and Louisville over 6.5 to my season long totals.
If you can find a Virginia under 7.5 that’s at -160 or better that’s a bet. It’s probably a bet up to -300 becuase I don’t see that team getting to 8 wins but things can and will go wrong from time to time.
Yep. I bet against Cleveland tonight because they simply can’t beat the Red Sox. Lost 9/10 by a combined score of 95-30, no problem, Cleveland is coming to town.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I had a free parlay bet so I threw the Astros, Brewers, and Dodgers all -1.5. All three lost outright. All were -200 to -320.
I think this is the week that Patrick Cantlay reminds us that he’s a top 10 golfer.
I’m not messing about with anyone else this week - Patrick at +1100
(Ok I put break even money on Finau as a backup)
Massachusetts passed their sports wagering bill last night at the deadline. We had a good run.
Remarkably, Mass legislators opted for the lower tax rate. Stuns this cynic. False economy but props
Some claim bets will be accepted by the start of NFL so there is evidence that the requisite retahd element involved in legalized wagering is present.
I will yield farm bonuses and likely take up chess
It is claimed by some that Boston based DraftKings is the 3rd largest employer by some measure or another. That once legalized wagering gets rolling DK will be the #1 employer.
Gross.
FYP
It is claimed by some that Boston based DraftKings is the 3rd largest employer by some measure or another. That once legalized wagering gets rolling DK will be the #1 Massachusetts employer.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Both state street and Fidelity have a lot of people as well (but not as many as 15 years ago).
Financial services might be 10th on the list. Fidelity is still a thing. Lotta changes.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Both state street and Fidelity have a lot of people as well (but not as many as 15 years ago).
You ever heard a California Prop 26 (sport wagering) ad? In pursuit of my doctorate in “Dodgers fail” I hear these local ads. The promises to save the wales, transgender homeless, Indians and every single special interest conceivable is unbelievable. I don’t think I ever heard a single Mass sports wagering ad.
Licenses in Mass will be $5m. I understand California licenses will be $100m. Yes, I have the proper number of zeros.
There is no conceivable way you can offer anything remotely playable if the companies are behind $400m before the first ticket is written and every special interest is getting a taste.
Light regulation
Too bad she didn’t take you up on it. Was cruel how she had it to -14 at the turn and just totally shit bed on the back. Jerry Foltz was the only tolerable part of the LPGA broadcasts and he has defected to LIV. I remember him asking Lydia about getting physio work a few weeks ago in the last round and she told him it was her time of the month and she was cramping.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyShe said she’s having a hard time sleeping and jet lag is killing her.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
I’d gladly volunteer to help her with her sleeping issues.
When Nelly talked about he jet lag it just not something you want to hear about from the golfer you have a lot of coin on. You want them to block all that stuff out. You know their human and don’t feel well some days like the rest of us, but when you have a few g birds on them it just is so titling to hear.
Anyways Lydia shit the bed at the Scottish last week. Two 7 under bogey free rounds on Thursday and Friday and then a struggle to shoot par over the weekend. I’m shipping on Nelly. She took off last week and you can get her +1200 in the right places. This is a bet I had to make. Only decision is how much I pile.
PGA I like Zalatoris +1600. I’m fucking way overdue. Nelly and Will would make a beautiful couple come Sunday. Using my one time.
Live semi-long shot would be Joohyung Kim 35-1. Guy is trending really well. Took him in a matchup Sunday (Something I am focusing more on) and he won that by 7 strokes. Gonna put a saver bet on him for the week. Not gonna pile.
Worried a bit about Billy Horschel but price sucks. If he plays as well as he talks about how well he plays gonna have to fade.
Spreading it out over Lowry, Poston, SW Kim and Simpson.
Oh, it on
Sportsbooks Retaliate with New Ad Attacking Rich California Tribes
In a press release issued Tuesday by a coalition opposing California Proposition 27, members called the latest ad — funded by major out-state-sportsbooks — "despicable" and "shameful."
Oh yeah…. For the three or so weeks where sports was up in the air in Florida the commercials got down right comical. Both sides even hired people on the ground to walk around at malls and other public places to hand out flyers. The war on public opinion is fucking comical if you understand the players involved.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Ultimately it was the greedy out of state corporate assholes vs the greedy selfish Indians. Everyone is greedy except the side you want to win, they aren’t greedy at all. They are either for the children that the revenues will bring or for in state local interests to keep the money local.
Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyOh yeah…. For the three or so weeks where sports was up in the air in Florida the commercials got down right comical. Both sides even hired people on the ground to walk around at malls and other public places to hand out flyers. The war on public opinion is fucking comical if you understand the players involved.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Ultimately it was the greedy out of state corporate assholes vs the greedy selfish Indians. Everyone is greedy except the side you want to win, they aren’t greedy at all. They are either for the children that the revenues will bring or for in state local interests to keep the money local.
I swear I never heard a single ad for Massachusetts sports wagering. The other guys can bear witness.
This despite New England being the hottest sports talk market in the country by a huge margin.
On a side note. New Hampshire is legal and has been for quite a while. I predict the books will shutter their operation.
Guy with a man purse filled with perfect 5 K wrappers at Borgata just fired 36K worth of golf matchups. He put 10 K on Henley over Horschel. All I know is he does this a lot and it may just be a good number at Henley +115 or he may have heard Billy is not feeling well. Either way he was trying to bet 20K on that one. Was able to get 10 in.
Typically would say this is 99.9% a good number bet. But trying to get 20K on a golf matchup makes me think it's possible Billy may have the shits or something.
I can’t figure out why the love for Billy this weekend…… but lot of people doQuote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
By the numbers the fellas think it’s a virtual coin flip between them with a slight lean towards Billy, so at +115 it’s a good price. I see +104
Since this thread has been kind of quiet, got me some Alison Lee at 90:1 at the womens British open.
She’s definitely a long shot but should be closer to 30:1 imo.
She’s been playing well, has a LET win last year, got 5th place last week and should have done better + the weather this weekend appears to be mild.
Most likely will never see my $$ again n this one but gives me a good reason to go into the office very early the next 4 days
I see why I never bet Zalotoris outright. These putts don’t even have a chance.
Let’s try not to go bankrupt on night 1 of NFL but most of the Jax starters aren’t playing tonight…..
I got some bets in on the raiders
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
For those that care Auburn Over 6 -120ish has quickly become this upcoming seasons “main play” for me. I’ve got it maxed at every out I got.
Most likely scenario in my mind is they start 5-0. If that happens (or even 4-1) that opens up a lot of other bets that can be made. Figure the play Georgia in week 6 you can fire a ML bet on Georgia knowing that you are covered if auburn pulls a big upset, as an example of the “bets on bets”
Let's jump back into some MLB.
Battle of NL East titans.
Atlanta (I. Anderson) +120 at NY Mets (T. Walker)
I’m a fucking idiot. 4-1 co-favorite going into the weekend and I decide to pile on Nelly. Just foolish of me really. I need him to win to save my weekend though. I wish I bet more but I need to see my good plays actually finish the job. Really soon.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Minjee Lee is playing great tee to green. She got the shit draw with Nelly and J Ko (Not that it mattered for them). If Minjee makes a few putts she has a good shot. I think 7-1 is more than fair. Remember Chun really did collapse down the stretch in the PGA but Lexi collapsed even worse. Given how tough the back nine is I really don’t mind Minjee’s position going into the weekend.
BTW the sharp I saw bet 10 K Henley over Horshel is in good shape. Again, I should of fucking piled. Never seen a guy trying to bet 20 K Matchups at the window like that. Obviously just didn’t wake up and decide to do that. Henley figured to be contending for the win on Sunday.
Atlanta had an 8-0 lead in the top of the 2nd with nobody out.
Now it's 8-5 in the 7th. Mets actually had tying run at the plate in the 6th, but didn't score.
If I lose this one, it will be horrendous.
We have officially hit the part of the story when you manage to get someone to get you an account and the book is telling the guy “this guy better not be sharp…. Tell him I’m going to watch him like a hawk and better not be that sharp shit”….. so you send in the chalkiest three team -EV parlay you can muster and 1-2 other heave chalk first five bets and manage to scoop them all….
And the guys pissed because they were sharp parlays.
Yup folks….. we got “sharp parlays” being called out
Very last minute:
Texas (Dunning) +105 vs Chicago (Kopech)
Another last minute... fading former Dodger Mitch White:
Minnesota (Bundy) +100 vs Toronto (White)
Rangers up 7-0 late, so that one is pretty much done.
Twins up 4-2, so if that one holds, it will be my third in a row.
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeI’m a fucking idiot. 4-1 co-favorite going into the weekend and I decide to pile on Nelly. Just foolish of me really. I need him to win to save my weekend though. I wish I bet more but I need to see my good plays actually finish the job. Really soon.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Minjee Lee is playing great tee to green. She got the shit draw with Nelly and J Ko (Not that it mattered for them). If Minjee makes a few putts she has a good shot. I think 7-1 is more than fair. Remember Chun really did collapse down the stretch in the PGA but Lexi collapsed even worse. Given how tough the back nine is I really don’t mind Minjee’s position going into the weekend.
BTW the sharp I saw bet 10 K Henley over Horshel is in good shape. Again, I should of fucking piled. Never seen a guy trying to bet 20 K Matchups at the window like that. Obviously just didn’t wake up and decide to do that. Henley figured to be contending for the win on Sunday.
Bag man knew what he was doing….. should have got his phone number.
None of the syndicate golf plays had this in it that i was aware of, so maybe the guy is independent
Yea I hate myself today. The amount I put on J Kim is just disgraceful. I over thought it. Yes it was the best putting final round I’ve seen in years, but it was a hollow victory for me. The Henley matchup I just dropped the ball. Supposed to take the rubber band off the bankroll when I see something like that. This should of been a winning weekend. I just about broke even. No one to blame but myself. Think the heat fried my fucking brain.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
The LPGA & Euro Tour outrights have been unbeatable pre-tournament for the most part all year long. PGA has had some opportunities as of late and I have failed to really capitalize on them. Every fucking putt I saw from Minjee in the telecast came up short. Surprised she didn’t get more aggressive over the weekend. Fuck it.
Last minute:
Baltimore (Lyles) +115 vs. Toronto (Kikuchi)
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeYea I hate myself today. The amount I put on J Kim is just disgraceful. I over thought it. Yes it was the best putting final round I’ve seen in years, but it was a hollow victory for me. The Henley matchup I just dropped the ball. Supposed to take the rubber band off the bankroll when I see something like that. This should of been a winning weekend. I just about broke even. No one to blame but myself. Think the heat fried my fucking brain.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
The LPGA & Euro Tour outrights have been unbeatable pre-tournament for the most part all year long. PGA has had some opportunities as of late and I have failed to really capitalize on them. Every fucking putt I saw from Minjee in the telecast came up short. Surprised she didn’t get more aggressive over the weekend. Fuck it.
Don’t have to remind you jeff that betting golf is different than other sports. It’s about winning as much in a weekend that most other sports make in a season. It’s boom or bust.
Keep your finger on the pulse.
That said i have no idea what im doing this weekend. I know I’ll have small amounts on Finau to repeat.
6-2 in the 8th, you'd think it's little sweat. But this is the Orioles, and they almost blew it in the 8th, and now it's 7-4 in the 9th with 2 runs on nobody out for Toronto.
Never easy.
Power of negative thinking.
Within a minute of my post, it went from 0 outs to 3 outs. Strikeout and DP.
4th win in a row for me.
:yes
Excellent work.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Plus money Orioles was your best pick. Toronto (banned list) just keeps taking public money and Orioles are so profitable as a rule. What do folks see in the Jays?
Sweet money