Jays -140ish or -1.5 +120Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Congrats to the Lightning. Back to back champs make the Finals again.
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Jays -140ish or -1.5 +120Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Congrats to the Lightning. Back to back champs make the Finals again.
The Jays are absolutely untrustworthy chalk, Simp.
I took a shot at big profit and got savaged. Worst day all year.
Two of the three underdog bets didn’t come thru. Down 0.74 unitsQuote:
Originally Posted by Sandwich
I didn’t trust morenos first game behind the plate.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarThe Jays are absolutely untrustworthy chalk, Simp.
I took a shot at big profit and got savaged. Worst day all year.
He caught stripling on Thursday for a practice session
Flawless.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogJays -140ish or -1.5 +120 win either wayQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Congrats to the Lightning. Back to back champs make the Finals again.
Me too.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I didn’t want you to think there were no more heroes left in America Simp. 3-0 today. The Mets loss was a late game from yesterday and I took my L then.
I’ll have to look into your Rita Moreno excuse. In the meantime I have shunned the Jays. I have been burned by them too many times when they were called upon to perform service as chalk parlay fillers. Yankees baby.
I haven’t been fading the Dodgers anymore. Not even Kershaw yesterday. The thrill is gone. I think the ploppies have capitulated on the idea that they are the greatest team ever assembled in history.
Dodgers fail was a exclusive summer tradition and now everyone is sharing something that was very private and special.
Remember Mike Minor. Fade him.
Merrill Kelly is one of the most predictable pitchers in baseball this year. Aside from a disasterous start on May 17th against the Dodgers (8 ER, 2 innings), he has allowed 3 ER or fewer in every start since April 20. Most of his starts see 3 runs allowed and 5-7 IP. Not the guy you want on the mound in a pitcher's duel, but a guy you're happy to have going for you if the opposing pitcher sucks ass.
Well, today the opposing pitcher sucks ass. Mike Minor shouldn't be in MLB anymore, and probably won't be rather soon.
Rather than worry about the bullpens and their follies, just go for a first-5 bet. High chance Kelly will pitch all 5 of those innings, and Minor will be knocked out already.
Arizona (M. Kelly) -0.5 runs -105 vs. Cincinnati (Minor) FIRST 5 INNINGS
Hard to pick anyone from the top of the market this week. Don’t think anyone stands out at the 10-20 to 1 price point.
I’ve got shares of smith and Zal from a while back in the 30’s which I’m glad to hold.
I got some Cameron Young at 70 which at that number I wish I had more of.
The three players who have been in great form for most of the year who “are ready” to win a US Open are Fitzgerald, Lowry and Niemann. All are priced right
Bankroll booster Jays -1.5 -140
Me and every other human taking the home time on the run line cause we like breaking rules. -1.5 Jays -140
Marlins team total over 3.5 -110
Marlins +112
Thinking about Mariners but I shouldn’t
I need the Warriors to overachieve
This brings me great joy and I’m a Bostonian.
Dave could offer a package deal. Your writing. Druff’s talking.
But instead he wasted 30k
This was just brutal.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
4-1 Arizona in the 5th. Brandon Drury pops off a 3-run HR and ties the game 4-4. Arizona doesn't score in bottom 5th, and I take the super hard luck loss on this bet.
Arizona lost the game 5-4, but that wasn't relevant to my bet.
Tough loss Druff.
San are you hedging now on Warriors or letting it ride? I'm riding but it's for a mountain bike not a used car.
Boston's defense is great, but the Warriors offense is legendary.
Curry - 0/9 from three. Awful shooting game
Klay - medium game.
Draymond - decent game on defense but atrocious offense + got 6 fouls
Wiggins - carried the team. Great offense and defense (12 defensive rebounds)
Poole - 14 pts in 14 mins
GP 2 - 15 pts in 26 mins.
That last game was so retarded I just have to believe every the series is a total flip. You know all the stats as well as I do.
I have to lock in some profit with Boston favored tonight yet Boston +290 series. I have Warriors +600. I’ll leave most of the Warriors out there just for a degenerate gamble.
Scott Foster “The Extender” tonight & pretty good tv ratings? They ain’t cutting the season short. This is a 7 game coin flip.
Good call Jays. Examine the MLB streaks some time today. I tried to get cute with Marlins and it really wasn’t wrong but I didn’t need to flip coins last night.
Good card tonight. I’m insta avoiding Kikuchi tonight tho, right? Obv on Dodgers with their ace vs Thor on the road. It’s a pretty simple night. Fried vs the last minute Nationals pitching change. Parlay piece. Fried doesn’t have good #’s vs Nats but that was a different Nats. Will look deeper later
Well done, sir. Having both sides of the series at +600 and +290 is massive. Congrats on locking in a futures win.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Here’s a Jays idea. Modesty forbids expounding on it.
Baltimore Orioles/Toronto Blue Jays over 5 -120 for 1st 5 Innings
I had a tough time choosing a font that was deserving of such a wager. Bold just doesn’t do it justice.
Everything else is obvious and a question of packaging.
Dodgers/Giants/Yankees/Braves/Red Sox
How about a Druff-style Reds F5 -110?
I just saw the CAD was $1.29 ….. that surprised me. Gotta think the DeSantis Disney Dream vacation is out again this year.
What do you think of David Portnoy as a running mate? One of those, “why didn’t I think of that”, right?
Gonna look at hockey but I know I’ll choose poorly.
I heard a great idea
DeChambeau & Mickelson are gonna get heckled mercilessly in Boston. Should fade them in a heads up match. I know shit about golf
Swear I saw mickelson this morning. Not listed now.
Another bet on Ari/Cin.
Tyler Mahle is starting to get right. Three straight strong starts. Zach Davies has had two straight good starts. They face each other tonight.
Cincinnati (Mahle) at Arizona (Davies) - Under 9 -120
Don't wanna jinx it, but a 0-0 score midgame is good for an under, right?
What a stiff
0-0 game after 9.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Almost lost. Took 12 innings, and because of that idiotic runner on 2nd shit, this ended up a big sweat. Final score 5-3.
If I lost this, that would have been one of the worst beats I've taken in a long time. Close as it gets.
Wow, that was a crazy one. Since your handicap was based on strength of starting pitching, did you consider betting 1st 5 Innings Under 4.5 runs? I saw it at +100 pregame on Fanduel.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff0-0 game after 9.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Almost lost. Took 12 innings, and because of that idiotic runner on 2nd shit, this ended up a big sweat. Final score 5-3.
If I lost this, that would have been one of the worst beats I've taken in a long time. Close as it gets.
Favorites and streaks - incredible nightQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Miles Mikolas 1 strike away from a no hitter feeling like Druff on a bad beat.
Good call on Jays over (I tailed). Good fade on Kikuchi
Today we're back on Jays -1.5 -140.
GriffyBets twitter
This could make me look really foolish but I'm taking under 6 -105 for NHL.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Vasilevsky is god when he wants to be.
Kuemper is in the starter's net so I can only assume he's good to go.
G2G but rusty? I’m leaning over 6 but I have nothing but a guess. I’ll catch it live. My Ouija board says GIFT but I lack courage. I’ve been off NHL lately.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogThis could make me look really foolish but I'm taking under 6 -105 for NHL.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Vasilevsky is god when he wants to be.
Kuemper is in the starter's net so I can only assume he's good to go.
Half unit day. I’m not confident in this slate. Yesterday was Christmas and I’m not returning my gifts.
I like this Cubs rookie kid. Fuck the wind.
I’m even fading the best team in baseball, NYY (Tampa F5 +.5) Hopefully 0-0 after 5. I have vivid dreams
Added a little Fleetwood and Finau becsuse I hate $$Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Bullpen issues for Jays
Should have went over 6 with San due to rust. Will try again one more time but I think under 6 is the play
Wind blowing out in Cincy today.
Hunter Greene has allowed 15 HR in 60 IP, and Eric Lauer has allowed 11 HR in 61 IP.
Milwaukee (Lauer) at Cincinnati (Greene) - OVER 9.5 -115
A year ago we perused the Heisman trophy board and uncovered CJ Stroud. Simply put he was one of 5-6 QB who played for a team that could make the playoffs which also had 2 first round (WR and as it turned out another one #3 on the depth chart). He was available widely at 30-1 and the early buyers got as high as 40-1.
We had two legitimate cracks to put the nail in the coffin and land a mid five figure prize in the final two weeks of the season. Final week of the season a win over Michigan would have sent him from -250 to -99999 to win the award but Michigan wouldn’t have it. It was widely speculated that stroud was still the favorite over eventual winner over Eventual winner Bryce young but Alabama would have to lose in the iron bowl. Late in the 4Q auburn RB Tank Bigsby could have gone down in bounds after picking up a first down which would have allowed them to run out the clock…… stroud was -400 on the love line at Draftkings……. And the rest was a disaster which saw Bama win the game and my +4000 bet go up in flames.
Close doesn’t pay……. But I stand by the play.
This season I have another conviction play. I’d say it’s not as strong as last years but I like it enough to bet it strong.
*** dinner time be back later tonight to finish ***
Sheffler seems to be the best value of the big names in contention at +750. This is what I have seen but he has left a lot of strokes out there and he performed best out of those in the worst part of the draw. The wind really died down this afternoon and the projected cut even moved from +4 to close at +3. Rahm/Morikawa/Rory all had a much easier golf course this afternoon.
Considering he was 14-1 or 15-1 before the tournament, plus +750 is I think an acceptable price. That being said, the board is full of great players all stacked together closely. So this is thin. But I’m not forcing it. I like his chances.
As predicted, game had 6 HR.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
However most were solo, and I lose. Final score 5-4. Awful.
Can’t say I disagree.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
I bet one of Burns or Fitz will be there Sunday afternoon as well.
I was able to attend Thursday - my first major - great time.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
William Anderson Jr +4000 Edge Alabama
“BuT HeS a DeFeNSIVe PlAyEr”
Let’s start off by saying it would be a absolute certainty that if he came out this year he would have gone #1 and it wouldn’t have been one of these last minute draft day surprises. He absolutely destroyed teams last year. Led the nation with 17.5 sacks. He finished fifth place in the Hiesman last year when his QB won the award. There were many saying he should have at the min been invited to NY. Yes Hutchinson EDGE Michigan finished second for the award ahead of Anderson last year. There were many who felt it was a nod to the overall Michigan year as a whole and that it was Anderson who was the best defensive player in the game.
It’s been parroted many times over the past few years that if the best defensive player X in any given year has zero chance to win the award then WTF are we even bothering….. the voting has caught up to this concept and put two very worth players in the top 5.
“Anderson was so dominant in Alabama’s spring game in April against a makeshift offensive front limited by injuries that head coach Nick Saban had to bench him at one point to give Heisman-winning quarterback Bryce Young time to throw.”
Baring a plane crash Alabama is going to win the SEC this year and be a playoff team. The QB already has the award and and you may already know it’s historically next to impossible to win the award twice.
Now you have the best most dominant player in the country returning to the best most dominant team in the country with the most influential coach in the country with top top media members with their noses so far up said coaches ass.
There is a lot of chemistry at play here - but I’m calling for the first defensive Heisman Trophy since Charles Woodson.
Edit: he was fifth in last years voting…….. but he was #3 if you only counted first place votes.
If I wanted to bet you that an offensive player would win, what odds would you offer?Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
William Anderson Jr +4000 Edge Alabama
“BuT HeS a DeFeNSIVe PlAyEr”
Let’s start off by saying it would be a absolute certainty that if he came out this year he would have gone #1 and it wouldn’t have been one of these last minute draft day surprises. He absolutely destroyed teams last year. Led the nation with 17.5 sacks. He finished fifth place in the Hiesman last year when his QB won the award. There were many saying he should have at the min been invited to NY. Yes Hutchinson EDGE Michigan finished second for the award ahead of Anderson last year. There were many who felt it was a nod to the overall Michigan year as a whole and that it was Anderson who was the best defensive player in the game.
It’s been parroted many times over the past few years that if the best defensive player X in any given year has zero chance to win the award then WTF are we even bothering….. the voting has caught up to this concept and put two very worth players in the top 5.
“Anderson was so dominant in Alabama’s spring game in April against a makeshift offensive front limited by injuries that head coach Nick Saban had to bench him at one point to give Heisman-winning quarterback Bryce Young time to throw.”
Baring a plane crash Alabama is going to win the SEC this year and be a playoff team. The QB already has the award and and you may already know it’s historically next to impossible to win the award twice.
Now you have the best most dominant player in the country returning to the best most dominant team in the country with the most influential coach in the country with top top media members with their noses so far up said coaches ass.
There is a lot of chemistry at play here - but I’m calling for the first defensive Heisman Trophy since Charles Woodson.
Edit: he was fifth in last years voting…….. but he was #3 if you only counted first place votes.
No way this dude wins heisman.
Few different ways to calculate this. The lazy way is to say he’s going off as +3500 - +4000. Plus you have the equity of any other player potentially winning the award. Plus you got Vig.Quote:
Originally Posted by gutIf I wanted to bet you that an offensive player would win, what odds would you offer?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
William Anderson Jr +4000 Edge Alabama
“BuT HeS a DeFeNSIVe PlAyEr”
Let’s start off by saying it would be a absolute certainty that if he came out this year he would have gone #1 and it wouldn’t have been one of these last minute draft day surprises. He absolutely destroyed teams last year. Led the nation with 17.5 sacks. He finished fifth place in the Hiesman last year when his QB won the award. There were many saying he should have at the min been invited to NY. Yes Hutchinson EDGE Michigan finished second for the award ahead of Anderson last year. There were many who felt it was a nod to the overall Michigan year as a whole and that it was Anderson who was the best defensive player in the game.
It’s been parroted many times over the past few years that if the best defensive player X in any given year has zero chance to win the award then WTF are we even bothering….. the voting has caught up to this concept and put two very worth players in the top 5.
“Anderson was so dominant in Alabama’s spring game in April against a makeshift offensive front limited by injuries that head coach Nick Saban had to bench him at one point to give Heisman-winning quarterback Bryce Young time to throw.”
Baring a plane crash Alabama is going to win the SEC this year and be a playoff team. The QB already has the award and and you may already know it’s historically next to impossible to win the award twice.
Now you have the best most dominant player in the country returning to the best most dominant team in the country with the most influential coach in the country with top top media members with their noses so far up said coaches ass.
There is a lot of chemistry at play here - but I’m calling for the first defensive Heisman Trophy since Charles Woodson.
Edit: he was fifth in last years voting…….. but he was #3 if you only counted first place votes.
No way this dude wins heisman.
Back of the envelope
Offensive Player -4300
Defensive Player +3700
Other +9999
Edit: If you were wiling to post in part I’d give you 2500/100 to keep it sweet
NASCAR sprint series been brutal. Best car in front doesn’t matter they just wreck them second to last lap. Truck series less variables. Shorter races and with the dirt race no passing on pit road.
Ben Rhodes +550 Clean Harbor 150.
Dominated last dirt race. +550 good enough price.
Simp
Open or closed? Is there a web cam?
Lean under 4.5 F5
Gonna be a hell of a game.
Dodgers Urias under strikeouts if you wanna hate. Congrats BCR. Indians don’t strike out.
Under 6.5 hockey if you got it. I hear it’s avail. Not for me. Sad face