:entertainedQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
obviously Heads is the sharp side. yw
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:entertainedQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmarobviously Heads is the sharp side. yw
Odd trend for betting next year: dating back to 2014 up through and including yesterday's game, the winner of the opening coin toss has lost the game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar:entertainedQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmarobviously Heads is the sharp side. yw
https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/spor...treak/3551333/
Sort of like going to the roulette table and seeing that the last 8 spins all landed on red.
Last four weeks guys. Im just glad I didn’t post. Over 10 K in losses
Mcilory bed shit 18th.
Rahm at the Farmers.
Spieth at Pebble.
Cantlay losing on 3rd playoff hole yesterday. Also had Brooks finished 1 back.
The fact none of these cashed has really taken a toll. Just glad no one else road them. Rahm & Spieth were pre-torunament. Other guys I picked up along the way. To go 0 for 5 on these is just a killer. Started with Morkikawa losing that 5 stroke lead in December, this is how things have been going.
Right now I’m pretty beaten down. I know they were good bets. But when your share doesn’t cash, well it gets expensive. At a certain point you have to be results orientated.
I think I can some it up this way. I watched exactly 0.0% of the Super Bowl last night. I got my VIP bracelet on for the party at the Borgata. But was asleep by 8 PM eastern. Golf is tough.
NHL
Leafs going to unleash the beast tonight in Seattle. -1.5 +105 here you can likely get a bit better line.
San Jose +140. San Jose has lost three games in a row by 1 goal.....to good clubs Tampa + Florida + Carolina. Edmonton still is a bit flakey.....
Ploppy pick against the horrible road dog.
Knicks -10 vs. Oklahoma City
And if you don't have time to bet the above, there's this also:
New Orleans vs. Toronto - Under 219.5
Okay, I'm tailing both.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
GL us
I got Sixers Celtics Under 211.5 at -135
Was gonna bet it earlier this week when it was under 212 at -110 but I waited too long.
Last minute
Atlanta -2.5 vs. Cleveland
Can we go for 2 in a row?
Dallas has been doing surprisingly well recently, and the Pelicans suck. That's among several reasons I like the Mavericks tonight.
Nance is out.
Dallas -2.5 at New Orleans
Tomorrow - Saturday 1pm
Colorado Avalanche -1½ -135 vs lowly Buffalo
ML is an incredulous -350 but lol CLV cause it’ll go up
Buffalo Dustin Tokarski in net (confirmed) pitiful
Av’s Kuemper or backup Pavel Francouz (7-2-0) SV% .928 GAA 2.39
National broadcast game on a day with no sports.
Buy it now or clean the garage.
**************
I have a hard on for the Calgary Flames and Markstrom. I’m a fan so this shall serve as a disclaimer. The following goalies referenced are expected and not confirmed.
Flames (Markstrom) -270 vs Kraken (Grubauer)
Puckline is -115 and I’m taking that but I cannot be objective. The Kraken steal coins and sometimes hurt bettors needlessly and unpredictably. You have to follow your own path here.
Today
Regulation - 1056 Carolina Hurricanes -115
Less inspiring but it’ll put food on your table
Will swap this post for some prop ideas Simp.
A little too late for me. But everything points to Justin Thomas +350 here.
5-3Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
“Suicide note for unders”
down 4-1 the Nashville coach pulls the goalie with over 7 minutes left.
4-2
4-3
5-3
The goalie almost never played again. Open net.
Is this new analytics talking? Will this become a trend? No downside.
This is a potential live wagering spot midway thru 3rd period ahead of the bookie algorithm adjustments. NSFW
The Avalanche PL won.
Now we move to the last pick, Calgary.
I can tell by the absence of gratitude and your shabby clothes that no one tailed these picks. Nevertheless, I should caution you that Calgary has taken something like 97% of every farthing bet and the ML and the PL hasn’t moved a lick in the 24 hours since my original post.
Some look at these as signs of a certain trap.
I’ve lived a full life and have no regrets. You still have your future ahead of you…. that is if being destitute constitutes a future
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Basically 3 months of not getting a putt to drop. Other than Lydia day 1, it’s just been a bloody mess. Luckily I didn’t post most of the carnage. JT played like fucking shit today….but it likely wouldn’t of mattered as Joaquin has done what he had to do.
Take SAN’s advice. Don’t bet golf.
I got Luke Kennard in 3 point contest. I also have team Cavs parlayed with the Portland Pilots because betting on a team with two centers in a skills competition isn’t quite sick enough, I have to add in a CBB ML. All for lunch money.
Self-flagellation is the disciplinary and devotional practice of flogging oneself with whips or other instruments that inflict pain.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Golf - Top 10 - The Genesis Invitational - Top 10 Finish - Patrick Cantlay +150
Last I looked he was Tied for 60. I was reminded I am not strong enough for golf.
I have an alibi.
Do you know what kind of list you just got assigned to because of this bet?Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
If you were in Vegas they’d give you a suite, a girl, a steak dinner and tickets to that Shin Lim Limitles show at the Mirage. (We got a live one)
“Quiet Degen Sleeping” sign for the door too. Don’t let this guy leave town.
Remember the first 300 point All Star Game? How minds were blown? Makes ya feel old.
Well we went from lunch to dinner. Damn biggest dog in the field KAT ruined going from lunch to coach airfare.
Any thoughts on nba all star game?
I can’t imagine they’ll have another defensive minded all star game
I don’t think there are great spots in all star game worthy of putting anything serious in but if you want to be entertained while watching I don’t hate betting small on over. Also kind of like Lamelo Ball over 7.5. He has something to prove in his first all star game.Quote:
Originally Posted by SlowRoll
Ball over a winner already and still 2 quarters left to play.Quote:
Originally Posted by matosI don’t think there are great spots in all star game worthy of putting anything serious in but if you want to be entertained while watching I don’t hate betting small on over. Also kind of like Lamelo Ball over 7.5. He has something to prove in his first all star game.Quote:
Originally Posted by SlowRoll
Since you came into all that money Simpdog I guess my usefulness has expired.
Guess you won’t need this
Leafs @ Montreal Canadiens - Time of First Score - 00:00-09:59 -150
Montreal 9-1 L10
Toronto 8-2 L10
Running across board with nba 1q unders today. First games after all star break and this is the annual tradition. Lets hope they play slower and miss a bunch of shots in 1q
1q unders went 4-3 today
Lakers/Clippers under 221.5
Lebron is playing, but was questionable. A few minutes away from start.
Had to sweat possible OT, but Lebron bricked and I win.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I got Cavs +3.5 tonight.
Not much handicapping gold lately, eh?
I'll do a little handicapping, though these games start within 10 minutes.
Sacramento -5.5 at OKC
Miluwakee vs. Charlotte - Under 238
That is your recap of the game? Your prolonged exposure to this sport has inured you to the point you find this crap normal and unworthy of mention.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffHad to sweat possible OT, but Lebron bricked and I win.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I’m sure there were some pretty comical articles or tweets about the absolute farce of a sporting event the end of that game was
I tuned into the end of the game myself for reasons I cannot recall now. Without exaggeration, it took 15 minutes to play 10 seconds. . I heard the play by play guys call out the time. There were two video reviews which went on FOREVER. There was a challenge of action on the court that was not called by the ref - LeBron's foot out of bounds. Television timeout followed by a team time out.
What a joke.
I think I heard it was half an hour to score 10 points or some such bullshit.
How can you bet that garbage? Flipping coins
Speaking of flipping coins, my under 238 on Milwaukee is coming down to the wire.
234 with 32 seconds left, in a blowout game. Thanasis is in the game... Giannis isn't.
Now 236 with 23 left. Hopefully Milwaukee holds the ball.
ESPN says it's final, so I guess the did hold the ball.
Phew.
Sac easily covered (won by 21) after a lackluster first half, so I went 2-0.
That's 4 wins in a row for me, in what is otherwise an awful NBA betting season.
Anyone notice how many blowout games there are? Today the Raptors won by 36, the Bucks won by 24, and the Kings won by 21. Only one game out of 7 was decided by fewer than 13 points.
Believe it or not, I think betting alt lines on favorites might be the way to go for now.
Last minute, but this goes along with the theme of blowouts against bad teams:
Clippers -7 at Houston
Clippers ML
I’ve been suppressing the urge to fire Lakers +6 all day I have no idea why? Clearly others have the same urge as it’s down to 5.5 at my book. There isn’t any logical reason to bet them. They stink. It just feels like a game they kind of have to win. Both teams on a little spiral. I’m going to try to fight off the urge.
If you look at their roster of players who are actually playing from top to bottom and compare it to every other non tanking team it just isn't competitive. Doesn't matter how much they need to win. They only have 1 non-injured player on their team (Lebron) who would start on a competent basketball team. Most of their roster wouldn't even see any playing time on a competent team. It is what it is.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Curry and Thompson staying home so they can watch Florida/Sabres & Toronto/CBJ March Madness.
I don’t own enough televisions. Hopefully I can correct that compliments of the NHL
Can the Leafs goalies stop a beach ball tonight? Tune in!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Have you been dabbling in first periods lately?
Calgary red hot, especially at home. Very appealing despite the price.
LA extremely good on the road, +170 is appealing. Funny how LA and Boston are both very good on the road.
Getting a little frisky with Kings over Bruins. Ullmark in net. Huge difference be Swayman who I saw in net initially. Don’t think mkt caught up w/ goalie change.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogCan the Leafs goalies stop a beach ball tonight? Tune in!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Have you been dabbling in first periods lately?
Calgary red hot, especially at home. Very appealing despite the price.
LA extremely good on the road, +170 is appealing. Funny how LA and Boston are both very good on the road.
I’m half unit pregame today
Lotta of big totals and heavy favorites but this is a tough card. I’m gonna use my ammo live Calgary / Toronto / Avs. Those 7’s will disappear quick. If a team scores in the first minute - oh well, we move on.
I’ve been doing totals off chrisotto but that’s kinda a mature market now. The birth of the 2’s. Saw a 2 juiced today, ughhhh
I also have
Sabres team total over 2½ -110. Florida Knight fade a little bit n
I wanna take CBJ over Toronto of course. Haven’t done it yet. Had a lot of success hating Leafs. God they suck. Marner for Wedgewood trade lol.
I got some stuff last night that isn’t relevant now
Parlay +126
Calgary Flames -178 for Game
Hockey - 73 Toronto Maple Leafs/Columbus Blue Jackets over 6½ -130 for Game
I will look back on 2022 and rue allowing my hard on for the NBA to keep me from making some money. I think with very little effort I could partake of the huge beat downs and some of the streaks.
I watched a little of Clippers and Knicks toward the end of the game last night & that was a classic. I saw -7 live and then Knicks just ran away for whatever reason. Something like -23 at the end. Didn’t bet it but just watched as an exercise.
Following load management (I’m being kind) would be profitable. The local beat writers and the YouTube kids who do stuff about their individual team. Curry and Thompson has breached a whole new level. This is what is going to happen with the MLB.
I just don’t like the NBA enough to read about it.
Now if there was a guy…….