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Here's some Superbowl winner futures as the season went on. 66 to 1 for the Bengals preseason. Got as high as 180-1.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
I’m not sure about preseason, but they were 100/1 mid season. I bet this same thing on Cincinnati and CarolinaQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
This must be the closest and most exciting playoff rounds in modern nfl history. Seems like it might be all time but I’m too young to make that call. Hope the superbowl does not disappoint. I think the bengals get their first sb win.
LPGA Drive On- Nelly Korda +700/+650
The more random the sport becomes the more fun it is for fans. Anything can happen. Truth is that is how the sport has been for much of the recent past.Quote:
Originally Posted by matos
Hey, Sanlmar, I heard recently that Massachusetts legalized sports betting is imminent. Could this be true? I've wanted to bet on so many of the games and matches discussed in this thread but never felt it was worth the ride to Foxwoods or New Hampshire to lay it down.
These were all favorites or close last week, but you still need to time them right. I always give myself a chance at a big score. I had Rahm ( 1 stroke), Rory (Bed shit 72nd hole) & Morikawa (-7 after first 11 holes before bed shit). I was alive for absolute piles. Lydia saved the day for me. If she didn’t come through, I would probably need to be sent to the psych ward.
I had Med with the tennis against Rafa. What a sore loser this asshole is. Rams I took the hook in the ass. But hey, Lydia won.
Hope to be more active this week. I really like Nelly to get it done this week.
As far as the bankroll I’m too tilted to do it. It’s up about 10 K but being sick last week I didn’t officially post Lydia with a dollar amount. It was 2K at 10-1 but I always count the losing bets and not the winning ones if I don’t make it official. Maybe I’ll find a solution going forward, it’s just I want to get the picks out sometimes and I just don’t take the time to make it formal. Main thing is enough of them cashed to be profitable.
The bankroll would be up another 26.5 k if I counted the Herbert +650 (1K) and Lydia last week. I guess I’m superstitious now. So going forward I’ll probably just post picks.
Hope everyone is doing well.
I know a guy, who knows a guy, who knows the lucky bastard that made this bet. God bless him. The thing surprising to me is the two scores paying so well. They are both a reasonable total and a product of adding only 3s or 7s. Numbers you want (0,7,4) in a super bowl box contest. It dam sure beats playing lotto. I’m surprised it paid that well. If he was placing a number of different score combinations use multiples of TDs & FGs, of course the luck is something none of us will ever experience, but the correct strategy.Quote:
Originally Posted by TheXFactor
It is fascinating that the very first state to have a legal lottery is amongst the last to legalized sports wagering.Quote:
Originally Posted by country978
I imagine Wynn is looking to protect their position with that boondoggle casino in Boston.
I predict the end of 2022 though. I will never sign up unless there are some huge bonus giveaways - there likely will be.
I could never be a winning sports gambler if I paid taxes. It’s too hard and winning too slim for me. I wouldn’t bet for fun. I have a unique capacity to boycott stuff and snap (rage) quit things.
Twitter has finally made it so that I can’t even read Posts without an account. Will I sign up? I am at a strange crossroads with that corrupt outfit. Not sure how that plays out for me.
Btw I think the lottery is a bad thing for society. Those that can’t afford it play it. The odds are criminal. People should be free to live their lives and make bad choices though.
I have never bought a scratch ticket since high school. I beg my wife not to play the stupid mega millions. I don’t even want to know how much she lights on fire when the number gets big.
I hate the feeling of losing. I don’t need to pay for the privilege of feeling disappointed. I can do that for free.
You're old enough to remember the blue laws in Massachusetts and the Sunday New Hampshire packie runs, yes?
Wow. I gotta thank you. I wonder when the last time I thought about Blue Laws was? Good grief.Quote:
Originally Posted by country978
I am old enough to remember.
Used to go to church and return with a Sunday paper that weighed 5 lbs. I’d sit in far rear the of the family station wagon and read by myself. Parents were smart enough to leave me alone. I’d start with the comics then sports then the Parade magazine insert and fumble through the rest.
We’d hang out in the yard with the neighborhood fathers and friends. Sunday brunch. I don’t think we played organized youth sports on Sunday either.
Definitely made the packy runs to Nashua. So funny. Lol, anyone ever checking for ID’s.
Times have changed. Sunday is just another day. Everyone running around on Sunday - working, shopping & sports.
I had my own Sunday routine with my kids. We didn’t do church but did the family breakfast thing. They remembered it as it turns out. I get these random texts that crack me up.
I was just reminiscing about Dunkin Donuts actually baking donuts in the store. Now that going waaaay back. I wouldn’t eat a donut from a factory today
Ben will remember the Sunday drives to the Vegas Strip. Playing slots with dad while wearing the fake mustache.
Mustache covered with mustard from the hot dog on a stick.
I'm with you on this one JD, I'm shocked that this paid out 29k to 1. Both being "predictable" scores.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeI know a guy, who knows a guy, who knows the lucky bastard that made this bet. God bless him. The thing surprising to me is the two scores paying so well. They are both a reasonable total and a product of adding only 3s or 7s. Numbers you want (0,7,4) in a super bowl box contest. It dam sure beats playing lotto. I’m surprised it paid that well. If he was placing a number of different score combinations use multiples of TDs & FGs, of course the luck is something none of us will ever experience, but the correct strategy.Quote:
Originally Posted by TheXFactor
Just think of how many various combinations you can make with say a $2,000 investment at $20 per parlay. You can bet 100 different combinations.
JD, do you know if he was a sharp bettor? Or just a dude that plopped down a $20 and hit the jackpot?
Even the payouts for the correct scores on each games are surprising at 220-1 for Bengalês/Chiefs and 130-1 for Rams/49ers.
After seeing this I'm definitely going to take a look at the payouts for the exact score on the Super Bowl.
Quote:
Originally Posted by PositiveVarianceAfter seeing this I'm definitely going to take a look at the payouts for the exact score on the Super Bowl.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
And why do you think the books so openly publicize these wins?
The lotto is just a tax on the poor. And these exact score bets are quite simply lotto tickets.
Also 100 combinations sounds like a lot, but it’s really only 10 x 10. And it’s not just the score but who won too. So say there are 5 scores you like (31-27, 27-24, 28-24, 35-28, 38-28); you then have to bet each team to win by those scores and all the corresponding combinations. Then you have to be right twice.
Suffice it to say the true odds are much higher than 29,000/1
With no Kos entered this weekend a Korda victory seems likely. I do like Lexi and Brooke Henderson to win something this season but have no idea when that might happen.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
By the way, Lydia's 3rd round par saves on the 17th and 18th holes this past weekend when she was struggling a bit were great to watch!
I am transfixed by the Caesars ads with BSmoove, Halle Berry, the Manning triplets et etc. The ad spend on this is beyond comprehension. The production value is remarkable. Poker ad spend was a pimple in comparison.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Quote:
Originally Posted by PositiveVariance
And why do you think the books so openly publicize these wins?
The lotto is just a tax on the poor. And these exact score bets are quite simply lotto tickets.
Half a million fits their present scale for publicity. Every single guy who places a bet today will have seen this story. Promise you
Crypto.com is another one. The crypto.com spend is gonna be a mark of the early 2020’s when kids look back. Poor guy Matt Damon nuked his career. Wonder what he made for the ad? Hope he took fiat.
Leafs first period -0.5 +100
First period over 1.5 -150
Leafs -1.5 -130
Take your pick.
Hawks -120
Can’t remember what it was but I tailed your last hockey pick and it paid. Never did thank you.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Oilers reg and some kind of Kane prop? McDavid points?
One of my last picks involved Akira likely. And apparently he is dressing versus the Leafs. Didn't think we would get a second chance fading Akira....here it is.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarCan’t remember what it was but I tailed your last hockey pick and it paid. Never did thank you.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Oilers reg and some kind of Kane prop? McDavid points?
Been fooling around with some analytics during my hockey layoff. We are finally back to the hockey we love best. I’ve gone over the favorites numbers previously. PL favorites since Nov/Dec you’re up something like 47 units.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogOne of my last picks involved Akira likely. And apparently he is dressing versus the Leafs. Didn't think we would get a second chance fading Akira....here it is.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
You could responsibly parlay all the favorites tonight except Ducks. I’m not gonna do it…. but it’s hard not get carried away. The clouds have parted. Tomorrow looks tasty too.
I’m a little bummed that sports is winding down. No football, no tennis and the NHL All Star break. (I hope the players keep focused til the end - that is a risk)
Every time I see Akira’s name I think of this
Chuck Lorre wrote the 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles' theme song which is great trivia and the inside gag with this bit. Chuck Lorre was Two and Half Men and Big Bang - embarrassed to feel I have to point that out but…
https://youtu.be/V0luXAgaI6A
I got a booster shot and am experiencing manic feelings today as a result
How did you space on the Florida CBJ 1P over. Frigging obvious Simp
Wow quite the periodQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Campbell sucks tonight. Will win the over first period but lose the leafs first period. Took some live leafs for a comeback.
What kind of evil schedules every game at 7pm so there is no “late night get right”?Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogWow quite the periodQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Campbell sucks tonight. Will win the over first period but lose the leafs first period. Took some live leafs for a comeback.
The 1P over was a bail out
Oilers are monsters 2nd Period particularly last 10 & 5 days
-200 now but gonna back pocket that info for the first few minutes and see what adjustments each team makes
I ain’t worried about Toronto winning game. I can do without the stress though. Jack Campbell could lose his All Star slot so he needs to tighten that shite up
Edit
Pesky Sens Matt Murray is annoyingly good. You never know which Murray you will get on a given night
LOL Leafs lose first period -0.5 +100
Over first period wins
Leafs -1.5 somehow lucks out and wins
Live moneyline bet wins
Hawks lost.
Small winner tonight. It's not the size that counts right?
Akira for Devils
Tonight - 26 shots, 4 goals against + Empty netter
Jan 25 - 7 shots, 3 goals against and pulled
Dec 18 - 30 shots, 5 goals against
Dec 11 - 29 shots, 4 goals against
Dec 14 - 8 shots 1 goal against (subbed in did not start)
He is an ATM machine. ML works everytime. -1.5 works everytime (barely tonight). Overs are 3-0 and 1 tie for over 6.
Devils are tanking possibly so I think we'll see him a bunch.....
You did a similar analysis on our other win. Work that is rare for this threadQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Nevertheless, I still can’t believe we won.
This entire site has been AIDS lately. If this thread dies there's absolutely no reason to even browse here anymore. Sad!
Sports wagering is in a boom and has become a cultural phenomenon in the US. Which makes the metamorphosis of PFA’s focus from gambling to alt right politics and the sorts that enjoy that thing all the more sad.Quote:
Originally Posted by Jah
Talking to myself doesn’t require a password.
We move on
I am on the biggest sports betting heater of my life (2 days, 37k).
I'm a huge degenerate and am going to let most of it ride and try to hit 100k.
Everything has gone right for me since the Iraqi soccer team covered for me yesterday morning.
6-0-0 today ...
I have a lot on over 134.5 Florida/Missouri
If I win this one I need 2 more moves .... Please give me suggestions, looking for plays tonight - will tip if I use your pick.
I like basketball, underdogs, and points.
If you have Action Network you can follow my degeneracy here:
https://myaction.app/Waffles
Complain and ye shall receive
Is there a Mrs Waffles?
(Two and a Half Men - season 5 episode 8)
I never knew you could verify Action bets with a sports book.
That’s amazing work and I’ll direct message you with a request for a signed photograph. Karen Nathan will be looking for a loan and a date. If there is no Mrs Waffles maybe the three of us can meet up
Move over Simp
Toronto was legendary last night. I can post pics but over 1P, PL 1P, Team total and game total.
Back to back Maple Leafs. I haven’t looked yet but took Minny last night -147 and it was moving when I hit the pillow. I know I was interested in Oilers too. I’ll take a look.
I am preparing for life without hockey for two weeks and thought I’d try to handicap basketball. I hate basketball. Two big names and I took the dogs - so I guess I like Waffles.
I’ll be able to afford Olive Garden for dinner if I win.
If only the Leafs could play the Devils nightly....we would be rich.
I was on them too however forgot to post and I like to nag people who post bets after the fact so I better not start myself.
Not a lot of ideas tonight....
Kings/LA under 1.5 first period -105
Wild/Hawks over 1.5 first period -145
Flamers/Arizona over 1.5 first period -120
Need to win two.
Let’s god Wisconsin +7
got twoQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
7-5
slim profit
Wisconsin couldn’t shoot worth a shit tonight.
Lazy start by Minnesota robbed me of riches. 0-0 1stP but won 5-0
Gonna shop for tomorrow’s groceries now
@slowroll
You were on Wisc +7 with conviction.
I was on it too. I’m just a kenpom guy though. Still think it was the right play. Basketball… some nights it just doesn’t go in
Tennis guy too, I see. Kindred spirits. Just analytics or do you follow these guys? Interesting.
Australian Open was a fail for me over all.
UCLA Arizona is the big game tomorrow I see. We have our Covid handicap to do. Always fun.
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Half units
Special Olympics ‘tard college basketball teaser.
We both know that it's wrong
But it's much too strong
To let it go now
Overnight tennis. If I win I buy the Waffles for breakfast